Debt Markets: Money Markets and Bond Markets

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Questions and Answers

Assuming no arbitrage opportunities, how would you characterise the relationship between the yield to maturity (YTM) and the expected return on a bond if the market anticipates a significant increase in inflation?

  • The YTM will be higher than the expected return, as investors demand compensation for the increased purchasing power risk.
  • The YTM will be lower than the expected return, reflecting the market's expectation of an increase in nominal interest rates to adjust for inflation. (correct)
  • The YTM will be independent of the expected return, as it is a function of the bond's coupon rate and maturity, not the prevailing macroeconomic conditions.
  • The YTM will be equal to the expected return, as both are forward-looking metrics that reflect the market's aggregate expectations.

Given that money market instruments exhibit low credit risk and short-term maturities, what is the MOST critical factor that differentiates the pricing of a U.S. Treasury bill from that of a commercial paper?

  • The assumed default risk, however minimal, priced into commercial paper due to its non-governmental issuance. (correct)
  • The perceived liquidity premium associated with the relative trading volumes in secondary markets.
  • The differential tax treatment of interest income at the state and local levels.
  • The embedded inflation expectations and associated risk premiums.

Consider a callable bond trading at a premium. If interest rates are expected to remain stable, but volatility increases markedly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, what is the MOST likely impact on the bond's price, assuming all other factors remain constant?

  • There will be no impact on the bond's price, as callable bonds are only sensitive to interest rate changes, not volatility.
  • The price will increase because the potential for future interest rate declines makes the call option less valuable.
  • The price will decrease because uncertainty in the market increases required yields, particularly considering the call feature. (correct)
  • The price will move erratically, but the overall trend will be upward due to flight-to-quality buying in response to uncertainty.

If two bonds have identical coupon rates, YTMs, and credit ratings, but one is a perpetual bond and the other matures in 10 years, which statement accurately characterizes their relative price sensitivity to changes in market interest rates, and why?

<p>The perpetual bond will always be more price-sensitive because its duration is longer, making it more exposed to long-term rate movements. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of repurchase agreements (repos), what is meant by the term "haircut," and how does its size typically vary with the creditworthiness of the collateral?

<p>Haircut is the percentage difference between the market value of the collateral and the amount loaned, and it is inversely related to the creditworthiness of the collateral. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Consider a scenario where the Federal Reserve unexpectedly announces a significant increase in the reserve requirements for commercial banks. How will THIS decision MOST likely affect the overnight interbank lending rate (Federal Funds rate), and what is the economic rationale behind this response?

<p>The rate will increase due to higher demand for reserves, as banks scramble to meet the increased requirements, driving up the cost of borrowing. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is the MOST accurate comparative statement regarding the typical maturities and issuers of commercial paper and Treasury bills in the money market?

<p>Commercial paper usually has shorter maturities than Treasury bills and is issued by creditworthy corporations. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Following the principles of bond valuation, which of the following scenarios would MOST likely result in a bond selling at a premium above its face value?

<p>The bond's coupon rate is significantly higher than the prevailing market interest rates for bonds with similar risk. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the characteristics of money market securities, which of the following investor profiles would MOST likely find Treasury bills to be an unsuitable investment, taking into account liquidity, return expectations, and risk tolerance?

<p>An individual investor with a high-risk appetite seeking aggressive capital appreciation in a short time frame. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does an increase in perceived counterparty risk in the repurchase agreement (repo) market influence the size of the haircut applied to the underlying collateral, and what is the economic rationale behind this adjustment?

<p>The haircut increases because the lender demands a larger margin of safety to compensate for the increased probability of default and potential liquidation losses. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a Central Bank engages in a large-scale purchase of government securities from commercial banks, how would this action MOST directly influence the supply of reserves in the banking system, and what is the expected downstream effect on the interbank lending rate?

<p>It would increase the supply of reserves, leading to a decrease in the interbank lending rate. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following BEST describes how the formula for discounting Treasury bills accounts for the absence of explicit interest payments?

<p>The formula calculates the present value by subtracting a discount amount, based on a discount rate, from the face value. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what scenario would a firm find it MOST advantageous to utilize commercial paper for short-term financing, as opposed to securing a traditional bank loan, assuming both options are available?

<p>The firm can secure a lower interest rate in the commercial paper market than it can obtain from a bank loan, due to its high credit rating. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If market participants widely expect a central bank to implement quantitative tightening (QT) by selling government bonds, how is this anticipation MOST likely to affect CURRENT yields on long-term bonds?

<p>Yields on long-term bonds will increase as market participants anticipate increased supply and demand higher compensation for holding them. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A corporation has $50 million in excess cash and seeks to invest in money market instruments for a period of 60 days. Considering the corporation's primary goal is to maintain liquidity and minimize risk, which of the portfolios of money market securities would be MOST appropriate?

<p>100% in Treasury bills with varying maturities staggered over the 60-day period. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investor is considering purchasing a corporate bond rated BBB. What does this rating indicate about the bond's creditworthiness, and how should this influence the investor's required rate of return?

<p>It indicates the bond is medium-grade obligation with an adequate capacity to pay, thus the investor should assess a rate of return reflective of the associated credit risk. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A fund manager is evaluating whether to include green bonds in their portfolio. In addition to assessing the bond's financial characteristics, which of the non-financial factors are MOST relevant to the manager's decision-making process, considering the unique attributes of green bonds?

<p>Adherence to standards and use of proceeds for the purpose of being environmentally efficient. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a bond has a provision that allows the issuer to repurchase it at a predetermined price before its maturity date, what type of bond is it, and under which market conditions is the issuer MOST likely to exercise this option?

<p>Callable bond; the issuer will repurchase when the interest rates decreased. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a period of rising inflation, how would a floating-rate note (FRN) typically perform compared to a fixed-rate bond with a similar maturity and credit risk, and what accounts for this performance differential?

<p>An FRN will outperform because its coupon rate adjusts periodically based on the interest-rate. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the MOST significant implication for investors holding zero-coupon bonds in a taxable environment, relative to holding coupon-paying bonds with similar yield and credit risk?

<p>Investors in zero-coupon bonds will recognize and pay taxes on imputed interest income annually, even though they receive no cash until maturity. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the yield on a country's sovereign bond significantly exceeds that of a comparable U.S. Treasury bond, what risk factor is MOST likely driving THIS difference, and what specific economic indicators could signal an increase in that risk?

<p>Default or credit bond, increasing government size. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Examine the balance sheet of a company such as Apple. Which combination of items would MOST accurately reflect holdings of money market instruments, and how do these holdings relate to the company's overall cash management strategy?

<p>These generally include cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. Apple can strategically use these for liquidity, risk and return. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the correlation between T-Bill rates and inflation suddenly becomes negative, what is the economic rationale, and what investment strategies would be appropriate?

<p>There is a disconnect, so investors should look for alternatives to counter inflation. Also investors look to hedge in those markets. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A corporate treasurer observes that the yield curve for commercial paper is inverted (i.e., shorter-maturity paper has higher yields than longer-maturity paper.) What might a treasurer do?

<p>The treasurer must issue long-term debt now to lock in the higher rates, anticipating that rates will decline later. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investment fund is considering two bonds with similar credit ratings and maturities. Bond A is trading with a higher yield but has very low liquidity. Bond B is trading with a slightly lower yield, much higher liquidity, and better transparency.

<p>Factor in the liquidity and transparency and look for bond B. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the potential roles and responsibilities of a central bank in the money market?

<p>The power buy/sell securities, control interest rates and manage reserves in the banking system. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do the sources of repayment differ for commercial paper versus bonds issued by non-financial institutions?

<p>Commercial papers are from rolling over debt or collecting payments. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the implications to investors and overall market when interest rates on bonds turn negative?

<p>Imply recession, or flight to safety. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investor follows a strategy of "riding the yield curve" on bonds. What does this mean?

<p>Purchasing longer-dated bonds than needed, then selling them as they mature. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the bond market, how does the concept of duration relate to interest rate risk?

<p>Higher duration increases interest risk. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the implications of the “Fisher effect,” in bond markets?

<p>Bond market yields are linked to inflation. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does asymmetric information play a role in the pricing and trading of corporate bonds?

<p>Asymmetric info can provide information for better pricing. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the key difference between agency bonds and traditional municipal bonds?

<p>Issuance of bond at government level. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary reason why money-market instruments are often close to zero?

<p>Short term, and high liquidity. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When an investor engages in a "flight to safety" during times of economic stress, what assets increase?

<p>Treasury instruments increase. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In corporate finance, what is the impact on cash flows with a nonfinancial institution?

<p>Tied to production, so mismatch in timing to when products sold. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why would a high credit rating be sought after by a business institution?

<p>For increased ability to borrow. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

What is the money market?

Market for short-term debt instruments (maturity of one year or less).

What is a misnomer about the money market?

The term "money market" is a misnomer because money (currency) is not actually traded in the money markets.

What securities trade in money markets?

Short-term securities with high liquidity and very low credit risk.

What is the purpose of the money markets for investors/lenders?

They buy money market securities, providing a place for warehousing excess funds for short periods of time and getting a return.

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What is the purpose of money markets for borrowers?

They sell money market securities, which provides them a low-cost temporary source of funds.

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What are Treasury Bills?

Securities issued by the US Treasury to cover government budget shortfalls, typically sold at a discount from the par amount.

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What is commercial paper?

A note issued by a creditworthy corporation.

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What is a Certificate of Deposit (CD)?

When issued by a financial institution (bank, credit union).

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What are Repurchase Agreements (repos)?

A form of collateralized short-term borrowing; a firm sells securities but agrees to buy them back at a certain date for a certain price.

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What happens in the interbank market?

Short-term funds transferred (loaned or borrowed without warranty) between financial institutions, usually for a period of one day.

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What is a bond?

Long-term (> 1 year) debt security

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Who issues bonds?

Governments, Corporations, or Government agencies.

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What are the two key bond characteristics?

Coupon and maturity are the two key bond characteristics

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A typical coupon bond: Annual or semi-annual interest payments in the form of coupons

Annual or semi-annual interest payments in the form of coupons

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What are variable-rate coupon bonds?

Bonds that have coupons which are variable-rate coupons (floating-rate bond).

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What is the definition of haircut?

The difference between the loaned amount and the value of the collateral.

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What happens at day 0 of an overnight repo?

One party borrows cash from the other and posts collateral (e.g., government securities) against the performance of the loan.

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What is duration?

The sensitivity of a bond to changes in the yield.

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What is the definition of bond pricing?

The price of a bond today is equal to the present value of its future cash flows, discounted at a discount rate that reflects the riskiness of the bond.

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What are Junk Bonds?

Debt that is rated below BBB (BBB and higher = investment grade)

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Study Notes

Debt Markets

  • Companies may need short-term funds to cover costs such as raw materials or build new factories.
  • These situations can be addressed through financial intermediaries like commercial banks.
  • Short-term debt security issuances may provide funds in money markets.
  • Cash can be raised by selling bonds to investors in the bond market for longer term projects.

Note on Market Context

  • Slides may reference American markets.
  • These references can is translated to European market equivalents as follows:
    • Replace '$' with '€', 'Federal Reserve' with 'ECB', and 'US Treasury Department' with 'National Treasuries'.

Course Content: Debt Market (Session 2)

  • Money Markets are covered in Part 2.1
  • Bond Markets are covered in Part 2.2

The Money Markets

  • Apple had $74 billion in cash and short-term securities in 2017,
  • Approximately $8 billion was deposited in banks.
  • Around $12.3 billion was in cash equivalents.
  • The term "money market" is misleading because money is not traded there.
  • Securities traded have short terms, high liquidity, and low credit risk.
  • Money market securities are sold in large denominations, typically $1,000,000 or more.
  • Money market securities have low default risk.
  • Money markets mature in one year or less, mostly in less than 120 days.
  • Investors and lenders use money markets to warehouse excess funds for short periods to get a return.
  • Borrowers sell money market securities for low-cost, temporary funds.
  • Money markets address cash flow timing issues for institutions.

Example Of A Non-Financial Institution's Use Of Money Markets

  • Firms first pay for inputs like raw materials, labor and storage
  • Firms then get paid a few weeks after sales have been made.
  • Money markets are utilized to settle cash flow shortages due to asynchronization.

Participants in the Money Markets

  • U.S. Treasury Department sells securities to fund the national debt.
  • The Federal Reserve System buys/sells securities to control interest rates.
  • Commercial banks buy Treasury securities and sell certificates of deposit.
  • They offer short-term loans.
  • Commercial banks offer individual investor accounts for investing in money market securities
  • Businesses buy and sell short-term securities for cash management.
  • Investment companies trade on behalf of commercial accounts.
  • Finance companies lend funds to individuals.
  • Insurance companies maintain liquidity for unexpected demands.
  • Pension funds use money markets for readiness to invest in stocks/bonds.
  • Individuals buy money market mutual funds.
  • Money market mutual funds allow small investors to participate via aggregated funds.
  • They invest in large-denomination money market securities.
  • Most participants use money market securities to get cash
  • The Federal Reserve buys/sells securities for monetary policy, unlike most participants

Money Market Instruments

  • Include Treasury Bills
  • Include Commercial Papers / Certificates of Deposit
  • Include Repurchase Agreements
  • Include Interbank market

Treasury Bills

  • Treasury Bills are issued by the US Treasury to cover budget deficits.

  • Bills are sold at a discount from the par amount, the face value of the bill.

  • Buying a $1,000 bill for $990 results in a $1,000 payment at maturity.

  • Maturity terms include 4, 13, 26, and 52 weeks.

  • Bills are auctioned regularly, every Thursday.

  • Treasury bills have a very liquid secondary market and are virtually default-risk free.

  • Information about T bills can be found at: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/tbills/res_tbill_faq.htm.

  • Information about BTFs, the French equivalent, can be found at: https://www.aft.gouv.fr/en/btf-characteristics.

  • They are officially quoted using a discount rate rather than interest. The increase in price at maturity provides a return.

  • The formula for calculating the price P is: 𝑃 = 𝐹 (1 − 𝑖discount 𝑛/360) .

    • F = face value of bill, 𝑖discount = discount rate, n = days until the maturity
  • Formula implies 𝑖discount = (𝐹 −𝑃)/𝐹 × ((360)/𝑛) .

  • The formula understates the return due to calculating with face value.

  • Yield is calculated using the face value in the denominator, which creates an understated return.

  • A 360-day convention is used, this highlights that instruments have specific conventions.

  • Debt securities follow specific interest rate and day-count conventions.

  • Formula can also be expressed as: return = (100/99) − 1 = 1.01%.

  • Investment rate is calculated as 𝑖investment = (𝐹 −𝑃)/𝑃 × (365/𝑛)

  • Returns are more accurate when using price in the denominator and include the number of days per year.

  • As an example, paying $996.37 for a 28-day T-bill worth $1,000 at maturity has:

  • Discount rate (𝑖 discount ) = 4.67% .and,

  • Investment rate (𝑖investmen ) = 4.75%.

Commercial Papers / Certificates of Deposit

  • Commercial Paper is a note issued by an corporation.
  • Commercial papers are typically issued with maturities of 270 days or less, averaging around 30 days.
  • Use of commercial paper rose significantly in the early 1980s due to rising bank loan costs.
  • The commercial paper market currently has an volume of over $0.85 trillion.
  • When issued by a financial institution, these are Certificates of Deposit (CD).
  • CDs can be longer in duration but should never exceed 3 years.
  • CDs are often less risky than CPs and therefore have lower returns because financial institutions are severely regulated.

Repurchase Agreements (Repos)

  • A form of collateralized short-term borrowing.
  • A firm sells securities and agrees to buy them back at a specified date/price, usually after one day.
  • An overnight repo means one party borrows cash while posting collateral (e.g., government securities).
  • In no-default situations, the cash is gives back and collateral resold.
  • On borrower defaults, the lender sells the high-quality securities
  • Risk is reduced, a lower rate is paid by the loaner versus a classic loan.
  • Borrowers get less than the market value of securities in case of default .
  • Governments use haircut as goverment secured collatoral.
  • Lenders perform with usually government high quaility securities.
  • Done banks can borrow funds for 1 night
  • Repo: companies with short liquidity gap dont have obligated to sell assets and reinvest later.

Interbank Market

  • Transfers short-term funds transferred usually for one day
  • Banks use the interbank market to meet short-term reservice equirements.
  • Central Banks set minimum reserve requirements.
  • Banks can lend overnight.
  • In France the Interbank Market is called “marché interbancaire”, in USA: “Fed Funds”
  • Fed Funds is misleading, as Fed funds are held at Federal Reserve bank
  • The interbank rate is derived fro, the interest rate on interbank transactions.
  • C.B.’s cannot control on interbank transactions
  • If the Fed purchases securities from banks, the proceeds are deposited at the bank's account with the Fed.
  • Level of reserves changes pushing the interbank rate down.
  • This can favour start restart to economy.
  • Conversely, C.B.’s can push it up by increasing the percentage of required reserves.

Bond Fundamentals

  • Bonds are long-term debt, greater than 1 year.
  • Issuers use these to raise funds to fincance long term investing.
  • Investors buy portions of this debt and receive regular interest payments, a coupon.
  • When bond matures issuer repays borrowed amount, known as nominal / principal / face value.
  • Coupon and maturity are the two key bond characteristics.
  • Issuers can be governments (US Treasury, UK Gilts , German Bund, France OAT, Japan JGB) , corporations or government agences.
  • Governemnts issue Treasury notes and bonds.
  • Corporations issue domestic, Eurobonds
  • Bonds can be investment grade vs junk and are issued by government agences via Municipal bonds, local authorities.

Who invests in bonds

  • Pension funds
  • Life insurance companies
  • Hedge funds
  • Households mostly through funds and by governments
  • E.g., Japan, China, most relevant in US government bonds.
  • Coupon bonds pay annual or semi-annual payments.
  • Issuers pay a par value at maturity
  • Bonds can be a the par value and constant coupon rate is specified when the bond is first issued.
  • Coupons can be very often constant with bonds.
  • However, floating rate bonud are variable, with variable reates such as Euribor 3M is a given currency.
  • Coupons are constant with bonds (the bond holder receives the same coupon every year or every six months).

Specific Bond Types:

  • Perpetual bonds means the principal was never repaid and

  • Variable rate , FRNs have coupon linked to rate interest rate

  • Mortgage payments secured against property.

  • Callable bonds give, Callable: issuer has the option to buy them back when rates decrease.

  • Puttable: investor option to sell them back if rates increase

  • Convertible bonds vestior has option convert into issuer equity after x years.

  • Strucutred complex payment profiles: pay 3 spread notrd rate 20y - rate2y Ex: 3 times (rate 20Y – rate2Y)

  • No coupons on zero coupon bonds with only payment of principal at maturity.

  • Only those bonds are accepted in Islamic finance.

  • Eurobonds are issued in currency different the currency issuers' country.

  • "Green bonds" exclusively projects that have climate or environemtal benefits

  • Market started 20 yerars ago, exponentially. Increasing due to investors demand)

US Treasury Bonds specifics

  • The U.S. Treasury issues notes and bonds to finance operations.
  • Treasury bill has less than 1 year maturity.
  • Treasury note have have 1 to 10 years.
  • Treasury bonds: 10 to 30 years.
  • Treasury bonds is when the Treasury money can pay off debt
  • It has very low rates, often considered the risk-free rate,
  • There a low interest rate is still present and a very active secondary market.

Corporate Bonds

  • They can issude semi-annual coupons is USA.
  • Degree of risk varies with both band.
  • The required interest rate varies with level of risk.
  • The degree of risk ranges from AAA to BBB.
  • Rated BBB any bonds and considered sub0investment gread debt.
  • There are bond grades that indicate credit quality
  • The bonds have higher credit quality and the are default
  • There Standard, Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch.

Bond Ratings

  • Bond ratings indicate credit quality, with lower ratings signifying a higher chance of default.
  • These are provided by independent rating services such as Standard & Poor's (S&P), Moody's, and Fitch.
  • S&P defines a credit rating as "a forward-looking opinion about the creditworthiness of an obligor."

Bond Pricing

  • In theory is that no diffren than pringany any set of flows

  • The price of flows. bond today inequal

  • Bond price are step like

  • Identifify the cast bond

  • Determing disocunt rates

  • The bond calculated with with by descontrocing

  • R is the disount rate

  • I bond matirty - or yiled.

  • N is the

  • An exampl, the present bond

  • Pay $1,00 at anan rate for the bond years im

The Price Yield Relationship

  • Bonds have yield price relationship

  • If the yeld the price goves down

  • Sensitibty is goves duration.

  • Bond can be also yield

  • The bond also sells at par.

  • Bond can be belove or above

Economics of the YTM

  • Securities required investors bond - more yeld
  • Required yield bonds ask liquidity
  • Required the are Yied is ask matury
  • Security bond of credit risk

Bond Risks

  • Default bond
  • Speread yield betweeen of credit quality
  • Aond in matyriy
  • Yield of the bond increases -The rate of interset

Bond Terminology

  • Definition of :
    • Coupon interest rate the is.
    • Face amount the is.
  • Maturity The is bond to. -Par value is also value the amount of maturity at face
  • Yield to maturity The an to the bonds.

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