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Questions and Answers
Which types of expenses should be adjusted proportionately when analyzing financial statements?
Which types of expenses should be adjusted proportionately when analyzing financial statements?
What happens to a firm's credit risk as profitability increases?
What happens to a firm's credit risk as profitability increases?
Why was Home Depot's ROE negative in 2019?
Why was Home Depot's ROE negative in 2019?
Which profitability measure is not impacted by a company's leverage or treasury stock activities?
Which profitability measure is not impacted by a company's leverage or treasury stock activities?
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What do flow ratios in coverage analysis help assess?
What do flow ratios in coverage analysis help assess?
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What is one reason companies demand credit for operating activities?
What is one reason companies demand credit for operating activities?
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Which entity is NOT typically a supplier of credit in the credit market?
Which entity is NOT typically a supplier of credit in the credit market?
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What is a common use of long-term debt for companies?
What is a common use of long-term debt for companies?
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Which of the following best characterizes trade credit?
Which of the following best characterizes trade credit?
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In what scenario does financing activity demand for credit typically arise?
In what scenario does financing activity demand for credit typically arise?
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What factor influences a creditor's willingness to provide credit?
What factor influences a creditor's willingness to provide credit?
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Which of the following is NOT a common use of credit by companies?
Which of the following is NOT a common use of credit by companies?
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What type of credit demand is considered routine and low risk?
What type of credit demand is considered routine and low risk?
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What is a key consideration when assessing Loss Given Default (LGD)?
What is a key consideration when assessing Loss Given Default (LGD)?
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Which type of covenant prevents the borrower from taking certain actions?
Which type of covenant prevents the borrower from taking certain actions?
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What aspect of financial statements do analysts particularly scrutinize?
What aspect of financial statements do analysts particularly scrutinize?
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What is one common adjustment analysts make to financial statements?
What is one common adjustment analysts make to financial statements?
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Which measure is commonly included in financial covenants?
Which measure is commonly included in financial covenants?
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Why is there a need for adjustments in GAAP financial statements?
Why is there a need for adjustments in GAAP financial statements?
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What is the typical occurrence of a 53rd week in a retailer's fiscal year?
What is the typical occurrence of a 53rd week in a retailer's fiscal year?
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What is an example of an affirmative covenant?
What is an example of an affirmative covenant?
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What does solvency measure in a company?
What does solvency measure in a company?
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What should be considered when calculating ratios for a company with negative equity?
What should be considered when calculating ratios for a company with negative equity?
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Which of the following best describes liquidity ratios?
Which of the following best describes liquidity ratios?
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How does solvency vary among companies?
How does solvency vary among companies?
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Which statement best characterizes an insolvent company?
Which statement best characterizes an insolvent company?
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What does the first variable in Altman's Z-Score model primarily measure?
What does the first variable in Altman's Z-Score model primarily measure?
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What level of accuracy does Altman's Z-Score model achieve in predicting bankruptcy for the first year?
What level of accuracy does Altman's Z-Score model achieve in predicting bankruptcy for the first year?
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Which component reflects a company's levered status in Altman's Z-Score model?
Which component reflects a company's levered status in Altman's Z-Score model?
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If Home Depot's Z-Score is greater than 3.00, what does this indicate about the company?
If Home Depot's Z-Score is greater than 3.00, what does this indicate about the company?
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Which aspect does the fifth variable in the Z-Score equation capture?
Which aspect does the fifth variable in the Z-Score equation capture?
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What does the times interest earned ratio reflect?
What does the times interest earned ratio reflect?
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Why is the EBITDA coverage ratio considered to be more widely used than the times interest earned ratio?
Why is the EBITDA coverage ratio considered to be more widely used than the times interest earned ratio?
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How is the cash from operations to total debt ratio significant?
How is the cash from operations to total debt ratio significant?
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What adjustment is commonly made by credit analysts during financial statement analysis?
What adjustment is commonly made by credit analysts during financial statement analysis?
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Which of the following is true about the relationship between EBITDA and the times interest earned ratio?
Which of the following is true about the relationship between EBITDA and the times interest earned ratio?
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What does free operating cash flow to total debt account for?
What does free operating cash flow to total debt account for?
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What does liquidity specifically refer to in a financial context?
What does liquidity specifically refer to in a financial context?
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What is the main purpose of coverage ratios in financial analysis?
What is the main purpose of coverage ratios in financial analysis?
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Study Notes
Financial Statement Analysis & Valuation
- This is a sixth edition textbook.
- Authors are Peter D. Easton, Mary Lea McAnally, and Gregory A. Sommers.
- A free access code to myBusinessCourse is included with new copies of the book.
Module 4: Credit Risk Analysis and Interpretation
- The objective is to describe the demand for and supply of credit.
- Companies demand credit for operating, investing, and financing activities.
- Credit is supplied by trade creditors, banks, public debt investors, and private lenders.
- Demand and supply affect the credit market.
Demand for Credit—Operating Activities
- Operating credit demand can be routine and low-risk.
- Examples include cyclical operating cash needs, like materials or labor, and advance seasonal purchases.
- Operating credit demand can signal higher risk, especially when used to cover operating losses.
Demand for Credit—Investing Activities
- Companies require significant cash for investing activities like property, plant, equipment (PPE) purchases, or acquisitions.
- Investment needs vary in timing and amount.
- Mature firms display predictable capital expenditure and credit demands.
Demand for Credit—Financing Activities
- Financing activities occur less frequently than operating and investing activities.
- Common situations include bank loans or bond maturities where companies lack the necessary funds.
- Funds are also used to pay dividends or repurchase stock.
Supply of Credit—Trade Credit
- Trade credit from suppliers is usually non-interest bearing.
- Suppliers' terms specify early payment discounts, maximum credit limits, payment terms, and other restrictions.
- Suppliers tailor terms to particular customer creditworthiness.
Supply of Credit—Bank Loans
- Bank loans are structured to meet specific client needs.
- Revolving credit lines allow fluctuating cash balances with floating interest rates.
- Letters of credit guarantee payment between a company and its supplier, with the bank interposed.
- Term loans provide a set loan amount with periodic payments; interest rates are fixed or floating.
- Mortgages are term loans secured by collateral.
Supply of Credit—Other Forms of Financing
- Nonbank private financing is used when bank financing isn't available.
- Private lenders often provide expertise in the specific industry and structure loan repayments.
- Lease financing is frequently used for PPE acquisition, evaluating the credit risk of the lessee and collateral.
Supply of Credit—Publicly Traded Debt
- Commercial paper is an efficient way to raise funds, regulated by the SEC, even if not publicly traded.
- Short-term borrowing (270 days or less) is exempt from SEC regulation.
- Bonds and debentures are public borrowings for longer durations, regulated by the SEC.
- Principal is repaid on a fixed term with semi-annual or annual interest.
Learning Objective 2: Explain the credit risk analysis process
- Credit risk analysis quantifies potential credit losses to facilitate informed lending decisions.
- Expected credit loss is the product of the chance of default and loss given default.
- Many parties, including trade creditors, financial institutions, public debt market participants, and credit rating agencies, perform credit risk analysis.
Chance of Default
- Quantifies the risk of loss from non-payment.
- Repayment ability depends on future cash flow and profitability.
- Involves evaluating the loan's nature and purpose, macroeconomic environment, industry conditions, performing financial analysis, and conducting prospective analysis.
Step 1: Evaluate Nature and Purpose of the Loan
- Determining the loan's necessity and nature is crucial.
- Possible loan uses include cyclical cash flow needs, major capital expenditures, funding temporary or ongoing operating losses, and reconfiguring capital structure.
Step 2: Assess Macroeconomics Environment and Industry Conditions
- Industry competition, buyer and supplier bargaining power, threat of substitution, and threat of new entrants influence business costs and pricing.
Step 3: Analyze Financial Ratios
- Financial ratios are key in credit risk analysis, but there is no single "best" set of ratios.
- Profitability and coverage, liquidity, and solvency ratios are often analyzed.
Step 4: Perform Prospective Analysis
- Creditors must forecast the borrower's cash flows to estimate repayment ability.
- Companies need cash to repay maturing debts and meet ongoing debt service obligations.
- Financial statements need to be projected to compute future ratios.
Loss Given Default (LGD)
- LGD is the potential loss if the borrowing company defaults on its obligations (i.e. failure to pay or covenant violations).
- Companies must repay senior claims first.
- Lenders mitigate loss through credit limits, collateral, repayment terms, and covenants.
Loss Given Default Factors: Collateral
- Collateral is pledged property for guarantee of repayment, often real estate.
- Credit analysis should assess existing liens.
- Bankruptcy laws protect ordinary trade creditors by allowing the recovery of goods shipped within 45 days.
Loss Given Default Factors: Repayment Terms
- Repayment term is the time for debt repayment.
- Early payment discounts often apply to trade creditors.
- Lenders consider the economic life of the asset in relation to the loan term when assessing LGD.
Loss Given Default Factors: Covenants
- Covenants are loan terms mandating specific actions, restricting certain activities, or imposing financial conditions on borrowers.
- Examples include requirements to submit financial statements or prohibitions on mergers/investments.
Learning Objective 3: Compute and Interpret Credit Risk Measures
- Compute and interpret credit risk measures.
Adjusting Financial Information
- Analysts scrutinize current and prior financial statements to accurately reflect company performance.
- GAAP statements may not precisely reflect true financial condition.
- Adjustments are made to financial statements to improve accuracy.
Profitability Analysis
- Profitability affects bankruptcy risk: More profitable firms are less likely to default.
- Return on Equity (ROE) can be disaggregated to assess profitability, considering return on assets and financial leverage.
Profitability Analysis (Home Depot)
- Home Depot's 2019 ROE is negatively impacted by negative stockholders' equity.
- High ROE in 2017 and 2018 due to treasury stock reducing stockholders' equity.
Expanded Profitability Analysis
- RNOA (Return on Net Operating Assets) aggregates operating activity returns and includes comprehensive profitability measurement, unaffected by the company's leverage or treasury stock.
- RNOA calculation considers Net Operating Profit Margin and Net Operating Asset Turnover.
Coverage Analysis
- Coverage analysis evaluates a company's ability to generate cash to cover principal and interest payments.
- "Flow" ratios are based on cash flow and income statement data.
- Examples include Times Interest Earned, EBITDA Coverage Ratio.
Times Interest Earned Ratio
- This ratio reflects income available for interest expense.
EBITDA Coverage Ratio
- Calculated as Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) + Depreciation & Amortization / Interest expense, gross.
- EBITDA is a non-GAAP metric used more often than Times Interest Earned ratios because depreciation/amortization doesn't require cash outflow.
Income Coverage Ratios (Home Depot)
- A comparison of times interest earned versus EBITDA coverage for Home Depot across years to illustrate ratios' trends.
Coverage Analysis (Cash Flow)
- Cash from operations to total debt evaluates the ability to generate cash for debt payments.
- Free operating cash flow to total debt considers excess operating cash after capital expenditure.
Cash Flow Coverage Ratios (Home Depot)
- Graph showing Home Depot's cash flow coverage across years.
Liquidity Ratios
- Liquidity relates to cash availability and its short-term generation.
- Current Ratio and Quick Ratio demonstrate cash availability and its conversion into cash.
Liquidity Ratios (Home Depot)
- Data showing Home Depot's Current Ratio and Quick Ratio across years using graphs.
Solvency Ratios
- Solvency assesses a company's ability to meet its debt obligations.
- Insolvency signifies company failure.
- Two common solvency ratios are the Liabilities-to-equity ratio and the total debt-to-equity ratio.
Solvency Analysis
- Solvency varies by industry and depends on the relative stability of cash flows.
- Exhibit 4.4 illustrates median ratios of liabilities-to-equity across different industries.
Solvency Analysis (Home Depot)
- Home Depot's negative equity affects solvency ratio calculation, requiring stated numbers for comparison.
- Graphs show Home Depot's liabilities-to-equity and debt-to-equity ratios over time
Learning Objective 5: Apply Bankruptcy Prediction Models to Evaluate Bankruptcy Risk
- Assess a company's bankruptcy risk.
- Altman's Z model predicts bankruptcy risk.
Bankruptcy Prediction Indicators (Altman's Z model)
- Altman's Z model uses several variables to compute a Z-score relating to various factors indicative of financial health.
Z-Score Interpretation
- Z-score is a measure of liquidity, long-term and short-term profitability, levered status, and total asset efficiency.
- Scores above 3 represent low bankruptcy risk; scores below 1.8, high bankruptcy risk.
Application of Z-Score (Home Depot)
- Home Depot's Z-score (2019) indicates low bankruptcy risk in the short-term.
Analyst Adjustments 4.1 & 4.2
- Financial statements are adjusted or reformulated before ratio analysis.
- These adjustments account for items such as defined benefit pension plans or multiemployer pension plans, operating leases (off-balance-sheet), or leases (on-balance-sheet).
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Description
Test your understanding of key financial management topics, including profitability measures, credit risk, and the implications of leveraging debt. This quiz covers various aspects of financial statements and credit market dynamics, essential for both students and professionals in finance.