Exchange Rate and the Firm
48 Questions
1 Views

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to Lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson

Questions and Answers

What does currency risk primarily relate to?

  • Operational inefficiencies in a firm
  • The credit quality of borrowers
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Variability in the value of an exposure due to exchange rate fluctuations (correct)
  • Which of the following is NOT a type of risk associated with exchange rates?

  • Market Risk
  • Emotional Risk (correct)
  • Liquidity Risk
  • Credit Risk
  • What factor is NOT considered to determine the degree of currency risk?

  • Amount of exposure
  • Type of production
  • Volatility of exchange rates
  • Interest rates in the home country (correct)
  • How is credit risk described?

    <p>Loss from the default or fall in credit quality of a borrower (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is an example of market risk?

    <p>Changes in currency or interest rates (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If the exchange rate were to drop by 1%, how much could Airbus potentially lose on the sale mentioned in the content?

    <p>$7.8 million (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What type of risk includes uncertainties regarding demand for products?

    <p>Business Risk (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which situation is characterized by low currency risk?

    <p>Low volatility and low exposure (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does a long position in the market indicate?

    <p>A bet on an increase in value (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT a type of financial derivative used in hedging?

    <p>Equities (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Who participates in the spot market?

    <p>Individuals and businesses engaging in foreign transactions (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the bid price?

    <p>The price a dealer is willing to pay (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the bid-ask spread as uncertainty increases?

    <p>It increases. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which category does NOT belong to the main market participants?

    <p>Private equity firms (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens if all market participants have the same forecast?

    <p>There will be no buying or selling (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which economic principle indicates that supply increases with price?

    <p>Law of supply. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is triangular arbitrage used for in currency markets?

    <p>To exploit discrepancies in currency values. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the ask price represent?

    <p>The price at which a buyer can purchase an asset (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Given the exchange rates S($/€) = 1.50 and S(¥/€) = 50, what is the implied $/¥ cross rate?

    <p>$1.00 = ¥33.33 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following best describes the bid-ask spread?

    <p>The difference between the bid price and ask price (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What might indicate that an auction is necessary according to Arrow-Debreu?

    <p>A market does not reach equilibrium. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one of the first steps in executing triangular arbitrage?

    <p>Sell $ for £. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which mechanism is presumed to help achieve market equilibrium according to auction systems?

    <p>Auctions. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does an increased bid-ask spread likely indicate about market conditions?

    <p>High uncertainty. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key difference between futures and forward contracts?

    <p>Futures contracts are traded on an exchange. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What mechanism is primarily used in futures contracts to avoid default risk?

    <p>Mark to market with margin requirements (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In futures contracts, what is the term for the minimum amount required to maintain a market position?

    <p>Maintenance margin (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement is true regarding the trading of futures contracts?

    <p>Futures can be traded electronically or via open-outcry. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens during daily settlements in a futures contract?

    <p>Cash adjustments are made based on price fluctuations. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What type of position does a buyer of a futures contract hold?

    <p>Long position (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of futures contracts?

    <p>They are exclusively traded on the over-the-counter market. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is required to enter the futures market based on the margin system?

    <p>A performance bond of 10% to 15% of the transaction (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the initial margin required for trading a CME S&P 500 contract?

    <p>$19,688 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How much does a 1/32 price movement in the 10-year T-note lead to in mark to market per contract?

    <p>$15.625 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If the dollar depreciates, what is the impact on Airbus's futures account based on the example given?

    <p>The futures account generates profits that offset some of the losses. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the tick size for contracts involving gold priced per troy ounce?

    <p>$0.10 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does it mean if a firm is long on the dollar in a futures market?

    <p>They expect the dollar to appreciate. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the relationship between Airbus and Delta Airlines in the context of futures trading?

    <p>Airbus gains while Delta Airlines incurs losses since they are in a zero-sum game. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the given example, what is the loss calculated on the underlying position if the spot rate opens at 1.35 and the P future at 1.34?

    <p>-$5 million (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the term 'zero-sum game' imply in the context of futures trading?

    <p>The total profit and loss among participants equals zero. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary benefit of a currency swap for firms?

    <p>It enables firms to take advantage of comparative borrowing advantages. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In a currency swap, how is the domestic currency loan typically converted?

    <p>By purchasing forward contracts to convert payments. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following statements about implied forward rates in currency swaps is true?

    <p>Implied forward rates may vary but should resemble an average forward rate in total over the loan term. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What market condition allows currency swaps to be useful?

    <p>When there are market imperfections affecting debt access. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one of the approaches to analyze exchange rate cycles mentioned?

    <p>Using moving averages to decompose trends. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How many different moving averages should be calculated according to the exercise?

    <p>Three different moving averages. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the purpose of the Hodrick-Prescott filter in analyzing exchange rates?

    <p>To remove irregularities in the exchange rate data. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which value of lambda is considered in one of the HP filter scenarios?

    <p>1,440 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Flashcards

    Long Position

    A position in a market where a trader bets on the value of an asset increasing.

    Short Position

    A position in a market where a trader bets on the value of an asset decreasing.

    Hedging

    A strategy to reduce risk by offsetting potential losses in one investment with gains in another.

    Financial Derivatives

    Financial instruments derived from the value of underlying assets like currencies, stocks, or commodities.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Spot Market

    The market where currencies are bought and sold for immediate delivery, usually within two business days.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Bid Price

    The price at which a dealer is willing to buy a currency.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Ask Price

    The price at which a dealer is willing to sell a currency.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Bid-Ask Spread

    The difference between the bid and ask prices in a currency exchange.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Mic-Mac Link

    A domino-like effect where a crisis in one financial sector can trigger crises in others.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Currency Risk

    The possibility of losing money due to changes in exchange rates. For example, a company exporting goods faces currency risk if the value of their currency falls before they receive payment.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Credit Risk

    The possibility of losing money because a borrower fails to repay their debt.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Market Risk

    The possibility of losing money due to changes in financial prices, such as currency rates, interest rates, or stock prices.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Liquidity Risk

    The inability to raise cash by selling assets or borrowing money to meet financial obligations.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Operational Risk

    The risk of losing money due to problems with internal processes, systems, or people.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Legal and Regulatory Risk

    The risk associated with uncertainty about future changes in laws, regulations, and codes.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Business Risk

    The risk of losing money due to uncertainty about future demand for products or services.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Supply and Demand

    When the supply of a good or service increases as the price goes up.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Auction System

    A mechanism that helps find an equilibrium price by matching buyers and sellers.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Cobb-Web Model

    A theoretical model that explains how prices move towards an equilibrium in a market with changing supply and demand.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Triangular Arbitrage

    A situation where the exchange rates between three currencies create an opportunity to make a profit by trading them in a specific sequence.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Cross Rates

    The exchange rate between two currencies derived from their individual exchange rates with a third currency.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Spot FX Trading

    The price at which a currency is bought or sold immediately.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Arbitrage

    The act of profiting by exploiting discrepancies in exchange rates between different markets.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures vs. Forwards

    Futures contracts are standardized and traded on an exchange, while forward contracts are customized and negotiated directly between parties.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Liquidity

    Futures contracts are more liquid than forward contracts due to standardization and the ability to be traded again.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Margin Calls in Futures

    Futures contracts utilize margin calls to ensure performance by requiring traders to deposit a portion of the contract value as collateral.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Mark-to-Market

    Daily settlement of gains and losses in futures contracts is referred to as 'mark-to-market'. This helps reduce default risk by reflecting price changes daily.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Long vs. Short Positions

    The buyer of a futures contract is said to have a 'long position' and benefits from price increases. The seller has a 'short position' and benefits from price decreases.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Contract Termination

    Futures contracts can be closed out (terminated) before the expiration date by entering into an offsetting transaction.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Contract Provisions

    Futures contracts specify the underlying asset (e.g., commodity, currency), its amount and quality, delivery cycle, expiration date, and settlement mechanism.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Trading Methods

    Futures trading can occur through open outcry (voice and hand signals) or electronically.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Contract Mark to Market

    The value of a futures contract changes based on the difference between the initial price and the current price of the underlying asset.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Initial Margin

    The amount of money required to open a futures position, acting as collateral to cover potential losses.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Contract

    A futures contract allows you to either buy or sell the underlying asset at a pre-determined price at a future date.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Option Contract

    A contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a specific price (strike price) on or before a specific date (expiry date).

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Strike Price

    The price at which an investor can buy or sell the underlying asset when exercising an option contract.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Option Expiration Date

    The date after which an option contract can no longer be exercised.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Futures Market

    A market where participants buy and sell contracts for future delivery of assets, often used for hedging and speculation.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Currency Swap

    A financial contract where two parties agree to exchange a series of payments in one currency for payments in another currency, effectively hedging against currency fluctuations. It involves a firm taking a domestic currency loan and buying forward contracts to convert payments into known foreign currency obligations.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Implied Forward Rate

    The implied exchange rate between two currencies for a future date. Based on the prevailing interest rates, it indicates the expected future exchange rate.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Comparative Borrowing Advantage

    A situation where one party has a borrowing advantage in one currency while the other party has an advantage in the other currency. This motivates them to enter into a swap to benefit from lower borrowing costs.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Trend/Cycle Decomposition

    A method of decomposing a time series data, such as an exchange rate, into a trend component and a cyclical component. This helps in understanding the underlying long-term movement and short-term fluctuations.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Moving Average

    A method of smoothing data by calculating the average of a series of consecutive observations. Different types of moving averages are used, depending on the number of periods considered.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter

    A statistical method used to decompose a time series into a long-term trend and a cyclical component, using a specific parameter (lambda).

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Decision Strategies

    Strategies based on analyzing trends and cycles in exchange rate data to identify opportunities for buying or selling currencies, anticipating future movements.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Exchange Rate Cycles

    The movement of an exchange rate over time, characterized by periods of appreciation and depreciation, often reflecting economic and political factors.

    Signup and view all the flashcards

    Study Notes

    Exchange Rate and the Firm

    • Exchange rates affect financial sectors and non-financial firms. A crisis in one sector can impact others.
    • Banking sector risks are linked to exchange rate expectations. Macroeconomic risks can affect firms' and government's financial stability.
    • Risks include:
      • Credit risk: Loss due to borrower default (banks, government, firms).
      • Market risk: Changes in financial prices (currency, interest rate, equity, commodity).
      • Liquidity risk: Inability to liquidate assets or roll over debt.
      • Operational risk: System failures, management errors, fraud, human error.
      • Legal and regulatory risk: Changes to laws, regulations, and codes.
      • Business risk: Uncertain demand for products.
    • Currency risk is the variability in an exposure's value due to exchange rate uncertainty.
    • Currency risk depends on:
      • Exchange rate volatility.
      • Amount of exposure.
    • Exposure:
      • Long exposure: Assets exceeding liabilities in a particular currency.
      • Short exposure: Liabilities exceeding assets in a particular currency.
    • Example: Airbus selling planes in US dollars; A change in the exchange rate impacts the profit as liabilities and assets are denominated in different currencies.

    Exposure

    • Companies or individuals with assets or liabilities denominated in different currencies are exposed to exchange rate risk.
    • A 'Brexit announcement' can be an example of an event that significantly impacts the exchange rate and business operations.
    • Currency exposures depend on the volatility of exchange rates and the quantity of the exposure.

    Foreign Exchange Rates and Hedging Strategies

    • Hedging: Taking an opposite position to reduce macroeconomic risk, potentially involving costs or gains.
    • Companies may have long or short positions in foreign currencies based on future expectations.
    • Hedging can be done through futures, options, and swaps.

    Spot Markets and Participants

    • Foreign exchange markets have various participants (banks, individuals, etc.).
    • There are wholesale and retail markets for large and small currency transactions.

    Spot Rate Quotations

    • Bid price: Price a dealer pays for an asset (e.g., currency).
    • Ask price: Price a dealer expects from the buyer for an asset.
    • Bid-ask spread: Difference between bid and ask prices. Bid-Ask Spread reflects the uncertainty.

    Cross Rates

    • Triangular arbitrage profits can be made if there are discrepancies between different currency exchange rates
    • The risk-adjusted value determines the profit from cross rate analysis.

    Hedging

    • A future or forward contract is a promise to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price on a future date.
    • A forward contract is customized, while a future contract is standardized.
    • Margin calls can occur on futures contracts, guaranteeing contract performance.
    • Options give the right, not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a certain price (strike price) on or before a date (expiration date).
      • Call option: Right to buy.
      • Put option: Right to sell.
    • American options can be exercised any time before expiration, while European options only on the expiration date.

    Currency Swaps

    • A currency swap is an exchange of debt obligations denominated in different currencies.
    • Firms use swaps to benefit from their respective borrowing advantages in different currencies.
    • Investment banks facilitate currency swaps between parties, mitigating borrowing uncertainties.

    Evolution of FX Markets

    • Global FX market turnover increased over time.
    • US dollar dominance persists in exchange rate transactions.

    Exercises

    • Several exercises involve analyzing exchange rates using different methods (moving averages, Hodrick-Prescott filter, etc.) to understand trends, interpret data, and apply trading strategies.
    • Currency hedging strategies are considered in the exercises.

    Studying That Suits You

    Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

    Quiz Team

    Related Documents

    International Finance PDF

    Description

    This quiz explores the critical impact of exchange rates on both financial and non-financial sectors. It examines various types of risks associated with currency fluctuations, including credit, market, liquidity, operational, legal, and business risks. Additionally, the quiz delves into how these risks affect the stability of firms and government financials.

    More Like This

    Use Quizgecko on...
    Browser
    Browser