Financial Market Pricing A0-A3
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Questions and Answers

What is the P/E ratio of Sainsbury’s calculated from the given EPS and share price?

  • 14.17
  • 14.12
  • 14.22 (correct)
  • 14.27
  • What is the assumed dividend payout ratio for both supermarkets?

  • 70%
  • 90% (correct)
  • 80%
  • 100%
  • What is the value of D for Tesco based on the dividend payout ratio and EPS?

  • 0.17559 (correct)
  • 0.16065
  • 0.17850
  • 0.19510
  • What is the assumed growth rate (g) for the supermarkets in this scenario?

    <p>4% (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Using the Gordon model, what is the calculated k for Sainsbury’s?

    <p>10.327% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of bonds are most commonly issued by governments in developed countries?

    <p>Domestic government bonds (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a significant risk associated with sovereign bonds issued by emerging markets?

    <p>They must be repaid in foreign currency. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What distinguishes corporate bonds from government bonds?

    <p>Corporate bonds are repaid based on company performance. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which bonds are considered riskier when issued overseas by emerging market governments?

    <p>Sovereign bonds in foreign currency (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why might some governments prefer issuing short-term bonds?

    <p>They can be refinanced easier in local currency. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary reason why investors treat corporate bonds differently from government bonds?

    <p>Corporate bonds have a higher default risk. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following accurately describes Eurobonds?

    <p>They are sold in overseas markets and often priced in foreign currencies. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How do concerns about inflation affect the maturity periods of bonds issued by different countries?

    <p>Countries with inflation concerns tend to issue shorter maturity bonds. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does FICC refer to in the context of asset classes?

    <p>Fixed Income, Commodities, Currencies (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How often are coupon payments for most bonds typically made?

    <p>Every six months (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the coupon payments and par value of inflation-adjusted bonds?

    <p>They are adjusted upward with inflation (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If you purchase £100 million of the 1½% Treasury Gilt 2053, how much will your coupon payment be every six months?

    <p>£750,000 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    On what dates will coupon payments for the 1½% Treasury Gilt 2053 be made?

    <p>3rd April and 3rd October (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the likely market price for the 1½% Treasury Gilt 2053 compared to its par value?

    <p>Likely lower than par value (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of nominal bonds?

    <p>Coupon payments that are variable (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What type of bonds are referred to as 'gilts'?

    <p>UK government bonds (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the required equity return (𝑘) in a low real interest rate scenario?

    <p>18% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does the equity risk premium (𝜌) change between high and low real interest rate scenarios?

    <p>It decreases from 7% to 4% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the calculation provided, what is the nominal dividend growth (𝑔) in a high real interest rate scenario?

    <p>8% (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which calculation indicates the relationship between dividends, required return, and growth in equity valuation?

    <p>The Gordon growth model (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How did the share of corporate profits in US GDP change from 1950-1970 compared to recent years?

    <p>Increased from 5% to around 7% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What phenomenon might make investors more risk-averse in a high inflation environment?

    <p>Greater uncertainty about future returns (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does a rise in expected inflation (𝜋) impact in the context of calculating required returns?

    <p>It has no impact on 𝑘 and 𝑔 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    When using fundamentals to explain equity prices, what is a significant risk in altering the equity risk premium?

    <p>It could lead to a retrogrowth model that fits past data (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary distinction between RMBS and CMBS?

    <p>RMBS is associated with residential mortgage loans, while CMBS is linked to commercial mortgage loans. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of MBS did not pay a coupon in the 1980s?

    <p>Pass-through MBS (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the waterfall structure in mortgage backed securities refer to?

    <p>The hierarchy of payment obligations among different tranches. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Prepayment risk in MBS arises primarily from what condition?

    <p>Interest rates falling, prompting earlier loan repayments. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What are structured credit securities similar to MBS primarily backed by?

    <p>A pool of various financial assets. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a common characteristic of tranches in structured credit securities?

    <p>They typically offer a floating coupon rate. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which region is known for issuing covered bonds, specifically referred to as pfandbriefe?

    <p>Germany and Austria (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    During which time frame did problems with MBS and ABS significantly contribute to financial difficulties?

    <p>2007-2011 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What has been a major policy issue over the past forty years regarding global finance?

    <p>The decline in global real interest rates (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following describes the focus of Mishkin's Chapter 4?

    <p>Various interest rates for saving and borrowing (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key consideration in the discussion of low real interest rates?

    <p>The debate around their economic implications (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following statements about low real interest rates is true?

    <p>They create a puzzle that is relevant across various interest rates. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What can be inferred about the nature of the discussions on interest rates?

    <p>They include a broad understanding of economic principles. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which paper discusses secular stagnation in the context of low interest rates?

    <p>On Secular Stagnation in the Industrialized World (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a general response to the debate on low real interest rates?

    <p>It explores various economic implications. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What aspect of the global economy is notably affected by the decline in real interest rates?

    <p>Monetary policy decisions (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Flashcards

    Domestic Government Bonds

    Bonds issued by governments of developed countries in their domestic markets, typically in the country's own currency.

    Sovereign Bonds

    Bonds issued by governments of emerging markets, often sold overseas in foreign currencies.

    Monetary Financing

    The ability of a government to finance its debt by borrowing from its own central bank.

    Corporate Bonds

    Bonds issued by companies, backed by their earnings and future profitability.

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    Bond Default

    The failure of a borrower to make full repayment on a debt obligation.

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    Eurobonds

    Bonds sold in overseas markets, typically in a currency different from the issuer's domestic currency.

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    Financial Institution Bonds

    Bonds issued by financial institutions, such as banks, investment funds, or insurance companies.

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    Non-Financial Corporate Bonds

    Bonds issued by non-financial businesses to raise capital for expansion or other purposes.

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    Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

    A financial ratio that measures the value of a company's shares relative to its earnings per share. It is calculated by dividing the current market price per share by the company's earnings per share.

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    Gordon Growth Model

    A financial model used to value a company's stock based on its future dividends. It assumes that dividends will grow at a constant rate.

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    Dividend Payout Ratio

    The percentage of a company's earnings that are paid out to shareholders as dividends.

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    Growth Rate (g)

    The expected long-term rate of growth of a company's earnings.

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    Cost of Equity (k)

    The rate of return required by investors for holding a specific company’s stock. This is the discount rate used in the Gordon Growth Model.

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    What are CMBS?

    Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued to finance commercial real estate, such as shopping centers or office buildings.

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    What are RMBS?

    Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued to finance residential properties, including housing and apartments.

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    What are pass-through MBS?

    A type of MBS where investors receive payments directly proportional to the underlying mortgage payments, without a fixed coupon rate.

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    What is tranching in MBS?

    Dividing mortgage payments into different tranches with varying levels of seniority and risk.

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    What is prepayment risk?

    A risk in MBS and ABS where homeowners repay their loans earlier than expected, typically due to lower interest rates.

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    What is a structured credit security?

    A type of bond backed by a pool of assets like loans or receivables, often structured into different tranches.

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    What are CLOs?

    A type of structured credit security backed by a pool of loans, often associated with corporate debt.

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    What are covered bonds?

    Bonds issued by banks in Germany and Austria, backed by a pool of loans, typically mortgage loans.

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    Bond

    A type of debt security issued by a government or corporation that promises to pay back the par value (principal) at maturity and periodic interest payments (coupons). The par value is typically fixed and is paid back at the maturity date. The coupon rate determines the periodic interest payments and is expressed as a percentage of the par value.

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    Nominal Bond

    A type of bond where the par value and coupon payments are fixed monetary amounts, regardless of changes in the overall price level. The value of the bond is not adjusted for inflation.

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    Inflation-Adjusted Bond

    A type of bond where the par value and coupon payments are adjusted to account for the erosion of monetary value due to inflation. The payments are adjusted upward to compensate for the rise in the general price level.

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    UK Gilts

    A type of UK government bond, also known as "gilt-edged securities." They are considered low-risk and are a popular investment for institutional investors.

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    Gilt Syndication

    The process of selling a large issue of UK Gilts to a group of investment banks, who then resell the bonds to investors in the market.

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    Auctioned Gilts

    Government bonds that are auctioned to investors, where they are sold to the highest bidders. This is a common way for governments to issue bonds.

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    Index-Linked Bond

    A type of bond that is linked to a particular index, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The par value and coupon payments are adjusted based on the movement of the index. It offers investors partial protection against inflation.

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    Bond Price

    The price at which a bond is traded in the market, which may be different from the par value of the bond. The market price reflects the current prevailing interest rates and other market conditions.

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    Real dividend growth (𝜑)

    The rate at which a company's dividends are expected to grow over time, adjusted for inflation.

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    Required equity return (𝑘)

    The return investors require to invest in a particular stock, considering the risk associated with that stock.

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    Equity risk premium (𝜌)

    The difference between the expected return on the market portfolio and the risk-free rate.

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    Share of corporate profits in GDP

    The percentage of a country's GDP that is generated by corporate profits.

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    Nominal dividend growth (𝑔)

    The percentage increase in dividends, considering inflation.

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    Retrofitting

    A situation where assumptions are adjusted to make a model fit observed data, potentially leading to inaccurate conclusions.

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    Real interest rate (𝑟)

    The rate of return that investors expect to earn on a risk-free investment, such as government bonds.

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    Declining Real Interest Rates

    The trend of real interest rates falling over the past four decades, impacting various policy decisions and economic implications.

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    General Concern about Interest Rates

    A common concern regarding the falling real interest rates that applies to all interest rates, regardless of where they occur.

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    Examining Declining Real Interest Rates

    Analyzing the extent to which real interest rates have fallen, exploring the reasons behind this decline, and examining its economic consequences.

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    Different Types of Interest Rates

    Various interest rates available for saving and borrowing, including those offered by financial institutions and those found in financial markets.

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    Mishkin's Chapter 4

    A specific chapter in Mishkin's book that provides context about various interest rates.

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    Prioritizing the General Trend

    The crucial focus of the analysis lies on the general trend of falling real interest rates, not on specific examples from Mishkin's text.

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    Related Papers on Interest Rates

    Several papers published on the topic of declining real interest rates, including the one by R.E. Hall.

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    R.E. Hall's Paper

    A research paper by R.E. Hall published in a specific issue of the International Journal of Central Banking.

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    Study Notes

    Financial Market Pricing

    • This handout covers material for the first three weeks of the course, including a preliminary section (A0) and sections A1-A3.

    • Section A0: Preliminary (pages 2-4) provides an overview of the financial system.

    • Section A1 (pages 5-16): Focuses on fixed income instruments, specifically the pricing and yield of bonds.

    • Section A2 (pages 18-27): Explores equity markets and equity pricing.

    • Section A3 (pages 28-36): Covers demography, technology, and returns on investment.

    Key Study Tasks

    • Review course notes, lectures, and readings to practice questions from the provided question bank (covering topics A0-A3).

    • Prepare for Topic A workshops in week 4 (focused on topics A1-A3).

    • Read Mishkin (2021) for general background. This textbook covers A0-A2 but has limited coverage on liquidity and topic A3. Note the UK/European financial terms may differ from US terms.

    • Read Chapter 2 of Mishkin before week 2. It provides an overview of the financial system (covering topic A0).

    Additional Notes

    • The lectures go beyond the textbook's content at specific points..

    • Three appendices provide additional details related to specific topics (A1 and A3).

    • The material relating to the overview of the financial system (A0 )is not formally assessed, but it's helpful for understanding the remaining lecture material.

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    Description

    This quiz covers key concepts in financial market pricing from the first three weeks of the course. It includes an overview of the financial system and delves into fixed income instruments, equity markets, and the impact of demographic factors on investment returns. Prepare using course notes, readings, and the question bank provided.

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