Exchange Rates Overview
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Questions and Answers

What defines the equilibrium exchange rate?

  • When the quantity supplied of foreign currency exceeds the quantity demanded.
  • When demand for local goods increases the value of the foreign currency.
  • When foreign currencies are traded on a black market.
  • When the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded of foreign currency at a specific local price. (correct)

A home currency depreciation means the home currency has become less valuable compared to foreign currencies.

True (A)

What triggers the demand for foreign currency?

The demand for foreign goods, services, and financial assets.

The _____ exchange rate occurs when the demand for foreign goods increases, leading to higher prices for foreign currency in local terms.

<p>equilibrium</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following concepts with their definitions:

<p>Foreign Currency Demand = Derived from the demand for goods and services from a foreign country. Foreign Currency Supply = Derived from the foreign country’s demand for local goods. Home Currency Depreciation = When foreign currency becomes more valuable than the home currency. Equilibrium Exchange Rate = The point where the quantity supplied and demanded of foreign currency are equal.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential outcome of a government printing money to pay off a large debt?

<p>Increased inflation (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Political stability can attract more foreign investment.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What typically happens to interest rates during an economic recession?

<p>They fall</p> Signup and view all the answers

The difference between the monetary value of a nation’s exports and imports is known as the __________.

<p>Terms of Trade</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following economic terms with their definitions:

<p>Political Stability = Attraction of foreign investment Economic Recession = Decrease in interest rates Terms of Trade = Value of exports vs imports Current Account Deficit = Weaker currency due to high deficits</p> Signup and view all the answers

What effect does a higher current account deficit typically have on a country's currency?

<p>Weakens the currency (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An increase in exports can lead to a depreciation of a country's currency.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does an economic recession affect the flow of money in and out of a country?

<p>Money flows out to countries with higher interest rates</p> Signup and view all the answers

What formula is used to calculate currency depreciation?

<p>$ rac{e_0 - e_1}{e_1}$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When the value of a currency decreases, it is referred to as currency appreciation.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the euro's value changes from $0.64 to $0.68, what is the percentage appreciation of the euro?

<p>6.25%</p> Signup and view all the answers

An increase in interest rates can make a currency more ______ for foreign investors.

<p>attractive</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which factor does NOT directly affect exchange rates?

<p>Advertising expenditures (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Foreign investors are more likely to invest in countries with high government debt.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to a currency when there is a fear of a debt default?

<p>It falls in value.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following concepts with their descriptions:

<p>Inflation rates = Purchasing power and competitiveness Interest rates = Attractiveness to foreign investors Government debt = Investor confidence Hot money = Rapid investment shifts</p> Signup and view all the answers

What typically happens if speculators believe the Euro will fall?

<p>They will sell Euros for a currency they expect to rise. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Government intervention can lead to a currency appreciating against others.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the role of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) in influencing the yuan's value?

<p>The PBOC absorbs foreign capital inflows and issues yuan, keeping it artificially low.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The mood of investors is generally lifted when the _______ market rises.

<p>stock</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match each exchange rate system with its description:

<p>Flexible (Floating) = Market-driven exchange rates Fixed = Government-managed exchange rates Managed Float = Combination of flexible and fixed systems Exchange Controls = Government-monopolized currency markets</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a possible impact of a rising domestic stock market?

<p>Increased demand for domestic currency. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a Fixed Exchange Rate System, the market primarily determines exchange rates.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might a government want to keep its currency artificially low?

<p>To boost exports and attract foreign investment.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a depreciation of a currency?

<p>A fall in the exchange rate value (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under a fixed exchange rate system, currency values can fluctuate freely based on market demand.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a managed float exchange rate system sometimes referred to as?

<p>dirty float</p> Signup and view all the answers

A discrete official reduction in the par value of a currency is called a __________.

<p>devaluation</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following terms with their definitions:

<p>Depreciation = Fall in exchange rate value Appreciation = Rise in exchange rate value Devaluation = Reduction in fixed par value Revaluation = Increase in fixed par value</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to exports when the currency appreciates?

<p>They become less price competitive (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Exchange controls are solely about allowing free market transactions of currencies.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary purpose of central bank intervention in foreign exchange markets?

<p>To influence the home exchange rate</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one primary goal of foreign exchange intervention?

<p>To alter the demand for one currency by changing the supply of another (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A currency's value is only affected by its current supply.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Name one factor that affects exchange rates.

<p>Current events or Demand flows or Expectations of future exchange rates or Current supply</p> Signup and view all the answers

Central Bank _____ is crucial for maintaining stability in the foreign exchange market.

<p>Independence</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following influences on currency value with their descriptions:

<p>Central Bank Reputation = Commitment to transparency and well-articulated goals Sound Economic Policies = A currency tends to strengthen with responsible governance Demand for Money = Reflects the desire for a currency as a financial asset Expectation of Future Exchange Rates = Speculative behavior affecting current exchange rates</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement describes expectations in relation to currency?

<p>They influence exchange rates reflecting views on future events. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Foreign exchange intervention is always effective and responsible.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What could happen if the effects of foreign exchange intervention are permanent?

<p>It would lead to lasting changes in currency value.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Equilibrium Exchange Rate

The market-clearing price where the quantity of foreign currency supplied equals the quantity demanded.

Foreign Currency Demand

The desire for foreign goods, services, and financial assets.

Foreign Currency Supply

The desire of foreigners to buy local goods.

Exchange rate appreciation

Increase in value of a foreign currency relative to a home currency.

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Exchange rate depreciation

Decrease in value of a foreign currency relative to a home currency.

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Currency Depreciation Formula

Calculates the percentage change in a currency's value, indicating a decrease in its worth. e0 - e1/e1

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Currency Appreciation Formula

Calculates the percentage change in a currency's value, indicating an increase in its worth. e1 - e0 / e0

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Inflation and Exchange Rates

Lower inflation in a country typically leads to a stronger and more valuable currency compared to countries with higher inflation.

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Interest Rates and Exchange Rates

Higher interest rates in a country attract foreign investment ('hot money'), increasing demand for that currency and leading to a stronger exchange rate.

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Government Debt and Exchange Rates

High government debt can decrease investor confidence, leading to currency devaluation as investors sell bonds in that currency.

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e0

Old currency value

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e1

New currency value

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Depreciation Calculation

Percentage calculation revealing a currency's loss of value.

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Exchange Rate & Speculation

Market sentiment and beliefs about future currency values heavily influence exchange rates.

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Exchange Rate & Interest Rates

Anticipation of interest rate changes in a country can affect currency valuations.

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Government Intervention on Exchange Rates

Governments sometimes manipulate exchange rates to support their trade goals.

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Stock Markets & Exchange Rates

Stock market performance affects investor confidence, impacting demand for currencies.

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Flexible Exchange Rate System

Exchange rates determined by market forces of supply and demand.

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Fixed Exchange Rate System

Governments control the exchange rate.

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Managed Float Exchange Rate System

A combination of flexible and fixed exchange rate systems, with government intervention.

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Exchange Controls

A situation in which governments dominate currency markets.

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Government Debt & Inflation

Governments sometimes print more money to pay off debt, which can lead to increased prices (inflation).

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Political Stability & Exchange Rates

Stable political environments attract foreign investment, strengthening the domestic currency; while instability discourages investment and weakens the currency.

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Economic Recession & Exchange Rates

Recessions often lead to lower interest rates, encouraging capital to flow to other countries with higher interest rates, causing the domestic currency to depreciate.

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Terms of Trade & Exchange Rates

A country's terms of trade improve if the rate of increase in its export prices exceeds the rate of increase in its import prices, strengthening its currency.

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Current Account Deficits & Exchange Rates

Countries with larger current account deficits (spending more than earned through trade and investments) tend to have weaker currencies relative to those with smaller deficits.

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Currency Appreciation

An increase in the value of a currency relative to another.

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Currency Depreciation

A decrease in the value of a currency relative to another.

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Foreign Investment & Currency

Foreign investors are more likely to invest in places with political stability, leading to a stronger domestic currency.

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Currency Depreciation

A fall in the market price (exchange rate) of a currency.

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Currency Appreciation

A rise in the market price (exchange rate) of a currency.

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Devaluation

A reduction in the fixed par value of a currency.

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Revaluation

An increase in the fixed par value of a currency.

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Managed Float

Central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market to influence exchange rates.

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Exchange Controls

Governmental arrangements to control currency purchases/sales by individuals and firms.

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Currency Appreciation Impact

Domestic goods become less competitive; imports become more attractive.

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Currency Depreciation Impact

Domestic goods become more competitive; imports become less attractive.

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Foreign Exchange Intervention Goal

Changing the demand for one currency by altering the supply of another.

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Intervention Effectiveness

Foreign exchange intervention's impact may be ineffective or irresponsible, and if lasting, can result in changes.

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Currency Value Determinants

Current events, supply, demand flows, and future exchange rate expectations influence a currency's value.

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Currency Values & Financial Assets

Exchange rates are the simple relationship between two financial assets (currencies).

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Sound Economic Policies & Currency Strength

A nation's currency tends to strengthen with sound economic policies.

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Central Bank Behavior & Exchange Rates

Exchange rates are also influenced by expectations of central bank behavior.

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Central Bank Reputation

A central bank's reputation relies on adhering to well-articulated and transparent rules and policy goals.

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Central Bank Independence

Central bank independence, like the BSP's from the National Government, is key to reliable policy making.

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Study Notes

Exchange Rates Overview

  • Exchange rates are the market-clearing prices that balance the supply and demand for foreign currency.

Equilibrium Exchange Rates

  • Foreign Currency Demand is derived from the demand for a foreign country's goods, services, and financial assets.
    • Example: Americans demand German goods, requiring them to convert US dollars to Euros.
  • Foreign Currency Supply is derived from the foreign country's demand for local goods.
    • Example: Germans demand US goods, requiring them to convert Euros to US dollars.
  • Equilibrium Exchange Rate occurs when the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded of a foreign currency at a specific local price.

How Exchange Rates Change

  • Increased demand for foreign goods leads to an increase in the price of the foreign currency. Conversely, decreased demand leads to a decrease in the price.

Home Currency Depreciation

  • Foreign currency becomes more valuable compared to the home currency.

  • The foreign currency appreciates (increases in value) against the home currency.

Calculating Depreciation/Appreciation

  • Depreciation: (Old value - New value)/Old value = % Depreciation
    • Example: If euro value changes from 0.64to0.64 to 0.64to0.68, depreciation is (0.64-0.68)/0.64 = -6.25%
  • Appreciation: (New Value - Old Value)/Old Value = % Appreciation
    • Example: If euro value changes from 0.64to0.64 to 0.64to0.68, appreciation is (0.68-0.64)/0.64 = 6.25%

Factors Affecting Exchange Rates

  • Inflation Rates: Countries with lower inflation tend to see their currency strengthen as its purchasing power is higher relative to other currencies.
  • Interest Rates: Higher interest rates make a country's currency more attractive to investors seeking higher returns, leading to increased demand and a higher currency value.
    • "Hot Money": This refers to the rapid flow of money into a high-interest country.
  • Government/Public Debt: Countries with large public debts are less attractive to foreign investors, potentially leading to a weaker currency as investors sell bonds, potentially leading to devaluation.
  • Political Stability: Countries with greater political stability tend to attract more foreign investment, leading to a stronger currency. Conversely, instability may result in a weaker currency as investors are cautious.
  • Economic Recession: During a recession, interest rates typically fall, prompting a flow of money out of the country to countries with higher interest rates. This can cause the country's currency to weaken.
  • Terms of Trade: This is the difference between the value of exports and imports. Improvement in terms of trade (exports increase relative to imports) tends to strengthen the currency due to higher demand.
  • Current Account Deficits: Countries with large current account deficits (spending more on imports than earning from exports) may see their currencies weaken as there's an outflow of funds to pay for imports.
  • Confidence and Speculation: Political events, commodity price changes, or market sentiment can cause fluctuations in exchange rates as speculators adjust their decisions based on future expectations.
  • Government Intervention: Governments sometimes intervene in the forex market to keep their currency's value artificially low (e.g. China).

Exchange Rate Management Systems

  • Flexible (Floating) System: Market forces determine exchange rates.
  • Fixed System: Governments manage exchange rates and limit fluctuations.
  • Managed Float System: A combination of flexible and fixed systems.
  • Exchange Controls: Governments monopolize currency markets.

Role of Central Banks

  • Exchange Rate Role: Central banks manage and intervene in the foreign exchange markets to affect the currency's value in ways they consider beneficial.
  • Intervention Effects: Central bank intervention can be ineffective or even counterproductive.
  • Currency Appreciation: Increased domestic prices are relative to foreign prices, making exports less competitive and imports more attractive.
  • Currency Depreciation: Decreased domestic prices are relative to foreign prices, making exports more competitive and imports less attractive.

Expectations and Central Bank Behavior

  • Key factors affecting exchange rates include: current events, current supply & demand, expectations of future exchange rates, and sound economic policies.
  • Central Bank Reputation: Central Bank reputations and a commitment to transparent rules and policy goals influence exchange rates.
  • Central Bank Independence: Central bank autonomy from governmental influence is important for credible and reliable policies, impacting currency values.
  • Currency Boards: A Currency Board is typically required to maintain reserves of the underlying foreign currency for fixed-rate exchange policies.

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Description

This quiz covers the basics of exchange rates, including equilibrium exchange rates and how they fluctuate based on market demand and supply. Understanding these concepts is essential for grasping how currencies interact in the global economy.

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