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What happens to bond prices as market interest rates increase?

  • Bond prices increase due to higher demand.
  • Bond prices decrease because of the inverse relationship. (correct)
  • Bond prices remain unchanged.
  • Bond prices fluctuate randomly based on market speculation.
  • Which factor contributes to a bond's price sensitivity to interest rate changes?

  • Time to maturity of the bond. (correct)
  • Credit quality of the issuer.
  • The volume of bonds in circulation.
  • The type of bond, such as municipal or corporate.
  • What is the Yield to Maturity (YTM) of a bond?

  • The overall return on investment calculated over the lifecycle of the bond.
  • The interest rate that equates the present value of a bond's payments to its price. (correct)
  • The annual coupon payment divided by the bond's price.
  • The rate of return an investor can expect if the bond is sold before maturity.
  • If a bond with a 30-year maturity has a price of $810.71, what market interest rate is it likely associated with?

    <p>10%</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following statements about bond yields is correct?

    <p>A bond's yield measures the average rate of return if held to maturity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What can be inferred about the price curve of bonds as interest rates rise?

    <p>The curve flattens, indicating reduced price sensitivity.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why are interest rate fluctuations a significant risk in fixed-income markets?

    <p>They inversely affect bond prices and yield relationships.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the price of a bond at a 6% interest rate with a 20-year maturity?

    <p>$1,231.15</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to the coupon rate of an inverse floater when general interest rates rise?

    <p>It decreases.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of bond utilizes income from a specific group of assets for servicing debt?

    <p>Asset-backed bonds</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How often are coupon payments typically made in the U.S. and Canada?

    <p>Semi-annually</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond when the market rate of interest is also 8%?

    <p>$1,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a defining characteristic of catastrophe bonds?

    <p>Final payment depends on whether a specific catastrophe occurs.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the maturity range of Treasury notes?

    <p>1 to 10 years</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the common denomination for bonds purchased directly from the Treasury?

    <p>$1,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What term refers to the price that includes accrued interest on a bond?

    <p>Dirty price</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How is accrued interest calculated for a semi-annual coupon bond?

    <p>Semi-annual coupon amount multiplied by days since last payment</p> Signup and view all the answers

    If the quoted price of a bond is $990 and the accrued interest is $6.58, what is the invoice price?

    <p>$996.58</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What characteristic does a callable corporate bond have?

    <p>The issuer can repurchase the bond at a specified price.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the purpose of refunding in the context of callable bonds?

    <p>To retire high-coupon debt and replace it with new bonds at a lower rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the typical call protection period for callable bonds?

    <p>A set period after issuance before it can be called.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What factor primarily causes a callable bond to sell at a lower price compared to a non-callable bond?

    <p>The issuing firm retains the option to reclaim it at call price</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement correctly describes convertible bonds?

    <p>They can be converted into a specified number of shares of stock</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does the treatment of dividends for preferred stock differ from that of company bonds?

    <p>Preferred stock dividends do not affect corporate debt obligations</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What distinguishes foreign bonds from Eurobonds?

    <p>Foreign bonds are denominated in the currency of the market where they are sold</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of bond commonly demonstrates its interest rate being reset periodically?

    <p>Floating-rate bond</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key characteristic of preferred stock compared to traditional equity?

    <p>Preferred stock must be paid before common stock in case of liquidation</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following best describes a Maple bond?

    <p>A bond issued by a Canadian borrower denominated in Canadian dollars</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one potential advantage of Eurobonds over foreign bonds?

    <p>They are issued in a single currency but sold in multiple markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the Altman Z-Score indicate about a firm?

    <p>The firm is creditworthy if the score exceeds a certain cutoff value.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the implication of a Z-score below 1.2?

    <p>The firm is highly vulnerable to bankruptcy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which component is not part of the Altman Z-Score calculation?

    <p>Total Revenue</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the purpose of the default premium in bond pricing?

    <p>To compensate investors for the risk of potential default.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What role does a credit default swap (CDS) play in bond investment?

    <p>It acts as an insurance policy against default risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Who would likely be a natural buyer of credit default swaps?

    <p>Large bondholders or banks wanting to mitigate risk.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How are Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) structured?

    <p>They are divided into tranches with varying seniority levels.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the significance of sinking fund provisions in bond indentures?

    <p>They require the issuer to repurchase bonds periodically.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement is accurate about the expected YTM of a bond?

    <p>It accounts for the possibility of default.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    During the financial crisis of 2007-2009, how were CDS contracts utilized?

    <p>For speculating on the financial health of particular issuers.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does YTM represent in terms of bond investments?

    <p>The internal rate of return of the bond assuming reinvestment of coupons</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which bond is likely to have a current yield greater than the yield to maturity?

    <p>Premium bond</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Under what circumstances does the price of a callable bond remain stable?

    <p>Low interest rates</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What determines if YTM equals the realized return over a bond's life?

    <p>Coupon payments are reinvested at the bond's YTM</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What factors affect the yield to maturity (YTM) of a bond?

    <p>The coupon rate, maturity, and par value</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which type of bond has the highest default risk?

    <p>Speculative-grade bond</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How is the current yield of a bond calculated?

    <p>Annual coupon payment divided by the bond’s market price</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which financial ratios are essential in determining bond safety?

    <p>Coverage, leverage, liquidity, and cash flow ratios</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What characterizes a zero-coupon bond compared to other bonds?

    <p>It does not make periodic coupon payments</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does the bond equivalent yield (BEY) provide?

    <p>Comparison of different bonds on an annual basis</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which rating represents the highest bond quality?

    <p>Aaa</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does horizon analysis assess?

    <p>Yield to maturity over various holding periods</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What impact does a high debt-to-equity ratio have on a bond's safety?

    <p>Decreases the bond's safety</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary difference between yield to maturity (YTM) and holding period return (HPR)?

    <p>YTM is based on future cash flows; HPR is historical</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Canadian Securities

    • Mohammad Safavi
    • Date: November 13, 2024
    • Website: safavim.com
    • Figure: 289.33

    Chapter 14: Bond Prices and Yields

    • Tenth Canadian Edition
    • Prepared by Dinesh Gajurel, Ph.D., University of New Brunswick
    • Investments | Bodie et al. 10th CE | © 2022 McGraw-Hill Education Limited

    Chapter Overview

    • Bond Characteristics
    • Bond Pricing
    • Bond Yields
    • Bond Prices Over Time
    • Default Risk and Bond Pricing

    Bond Characteristics

    • A bond is a security issued in connection with a borrowing arrangement
    • The issuer agrees to make specified payments to the bondholder on specified dates
    • Par value (face value) is the payment to the bondholder at maturity
    • Coupon rate is the bond's interest payments per dollar of par value
    • Bond indenture is the contract between the issuer and the bondholder

    Example

    • A 1,000bondwitha41,000 bond with a 4% coupon rate might sell for 1,000bondwitha41,000
    • The bondholder is entitled to a 40annualpayment(or40 annual payment (or 40annualpayment(or20 semi-annually) for 30 years
    • At the end of 30 years, the issuer pays the $1,000 par value

    Treasury Bonds and Notes

    • Bonds issued and guaranteed by the federal government are called Government of Canada bonds or Canadas.
    • Treasury notes: 1 to 10 years
    • Treasury bonds: 10 to 30 years
    • Both bonds and notes can be purchased directly from the Treasury
    • Denominations as small as 100,but100, but 100,but1,000 is more common

    Accrued Interest and Quoted Bond Prices

    • Quoted bond prices in financial publications are not the actual prices investors pay
    • If purchased between coupon payment dates, the buyer must pay accrued interest
    • Accrued interest is the prorated share of the upcoming coupon payment
    • In a semi-annual coupon bond, accrued interest = (Annual coupon payment / 2) × (Days since last coupon payment / Days separating coupon payments)

    Example (Accrued Interest)

    • If the coupon rate is 8%, annual coupon is 80andsemi−annualpaymentis80 and semi-annual payment is 80andsemi−annualpaymentis40
    • 30 days have passed since the last coupon payment, accrued interest = 40×(30/182.5)=40 × (30/182.5) = 40×(30/182.5)=6.58
    • If the quoted price is 990,invoiceprice/dirtyprice=990, invoice price/dirty price = 990,invoiceprice/dirtyprice=990 + 6.58=6.58 = 6.58=996.58

    Corporate Bonds

    • Callable bonds allow the issuer to repurchase the bond before maturity at a specified price

    Question

    • Telus issues two bonds with identical coupon rates and maturity dates. One is callable, the other isn't. Which sells at a higher price?
    • The non-callable bond sells at a higher price. Investors will not pay as much for the callable bond because the issuer can repurchase at a lower price if interest rates fall.

    Convertible Bonds

    • Convertible bonds give holders the option to exchange each bond for a specified number of shares of the firm's stock

    Floating-Rate Bonds

    • Floating-rate bonds have interest rates reset periodically based on a specified market rate

    Preferred Stock

    • Considered equity but often in fixed-income
    • Like bonds, preferred stock promises a specified cash flow stream
    • Unlike bonds, failure to pay preferred dividends does not lead to bankruptcy
    • Preferred stock commonly pays a fixed dividend
    • Rarely gives holders full voting privileges

    International Bonds

    • Foreign bonds are issued by a borrower in one country, but sold in another, denominated in the currency of the market
    • Examples: Maple bonds in Canada, Yankee bonds in the U.S., Samurai bonds in Japan, and Bulldog bonds in the U.K.
    • Eurobonds are denominated in one currency, sold in other national markets, and not regulated by U.S. federal agencies

    Innovation in the Bond Market

    • Inverse floaters are like floating-rate bonds, but their coupon rate drops when interest rates rise
    • Asset-backed bonds use specific asset income to service the debt
    • Catastrophe bonds' final payment depends on whether a catastrophe occurs
    • Indexed bonds make payments tied to a general price index or commodity price (e.g., TIPS, RRBs)

    Principal and Interest Payments for an Inflation-Indexed Bond or TIPS

    • Table shows example payments for an inflation-indexed bond showing increase due to inflation.

    Bond Pricing

    • Bond value = Σ (Coupon / (1+r)^t) + (Par Value / (1+r)^T)
    • The first term is the present value of an annuity
    • The second term is the present value of a single amount (final payment)
    • Coupons are generally paid semi-annually in the U.S. and Canada, and annually in Europe

    Bond Pricing: Example

    • Price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond, market rate of interest is 8%
    • Price= $1,000
    • Price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond, market rate of interest is 10%
    • Price= $810.71

    Bond Prices and Yields

    • Inverse relationship between bond price and yield: higher yield leads to lower price
    • Interest rate fluctuations are the main risk in fixed-income markets
    • Price curve is convex, becoming flatter at higher interest rates. The maturity of a bond affects its sensitivity to changes in interest rates

    The Inverse Relationship Between Bond Prices and Yields

    • Graph shows the inverse relationship between interest rate and the price of a bond

    Table 14.2: Bond Prices at Different Interest Rates

    • Shows how bond price changes with different maturity and interest rates.

    Bond Yields: Yield to Maturity

    • Yield to maturity (YTM) is the interest rate that makes PV of bond = Current Price
    • Interpreted as average return if held to maturity
    • Calculated by solving the bond price equation for the rate

    Yield to Maturity Example

    • Suppose an 8% coupon, 30-year bond is selling for $1,276.76. What is the YTM?
    • YTM= 3% per half year
    • Bond equivalent yield = 6%
    • EAR = 6.09%

    Bond Yields: YTM vs Current Yield

    • Yield to maturity (YTM): Bond's internal rate of return, reflects expected compound return over the bond's life, assuming reinvestment of coupons at the same rate
    • Current yield: Bond's annual coupon payment divided by its price; a proxy for the average return
    • Premium bonds: Coupon rate > current yield > YTM
    • Discount bonds: Coupon rate < current yield < YTM

    Bond Yields: Yield to Call

    • Lower interest rates: The price of a callable bond stays flat or low as the risk of a call is high.
    • Higher interest rates: The price of a callable bond converges to that of a normal bond, as the risk of a call is low

    Bond Prices: Callable and Straight Bond

    • Graph illustrating how the price of a callable bond is typically lower than a straight bond at any given interest rate.

    Bond Yields: Realized Compound Return vs YTM

    • YTM equals the realized rate of return if all coupons are reinvested at that rate
    • Realized compound return is the compound rate of return if coupons are reinvested at variable rates, or until maturity
    • Horizon analysis is forecasting realized compound yield over various holding periods.

    Figure 14.5 Growth of Invested Funds

    • Simple example of a future value calculation, emphasizing the effect of different reinvestment rates.

    Prices Path of Two 30-Year Maturity Bonds

    • Graph showing the price path of two 30-year bonds (4%, 12%) over time; the price approaches par value as the maturity date nears.

    Bond Prices Over Time: YTM versus HPR

    • YTM: average return if the bond is held to maturity, depends on coupon rate, maturity, and par value
    • HPR: rate of return over a particular investment period, depends on the bond's price at end of holding period; can only be forecasted

    The Price of a 30-Year Zero-Coupon Bond Over Time

    • Chart of zero-coupon bond prices over time. Price rises to the par value at time T

    Default Risk and Bond Pricing

    • Credit risk (default risk): Risk that the bond issuer will not make all promised payments
    • Rating companies: Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch
    • Rating categories: Highest is AAA (or Aaa), others rated BBB/Baa (investment grade), those rated below are speculative/junk

    Default Risk and Bond Pricing (continued)

    • Bond safety determinants: Coverage ratios, leverage ratios (debt-to-equity), liquidity, profitability, and cash flow-to-debt ratio

    Financial Ratios and Default Risk by Rating Class, Long-Term Debt

    • Table of financial ratios for different bond ratings (Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, C)

    Discriminant Analysis

    • Financial ratios can predict default risk (Altman used discriminant analysis to predict bankruptcy)
    • Firms are assigned a score based on financial characteristics; if scores are above an established cut-off, they are considered more creditworthy.

    Altman Z-Score

    • Formula for calculating the Z-score
    • Z-scores below 1.2 indicate bankruptcy vulnerability
    • Z scores between 1.23 and 2.90 are in a gray area.
    • Z-scores above 2.90 indicate safety

    Bond Indentures

    • Sinking fund: Issuer periodically repurchases some proportion of outstanding bonds prior to maturity.
    • Subordination clauses limit additional borrowing.
    • Dividend restrictions limit dividends paid by a firm.
    • Collateral is a particular asset that bondholders receive if the firm defaults.

    YTM and Default Risk

    • The YTM only considers the bond's promise to repay in the future.
    • The expected YTM considers the default risk; this is found by adding a default premium
    • A default premium compensates the investor for the risk of default.

    Yield Spreads

    • Graph showing the spread between high yield, Baa-rated, and Aaa-rated bonds over time

    Default Risk and CDS

    • Credit default swaps (CDS) act like insurance against bond default risk
    • Allows lenders to protect against default risk
    • Risk structure of rates and prices are closely tied for CDS contracts

    Summary

    • Fixed-income securities are distinguished by their promise to pay a fixed stream of income.
    • Bonds are issued at or near their face value. Callable bonds offer higher promised yield to maturity.
    • Extendable and retractable bonds give the bondholder option over the bond duration.
    • Convertible bonds can be traded for equity shares.

    Summary (part two)

    • Floating-rate bonds pay a coupon rate linked to a short-term interest rate.
    • Bond prices and yields have inverse relationships. Bond safety is evaluated using financial ratio analysis.
    • Credit default swaps provide risk protection against bond defaults.
    • Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) allocate credit risk from a pool of loans.

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