Econ 130: Keynesian Model and Business Cycles

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Questions and Answers

In the context of economic models, which statement best describes the role of simplification?

  • Simplification ensures models perfectly mirror reality, capturing every detail.
  • Simplification allows easier reasoning within and about the model, despite some loss of realism. (correct)
  • Simplification focuses on making models 'correct' rather than 'right'.
  • Simplification aims to eliminate all mathematical complexity to make models accessible to everyone.

According to the Keynesian model discussed, an investment slump leads to a multiplier effect on Gross National Product (GNP).

True (A)

In the Keynes 2.0 model, what components does the aggregate demand (Y) consist of?

Consumption (C), Investment (I), and Government spending (G)

In the Keynes 2.0 model, taxes (T) are defined by the equation T = z^T + ______Y.

<p>t</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match each component from the Keynes 2.0 model with its corresponding description:

<p>C = Consumption I = Investment G = Government Spending T = Taxes</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the Keynes 2.0 model, how does an increase in the marginal propensity to consume (c) typically affect the size of the multiplier?

<p>It increases the size of the multiplier. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In Keynesian economics, increased saving always stimulates economic growth.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, how does the introduction of an income tax affect the multiplier effect in the Keynesian model?

<p>It reduces the multiplier effect.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the Keynes 3.0 model, the inclusion of an open economy adds net exports (X Q) to the aggregate demand, where Q represents ______.

<p>imports</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the variable from the Keynes 3.0 model with its corresponding description:

<p>Y = Aggregate Demand C = Consumption X = Exports Q = Imports</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an open economy context within the Keynesian framework, what effect does import leakage have on the multiplier?

<p>It reduces the multiplier effect. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The accelerator effect suggests that increased income only boosts consumer spending, not investment.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the concept of 'automatic stabilizers' refer to in the context of fiscal policy?

<p>Existing regulations for taxes and public expenditures</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the material, cutting pensions and social welfare in a crisis is an example of a policy relevant to the discussion on ______ in times of economic downturn.

<p>automatic stabilization</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the term with its corresponding description:

<p>Automatic Stabilizers = Existing regulations for taxes and public expenditures that help stabilize the economy. Multiplier Effect = The increase in final income arising from any new injection of spending. Import Leakage = The reduction in the multiplier effect due to spending on foreign goods.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Economic Models

Simplified representations of reality used for analysis.

Multiplier Effect

The effect where an investment boosts GDP through multiple rounds of spending.

Keynesian Model

A basic Keynesian macroeconomic model including Consumption, Investment, and Government spending.

Marginal Propensity to Consume

The part of income that households spend rather than save.

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Accelerator Effect

The effect of increased investment due to higher income.

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Paradox of Thrift

Increased savings can lead to lower overall economic output.

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Net Exports

The part of GDP that is imports minus exports

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Import Leakage

The reduction in the multiplier effect due to spending on imports.

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Automatic Stabilizers

Government policies that automatically stabilize economic cycles.

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Fiscal Policy

Using government spending and taxation to influence the economy.

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Study Notes

  • Econ 130 Macroeconomics, Lecture Notes 6 covers:
  • Business cycles and economic activity
  • Keynes model including endogenous investments, endogenous tax functions, and open economy.

Models

  • Models simplify real world complexities.
  • Models facilitate reasoning inside and outside their frameworks with non-realistic elements.
  • Investment failures within a model may lead to a multiplier effect on GDP.
  • Low interest rates outside the model can inflate housing prices, potentially causing a banking crisis.
  • The required level of mathematical rigor in a model is a consideration.

Keynes 2.0

  • (6.1) Y = C + I + G
  • (6.2) C = zC + c₁(Y − T)
  • (6.3) I = zI + b₁Y
  • (6.4) T = zT + tY

Solution

  • Y = 1/(1-c₁(1-t)-b₁) * (zC - c₁zT + zI + G)
  • The solution mimics the structure of Keynes 1.0.
  • The other endogenous variables C, I, and T can also be solved for.
  • Focus is on Y due to its close link with unemployment.

Change Form

  • (6.13) ΔY = 1/(1-c₁(1-t)-b₁) * ΔzI
  • Multiplier in Keynes 1.0 = 1/(1-c₁)
  • Multiplier in Keynes 2.0 = 1/(1-c₁(1-t)-b₁)
  • 't' reduces the multiplier, which also reduces marginal propensity to consume.
  • This provides a preview of “automatic stabilization.”
  • b₁ increases the multiplier. More income increases both consumption and investments (accelerator effect).
  • Example calculation: c=0.6, t=0.5, b=0.1 gives a multiplier of 1.7, contrasting with 2.5 without considering b₁.

Paradox of Thrift

  • Savings in a Keynesian model still impede the multiplier effect
  • With exogenous investments, saving reduces consumption.
  • Reduced investments make the savings paradox even more pronounced.

Keynes 3.0

  • The economy is opened up with a fixed exchange rate.
  • (6.20) Y = C + I + G + X - Q
  • Net exports, like investments, are a component of GDP that can fluctuate substantially.
  • The Keynes model expands upon previous structures.
  • (6.23) Y = C + I + G + X − Q
  • (6.24) C = zC + c₁(Y − T), where 0 < c₁ < 1
  • (6.25) I = zI + b₁Y, where 0 < b₁ < 1
  • (6.26) T = zT + tY, where 0 < t < 1
  • (6.27) Q = aY, where 0 < a < 1

Solution of Keynes 3.0 Model

  • (6.31) Y = 1/(1-c₁(1-t₁)-b₁+a) * (zC - c₁zT + zI + G + X)
  • (6.32) ΔY = 1/(1-c₁(1-t)-b₁) * ΔzI
  • Example: c1=0.6, t=0.5, b=0.1, a=0.3
  • A multiplier is 1.1.
  • Import leakage substantially reduces the multiplier.
  • Counter-cyclical policies require international coordination.

Automatic Stabilization

  • Automatic stabilization refers to effects of existing regulations on taxes and public spending.
  • The effect of a constant 't' has already been seen, which dampens fluctuations by taking money from individuals inclined to save during economic downturns, which is not in the nation's interest.
  • Unemployment benefits and support systems are important for maintaining incomes during recessions.
  • Whether Hellas should cut pensions and social aid during crises is a consideration.

Active Stabilization Policy

  • Fiscal policy can stabilize Y using G, z, and t.
  • (6.37) ΔY = 1/(1-c₁(1-t)-b₁+a) * (ΔzC - c₁ΔzT + ΔzI + ΔG + ΔX)
  • Both increased public spending and tax cuts will have an impact on Y.
  • Considerations include:
  • Timing
  • Dosage
  • Allocation of funds by Y type.
  • Maintaining stable activity in the public sector.
  • Whether fiscal policy can be reversed and used during economic booms.

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