Podcast
Questions and Answers
Assuming no arbitrage opportunities, how would you characterise the relationship between the yield to maturity (YTM) and the expected return on a bond if the market anticipates a significant increase in inflation?
Assuming no arbitrage opportunities, how would you characterise the relationship between the yield to maturity (YTM) and the expected return on a bond if the market anticipates a significant increase in inflation?
- The YTM will be higher than the expected return, as investors demand compensation for the increased purchasing power risk.
- The YTM will be lower than the expected return, reflecting the market's expectation of an increase in nominal interest rates to adjust for inflation. (correct)
- The YTM will be independent of the expected return, as it is a function of the bond's coupon rate and maturity, not the prevailing macroeconomic conditions.
- The YTM will be equal to the expected return, as both are forward-looking metrics that reflect the market's aggregate expectations.
Given that money market instruments exhibit low credit risk and short-term maturities, what is the MOST critical factor that differentiates the pricing of a U.S. Treasury bill from that of a commercial paper?
Given that money market instruments exhibit low credit risk and short-term maturities, what is the MOST critical factor that differentiates the pricing of a U.S. Treasury bill from that of a commercial paper?
- The assumed default risk, however minimal, priced into commercial paper due to its non-governmental issuance. (correct)
- The perceived liquidity premium associated with the relative trading volumes in secondary markets.
- The differential tax treatment of interest income at the state and local levels.
- The embedded inflation expectations and associated risk premiums.
Consider a callable bond trading at a premium. If interest rates are expected to remain stable, but volatility increases markedly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, what is the MOST likely impact on the bond's price, assuming all other factors remain constant?
Consider a callable bond trading at a premium. If interest rates are expected to remain stable, but volatility increases markedly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, what is the MOST likely impact on the bond's price, assuming all other factors remain constant?
- There will be no impact on the bond's price, as callable bonds are only sensitive to interest rate changes, not volatility.
- The price will increase because the potential for future interest rate declines makes the call option less valuable.
- The price will decrease because uncertainty in the market increases required yields, particularly considering the call feature. (correct)
- The price will move erratically, but the overall trend will be upward due to flight-to-quality buying in response to uncertainty.
If two bonds have identical coupon rates, YTMs, and credit ratings, but one is a perpetual bond and the other matures in 10 years, which statement accurately characterizes their relative price sensitivity to changes in market interest rates, and why?
If two bonds have identical coupon rates, YTMs, and credit ratings, but one is a perpetual bond and the other matures in 10 years, which statement accurately characterizes their relative price sensitivity to changes in market interest rates, and why?
In the context of repurchase agreements (repos), what is meant by the term "haircut," and how does its size typically vary with the creditworthiness of the collateral?
In the context of repurchase agreements (repos), what is meant by the term "haircut," and how does its size typically vary with the creditworthiness of the collateral?
Consider a scenario where the Federal Reserve unexpectedly announces a significant increase in the reserve requirements for commercial banks. How will THIS decision MOST likely affect the overnight interbank lending rate (Federal Funds rate), and what is the economic rationale behind this response?
Consider a scenario where the Federal Reserve unexpectedly announces a significant increase in the reserve requirements for commercial banks. How will THIS decision MOST likely affect the overnight interbank lending rate (Federal Funds rate), and what is the economic rationale behind this response?
Which of the following is the MOST accurate comparative statement regarding the typical maturities and issuers of commercial paper and Treasury bills in the money market?
Which of the following is the MOST accurate comparative statement regarding the typical maturities and issuers of commercial paper and Treasury bills in the money market?
Following the principles of bond valuation, which of the following scenarios would MOST likely result in a bond selling at a premium above its face value?
Following the principles of bond valuation, which of the following scenarios would MOST likely result in a bond selling at a premium above its face value?
Given the characteristics of money market securities, which of the following investor profiles would MOST likely find Treasury bills to be an unsuitable investment, taking into account liquidity, return expectations, and risk tolerance?
Given the characteristics of money market securities, which of the following investor profiles would MOST likely find Treasury bills to be an unsuitable investment, taking into account liquidity, return expectations, and risk tolerance?
How does an increase in perceived counterparty risk in the repurchase agreement (repo) market influence the size of the haircut applied to the underlying collateral, and what is the economic rationale behind this adjustment?
How does an increase in perceived counterparty risk in the repurchase agreement (repo) market influence the size of the haircut applied to the underlying collateral, and what is the economic rationale behind this adjustment?
If a Central Bank engages in a large-scale purchase of government securities from commercial banks, how would this action MOST directly influence the supply of reserves in the banking system, and what is the expected downstream effect on the interbank lending rate?
If a Central Bank engages in a large-scale purchase of government securities from commercial banks, how would this action MOST directly influence the supply of reserves in the banking system, and what is the expected downstream effect on the interbank lending rate?
Which of the following BEST describes how the formula for discounting Treasury bills accounts for the absence of explicit interest payments?
Which of the following BEST describes how the formula for discounting Treasury bills accounts for the absence of explicit interest payments?
In what scenario would a firm find it MOST advantageous to utilize commercial paper for short-term financing, as opposed to securing a traditional bank loan, assuming both options are available?
In what scenario would a firm find it MOST advantageous to utilize commercial paper for short-term financing, as opposed to securing a traditional bank loan, assuming both options are available?
If market participants widely expect a central bank to implement quantitative tightening (QT) by selling government bonds, how is this anticipation MOST likely to affect CURRENT yields on long-term bonds?
If market participants widely expect a central bank to implement quantitative tightening (QT) by selling government bonds, how is this anticipation MOST likely to affect CURRENT yields on long-term bonds?
A corporation has $50 million in excess cash and seeks to invest in money market instruments for a period of 60 days. Considering the corporation's primary goal is to maintain liquidity and minimize risk, which of the portfolios of money market securities would be MOST appropriate?
A corporation has $50 million in excess cash and seeks to invest in money market instruments for a period of 60 days. Considering the corporation's primary goal is to maintain liquidity and minimize risk, which of the portfolios of money market securities would be MOST appropriate?
An investor is considering purchasing a corporate bond rated BBB. What does this rating indicate about the bond's creditworthiness, and how should this influence the investor's required rate of return?
An investor is considering purchasing a corporate bond rated BBB. What does this rating indicate about the bond's creditworthiness, and how should this influence the investor's required rate of return?
A fund manager is evaluating whether to include green bonds in their portfolio. In addition to assessing the bond's financial characteristics, which of the non-financial factors are MOST relevant to the manager's decision-making process, considering the unique attributes of green bonds?
A fund manager is evaluating whether to include green bonds in their portfolio. In addition to assessing the bond's financial characteristics, which of the non-financial factors are MOST relevant to the manager's decision-making process, considering the unique attributes of green bonds?
If a bond has a provision that allows the issuer to repurchase it at a predetermined price before its maturity date, what type of bond is it, and under which market conditions is the issuer MOST likely to exercise this option?
If a bond has a provision that allows the issuer to repurchase it at a predetermined price before its maturity date, what type of bond is it, and under which market conditions is the issuer MOST likely to exercise this option?
In a period of rising inflation, how would a floating-rate note (FRN) typically perform compared to a fixed-rate bond with a similar maturity and credit risk, and what accounts for this performance differential?
In a period of rising inflation, how would a floating-rate note (FRN) typically perform compared to a fixed-rate bond with a similar maturity and credit risk, and what accounts for this performance differential?
What is the MOST significant implication for investors holding zero-coupon bonds in a taxable environment, relative to holding coupon-paying bonds with similar yield and credit risk?
What is the MOST significant implication for investors holding zero-coupon bonds in a taxable environment, relative to holding coupon-paying bonds with similar yield and credit risk?
If the yield on a country's sovereign bond significantly exceeds that of a comparable U.S. Treasury bond, what risk factor is MOST likely driving THIS difference, and what specific economic indicators could signal an increase in that risk?
If the yield on a country's sovereign bond significantly exceeds that of a comparable U.S. Treasury bond, what risk factor is MOST likely driving THIS difference, and what specific economic indicators could signal an increase in that risk?
Examine the balance sheet of a company such as Apple. Which combination of items would MOST accurately reflect holdings of money market instruments, and how do these holdings relate to the company's overall cash management strategy?
Examine the balance sheet of a company such as Apple. Which combination of items would MOST accurately reflect holdings of money market instruments, and how do these holdings relate to the company's overall cash management strategy?
If the correlation between T-Bill rates and inflation suddenly becomes negative, what is the economic rationale, and what investment strategies would be appropriate?
If the correlation between T-Bill rates and inflation suddenly becomes negative, what is the economic rationale, and what investment strategies would be appropriate?
A corporate treasurer observes that the yield curve for commercial paper is inverted (i.e., shorter-maturity paper has higher yields than longer-maturity paper.) What might a treasurer do?
A corporate treasurer observes that the yield curve for commercial paper is inverted (i.e., shorter-maturity paper has higher yields than longer-maturity paper.) What might a treasurer do?
An investment fund is considering two bonds with similar credit ratings and maturities. Bond A is trading with a higher yield but has very low liquidity. Bond B is trading with a slightly lower yield, much higher liquidity, and better transparency.
An investment fund is considering two bonds with similar credit ratings and maturities. Bond A is trading with a higher yield but has very low liquidity. Bond B is trading with a slightly lower yield, much higher liquidity, and better transparency.
What are the potential roles and responsibilities of a central bank in the money market?
What are the potential roles and responsibilities of a central bank in the money market?
How do the sources of repayment differ for commercial paper versus bonds issued by non-financial institutions?
How do the sources of repayment differ for commercial paper versus bonds issued by non-financial institutions?
What are the implications to investors and overall market when interest rates on bonds turn negative?
What are the implications to investors and overall market when interest rates on bonds turn negative?
An investor follows a strategy of "riding the yield curve" on bonds. What does this mean?
An investor follows a strategy of "riding the yield curve" on bonds. What does this mean?
In the bond market, how does the concept of duration relate to interest rate risk?
In the bond market, how does the concept of duration relate to interest rate risk?
What are the implications of the “Fisher effect,” in bond markets?
What are the implications of the “Fisher effect,” in bond markets?
How does asymmetric information play a role in the pricing and trading of corporate bonds?
How does asymmetric information play a role in the pricing and trading of corporate bonds?
What is the key difference between agency bonds and traditional municipal bonds?
What is the key difference between agency bonds and traditional municipal bonds?
What is the primary reason why money-market instruments are often close to zero?
What is the primary reason why money-market instruments are often close to zero?
When an investor engages in a "flight to safety" during times of economic stress, what assets increase?
When an investor engages in a "flight to safety" during times of economic stress, what assets increase?
In corporate finance, what is the impact on cash flows with a nonfinancial institution?
In corporate finance, what is the impact on cash flows with a nonfinancial institution?
Why would a high credit rating be sought after by a business institution?
Why would a high credit rating be sought after by a business institution?
Flashcards
What is the money market?
What is the money market?
Market for short-term debt instruments (maturity of one year or less).
What is a misnomer about the money market?
What is a misnomer about the money market?
The term "money market" is a misnomer because money (currency) is not actually traded in the money markets.
What securities trade in money markets?
What securities trade in money markets?
Short-term securities with high liquidity and very low credit risk.
What is the purpose of the money markets for investors/lenders?
What is the purpose of the money markets for investors/lenders?
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What is the purpose of money markets for borrowers?
What is the purpose of money markets for borrowers?
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What are Treasury Bills?
What are Treasury Bills?
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What is commercial paper?
What is commercial paper?
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What is a Certificate of Deposit (CD)?
What is a Certificate of Deposit (CD)?
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What are Repurchase Agreements (repos)?
What are Repurchase Agreements (repos)?
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What happens in the interbank market?
What happens in the interbank market?
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What is a bond?
What is a bond?
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Who issues bonds?
Who issues bonds?
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What are the two key bond characteristics?
What are the two key bond characteristics?
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A typical coupon bond: Annual or semi-annual interest payments in the form of coupons
A typical coupon bond: Annual or semi-annual interest payments in the form of coupons
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What are variable-rate coupon bonds?
What are variable-rate coupon bonds?
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What is the definition of haircut?
What is the definition of haircut?
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What happens at day 0 of an overnight repo?
What happens at day 0 of an overnight repo?
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What is duration?
What is duration?
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What is the definition of bond pricing?
What is the definition of bond pricing?
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What are Junk Bonds?
What are Junk Bonds?
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Study Notes
Debt Markets
- Companies may need short-term funds to cover costs such as raw materials or build new factories.
- These situations can be addressed through financial intermediaries like commercial banks.
- Short-term debt security issuances may provide funds in money markets.
- Cash can be raised by selling bonds to investors in the bond market for longer term projects.
Note on Market Context
- Slides may reference American markets.
- These references can is translated to European market equivalents as follows:
- Replace '$' with '€', 'Federal Reserve' with 'ECB', and 'US Treasury Department' with 'National Treasuries'.
Course Content: Debt Market (Session 2)
- Money Markets are covered in Part 2.1
- Bond Markets are covered in Part 2.2
The Money Markets
- Apple had $74 billion in cash and short-term securities in 2017,
- Approximately $8 billion was deposited in banks.
- Around $12.3 billion was in cash equivalents.
- The term "money market" is misleading because money is not traded there.
- Securities traded have short terms, high liquidity, and low credit risk.
- Money market securities are sold in large denominations, typically $1,000,000 or more.
- Money market securities have low default risk.
- Money markets mature in one year or less, mostly in less than 120 days.
- Investors and lenders use money markets to warehouse excess funds for short periods to get a return.
- Borrowers sell money market securities for low-cost, temporary funds.
- Money markets address cash flow timing issues for institutions.
Example Of A Non-Financial Institution's Use Of Money Markets
- Firms first pay for inputs like raw materials, labor and storage
- Firms then get paid a few weeks after sales have been made.
- Money markets are utilized to settle cash flow shortages due to asynchronization.
Participants in the Money Markets
- U.S. Treasury Department sells securities to fund the national debt.
- The Federal Reserve System buys/sells securities to control interest rates.
- Commercial banks buy Treasury securities and sell certificates of deposit.
- They offer short-term loans.
- Commercial banks offer individual investor accounts for investing in money market securities
- Businesses buy and sell short-term securities for cash management.
- Investment companies trade on behalf of commercial accounts.
- Finance companies lend funds to individuals.
- Insurance companies maintain liquidity for unexpected demands.
- Pension funds use money markets for readiness to invest in stocks/bonds.
- Individuals buy money market mutual funds.
- Money market mutual funds allow small investors to participate via aggregated funds.
- They invest in large-denomination money market securities.
- Most participants use money market securities to get cash
- The Federal Reserve buys/sells securities for monetary policy, unlike most participants
Money Market Instruments
- Include Treasury Bills
- Include Commercial Papers / Certificates of Deposit
- Include Repurchase Agreements
- Include Interbank market
Treasury Bills
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Treasury Bills are issued by the US Treasury to cover budget deficits.
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Bills are sold at a discount from the par amount, the face value of the bill.
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Buying a $1,000 bill for $990 results in a $1,000 payment at maturity.
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Maturity terms include 4, 13, 26, and 52 weeks.
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Bills are auctioned regularly, every Thursday.
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Treasury bills have a very liquid secondary market and are virtually default-risk free.
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Information about T bills can be found at: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/tbills/res_tbill_faq.htm.
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Information about BTFs, the French equivalent, can be found at: https://www.aft.gouv.fr/en/btf-characteristics.
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They are officially quoted using a discount rate rather than interest. The increase in price at maturity provides a return.
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The formula for calculating the price P is: 𝑃 = 𝐹 (1 − 𝑖discount 𝑛/360) .
- F = face value of bill, 𝑖discount = discount rate, n = days until the maturity
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Formula implies 𝑖discount = (𝐹 −𝑃)/𝐹 × ((360)/𝑛) .
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The formula understates the return due to calculating with face value.
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Yield is calculated using the face value in the denominator, which creates an understated return.
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A 360-day convention is used, this highlights that instruments have specific conventions.
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Debt securities follow specific interest rate and day-count conventions.
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Formula can also be expressed as: return = (100/99) − 1 = 1.01%.
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Investment rate is calculated as 𝑖investment = (𝐹 −𝑃)/𝑃 × (365/𝑛)
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Returns are more accurate when using price in the denominator and include the number of days per year.
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As an example, paying $996.37 for a 28-day T-bill worth $1,000 at maturity has:
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Discount rate (𝑖 discount ) = 4.67% .and,
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Investment rate (𝑖investmen ) = 4.75%.
Commercial Papers / Certificates of Deposit
- Commercial Paper is a note issued by an corporation.
- Commercial papers are typically issued with maturities of 270 days or less, averaging around 30 days.
- Use of commercial paper rose significantly in the early 1980s due to rising bank loan costs.
- The commercial paper market currently has an volume of over $0.85 trillion.
- When issued by a financial institution, these are Certificates of Deposit (CD).
- CDs can be longer in duration but should never exceed 3 years.
- CDs are often less risky than CPs and therefore have lower returns because financial institutions are severely regulated.
Repurchase Agreements (Repos)
- A form of collateralized short-term borrowing.
- A firm sells securities and agrees to buy them back at a specified date/price, usually after one day.
- An overnight repo means one party borrows cash while posting collateral (e.g., government securities).
- In no-default situations, the cash is gives back and collateral resold.
- On borrower defaults, the lender sells the high-quality securities
- Risk is reduced, a lower rate is paid by the loaner versus a classic loan.
- Borrowers get less than the market value of securities in case of default .
- Governments use haircut as goverment secured collatoral.
- Lenders perform with usually government high quaility securities.
- Done banks can borrow funds for 1 night
- Repo: companies with short liquidity gap dont have obligated to sell assets and reinvest later.
Interbank Market
- Transfers short-term funds transferred usually for one day
- Banks use the interbank market to meet short-term reservice equirements.
- Central Banks set minimum reserve requirements.
- Banks can lend overnight.
- In France the Interbank Market is called “marché interbancaire”, in USA: “Fed Funds”
- Fed Funds is misleading, as Fed funds are held at Federal Reserve bank
- The interbank rate is derived fro, the interest rate on interbank transactions.
- C.B.’s cannot control on interbank transactions
- If the Fed purchases securities from banks, the proceeds are deposited at the bank's account with the Fed.
- Level of reserves changes pushing the interbank rate down.
- This can favour start restart to economy.
- Conversely, C.B.’s can push it up by increasing the percentage of required reserves.
Bond Fundamentals
- Bonds are long-term debt, greater than 1 year.
- Issuers use these to raise funds to fincance long term investing.
- Investors buy portions of this debt and receive regular interest payments, a coupon.
- When bond matures issuer repays borrowed amount, known as nominal / principal / face value.
- Coupon and maturity are the two key bond characteristics.
- Issuers can be governments (US Treasury, UK Gilts , German Bund, France OAT, Japan JGB) , corporations or government agences.
- Governemnts issue Treasury notes and bonds.
- Corporations issue domestic, Eurobonds
- Bonds can be investment grade vs junk and are issued by government agences via Municipal bonds, local authorities.
Who invests in bonds
- Pension funds
- Life insurance companies
- Hedge funds
- Households mostly through funds and by governments
- E.g., Japan, China, most relevant in US government bonds.
- Coupon bonds pay annual or semi-annual payments.
- Issuers pay a par value at maturity
- Bonds can be a the par value and constant coupon rate is specified when the bond is first issued.
- Coupons can be very often constant with bonds.
- However, floating rate bonud are variable, with variable reates such as Euribor 3M is a given currency.
- Coupons are constant with bonds (the bond holder receives the same coupon every year or every six months).
Specific Bond Types:
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Perpetual bonds means the principal was never repaid and
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Variable rate , FRNs have coupon linked to rate interest rate
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Mortgage payments secured against property.
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Callable bonds give, Callable: issuer has the option to buy them back when rates decrease.
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Puttable: investor option to sell them back if rates increase
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Convertible bonds vestior has option convert into issuer equity after x years.
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Strucutred complex payment profiles: pay 3 spread notrd rate 20y - rate2y Ex: 3 times (rate 20Y – rate2Y)
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No coupons on zero coupon bonds with only payment of principal at maturity.
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Only those bonds are accepted in Islamic finance.
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Eurobonds are issued in currency different the currency issuers' country.
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"Green bonds" exclusively projects that have climate or environemtal benefits
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Market started 20 yerars ago, exponentially. Increasing due to investors demand)
US Treasury Bonds specifics
- The U.S. Treasury issues notes and bonds to finance operations.
- Treasury bill has less than 1 year maturity.
- Treasury note have have 1 to 10 years.
- Treasury bonds: 10 to 30 years.
- Treasury bonds is when the Treasury money can pay off debt
- It has very low rates, often considered the risk-free rate,
- There a low interest rate is still present and a very active secondary market.
Corporate Bonds
- They can issude semi-annual coupons is USA.
- Degree of risk varies with both band.
- The required interest rate varies with level of risk.
- The degree of risk ranges from AAA to BBB.
- Rated BBB any bonds and considered sub0investment gread debt.
- There are bond grades that indicate credit quality
- The bonds have higher credit quality and the are default
- There Standard, Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch.
Bond Ratings
- Bond ratings indicate credit quality, with lower ratings signifying a higher chance of default.
- These are provided by independent rating services such as Standard & Poor's (S&P), Moody's, and Fitch.
- S&P defines a credit rating as "a forward-looking opinion about the creditworthiness of an obligor."
Bond Pricing
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In theory is that no diffren than pringany any set of flows
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The price of flows. bond today inequal
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Bond price are step like
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Identifify the cast bond
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Determing disocunt rates
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The bond calculated with with by descontrocing
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R is the disount rate
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I bond matirty - or yiled.
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N is the
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An exampl, the present bond
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Pay $1,00 at anan rate for the bond years im
The Price Yield Relationship
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Bonds have yield price relationship
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If the yeld the price goves down
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Sensitibty is goves duration.
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Bond can be also yield
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The bond also sells at par.
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Bond can be belove or above
Economics of the YTM
- Securities required investors bond - more yeld
- Required yield bonds ask liquidity
- Required the are Yied is ask matury
- Security bond of credit risk
Bond Risks
- Default bond
- Speread yield betweeen of credit quality
- Aond in matyriy
- Yield of the bond increases -The rate of interset
Bond Terminology
- Definition of :
- Coupon interest rate the is.
- Face amount the is.
- Maturity The is bond to. -Par value is also value the amount of maturity at face
- Yield to maturity The an to the bonds.
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