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What happens to bond prices as market interest rates increase?
What happens to bond prices as market interest rates increase?
Which factor contributes to a bond's price sensitivity to interest rate changes?
Which factor contributes to a bond's price sensitivity to interest rate changes?
What is the Yield to Maturity (YTM) of a bond?
What is the Yield to Maturity (YTM) of a bond?
If a bond with a 30-year maturity has a price of $810.71, what market interest rate is it likely associated with?
If a bond with a 30-year maturity has a price of $810.71, what market interest rate is it likely associated with?
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Which of the following statements about bond yields is correct?
Which of the following statements about bond yields is correct?
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What can be inferred about the price curve of bonds as interest rates rise?
What can be inferred about the price curve of bonds as interest rates rise?
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Why are interest rate fluctuations a significant risk in fixed-income markets?
Why are interest rate fluctuations a significant risk in fixed-income markets?
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What is the price of a bond at a 6% interest rate with a 20-year maturity?
What is the price of a bond at a 6% interest rate with a 20-year maturity?
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What happens to the coupon rate of an inverse floater when general interest rates rise?
What happens to the coupon rate of an inverse floater when general interest rates rise?
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Which type of bond utilizes income from a specific group of assets for servicing debt?
Which type of bond utilizes income from a specific group of assets for servicing debt?
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How often are coupon payments typically made in the U.S. and Canada?
How often are coupon payments typically made in the U.S. and Canada?
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What is the price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond when the market rate of interest is also 8%?
What is the price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond when the market rate of interest is also 8%?
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What is a defining characteristic of catastrophe bonds?
What is a defining characteristic of catastrophe bonds?
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What is the maturity range of Treasury notes?
What is the maturity range of Treasury notes?
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What is the common denomination for bonds purchased directly from the Treasury?
What is the common denomination for bonds purchased directly from the Treasury?
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What term refers to the price that includes accrued interest on a bond?
What term refers to the price that includes accrued interest on a bond?
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How is accrued interest calculated for a semi-annual coupon bond?
How is accrued interest calculated for a semi-annual coupon bond?
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If the quoted price of a bond is $990 and the accrued interest is $6.58, what is the invoice price?
If the quoted price of a bond is $990 and the accrued interest is $6.58, what is the invoice price?
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What characteristic does a callable corporate bond have?
What characteristic does a callable corporate bond have?
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What is the purpose of refunding in the context of callable bonds?
What is the purpose of refunding in the context of callable bonds?
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What is the typical call protection period for callable bonds?
What is the typical call protection period for callable bonds?
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What factor primarily causes a callable bond to sell at a lower price compared to a non-callable bond?
What factor primarily causes a callable bond to sell at a lower price compared to a non-callable bond?
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Which statement correctly describes convertible bonds?
Which statement correctly describes convertible bonds?
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How does the treatment of dividends for preferred stock differ from that of company bonds?
How does the treatment of dividends for preferred stock differ from that of company bonds?
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What distinguishes foreign bonds from Eurobonds?
What distinguishes foreign bonds from Eurobonds?
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Which type of bond commonly demonstrates its interest rate being reset periodically?
Which type of bond commonly demonstrates its interest rate being reset periodically?
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What is a key characteristic of preferred stock compared to traditional equity?
What is a key characteristic of preferred stock compared to traditional equity?
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Which of the following best describes a Maple bond?
Which of the following best describes a Maple bond?
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What is one potential advantage of Eurobonds over foreign bonds?
What is one potential advantage of Eurobonds over foreign bonds?
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What does the Altman Z-Score indicate about a firm?
What does the Altman Z-Score indicate about a firm?
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What is the implication of a Z-score below 1.2?
What is the implication of a Z-score below 1.2?
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Which component is not part of the Altman Z-Score calculation?
Which component is not part of the Altman Z-Score calculation?
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What is the purpose of the default premium in bond pricing?
What is the purpose of the default premium in bond pricing?
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What role does a credit default swap (CDS) play in bond investment?
What role does a credit default swap (CDS) play in bond investment?
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Who would likely be a natural buyer of credit default swaps?
Who would likely be a natural buyer of credit default swaps?
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How are Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) structured?
How are Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) structured?
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What is the significance of sinking fund provisions in bond indentures?
What is the significance of sinking fund provisions in bond indentures?
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Which statement is accurate about the expected YTM of a bond?
Which statement is accurate about the expected YTM of a bond?
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During the financial crisis of 2007-2009, how were CDS contracts utilized?
During the financial crisis of 2007-2009, how were CDS contracts utilized?
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What does YTM represent in terms of bond investments?
What does YTM represent in terms of bond investments?
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Which bond is likely to have a current yield greater than the yield to maturity?
Which bond is likely to have a current yield greater than the yield to maturity?
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Under what circumstances does the price of a callable bond remain stable?
Under what circumstances does the price of a callable bond remain stable?
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What determines if YTM equals the realized return over a bond's life?
What determines if YTM equals the realized return over a bond's life?
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What factors affect the yield to maturity (YTM) of a bond?
What factors affect the yield to maturity (YTM) of a bond?
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Which type of bond has the highest default risk?
Which type of bond has the highest default risk?
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How is the current yield of a bond calculated?
How is the current yield of a bond calculated?
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Which financial ratios are essential in determining bond safety?
Which financial ratios are essential in determining bond safety?
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What characterizes a zero-coupon bond compared to other bonds?
What characterizes a zero-coupon bond compared to other bonds?
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What does the bond equivalent yield (BEY) provide?
What does the bond equivalent yield (BEY) provide?
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Which rating represents the highest bond quality?
Which rating represents the highest bond quality?
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What does horizon analysis assess?
What does horizon analysis assess?
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What impact does a high debt-to-equity ratio have on a bond's safety?
What impact does a high debt-to-equity ratio have on a bond's safety?
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What is the primary difference between yield to maturity (YTM) and holding period return (HPR)?
What is the primary difference between yield to maturity (YTM) and holding period return (HPR)?
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Study Notes
Canadian Securities
- Mohammad Safavi
- Date: November 13, 2024
- Website: safavim.com
- Figure: 289.33
Chapter 14: Bond Prices and Yields
- Tenth Canadian Edition
- Prepared by Dinesh Gajurel, Ph.D., University of New Brunswick
- Investments | Bodie et al. 10th CE | © 2022 McGraw-Hill Education Limited
Chapter Overview
- Bond Characteristics
- Bond Pricing
- Bond Yields
- Bond Prices Over Time
- Default Risk and Bond Pricing
Bond Characteristics
- A bond is a security issued in connection with a borrowing arrangement
- The issuer agrees to make specified payments to the bondholder on specified dates
- Par value (face value) is the payment to the bondholder at maturity
- Coupon rate is the bond's interest payments per dollar of par value
- Bond indenture is the contract between the issuer and the bondholder
Example
- A 1,000bondwitha41,000 bond with a 4% coupon rate might sell for 1,000bondwitha41,000
- The bondholder is entitled to a 40annualpayment(or40 annual payment (or 40annualpayment(or20 semi-annually) for 30 years
- At the end of 30 years, the issuer pays the $1,000 par value
Treasury Bonds and Notes
- Bonds issued and guaranteed by the federal government are called Government of Canada bonds or Canadas.
- Treasury notes: 1 to 10 years
- Treasury bonds: 10 to 30 years
- Both bonds and notes can be purchased directly from the Treasury
- Denominations as small as 100,but100, but 100,but1,000 is more common
Accrued Interest and Quoted Bond Prices
- Quoted bond prices in financial publications are not the actual prices investors pay
- If purchased between coupon payment dates, the buyer must pay accrued interest
- Accrued interest is the prorated share of the upcoming coupon payment
- In a semi-annual coupon bond, accrued interest = (Annual coupon payment / 2) × (Days since last coupon payment / Days separating coupon payments)
Example (Accrued Interest)
- If the coupon rate is 8%, annual coupon is 80andsemi−annualpaymentis80 and semi-annual payment is 80andsemi−annualpaymentis40
- 30 days have passed since the last coupon payment, accrued interest = 40×(30/182.5)=40 × (30/182.5) = 40×(30/182.5)=6.58
- If the quoted price is 990,invoiceprice/dirtyprice=990, invoice price/dirty price = 990,invoiceprice/dirtyprice=990 + 6.58=6.58 = 6.58=996.58
Corporate Bonds
- Callable bonds allow the issuer to repurchase the bond before maturity at a specified price
Question
- Telus issues two bonds with identical coupon rates and maturity dates. One is callable, the other isn't. Which sells at a higher price?
- The non-callable bond sells at a higher price. Investors will not pay as much for the callable bond because the issuer can repurchase at a lower price if interest rates fall.
Convertible Bonds
- Convertible bonds give holders the option to exchange each bond for a specified number of shares of the firm's stock
Floating-Rate Bonds
- Floating-rate bonds have interest rates reset periodically based on a specified market rate
Preferred Stock
- Considered equity but often in fixed-income
- Like bonds, preferred stock promises a specified cash flow stream
- Unlike bonds, failure to pay preferred dividends does not lead to bankruptcy
- Preferred stock commonly pays a fixed dividend
- Rarely gives holders full voting privileges
International Bonds
- Foreign bonds are issued by a borrower in one country, but sold in another, denominated in the currency of the market
- Examples: Maple bonds in Canada, Yankee bonds in the U.S., Samurai bonds in Japan, and Bulldog bonds in the U.K.
- Eurobonds are denominated in one currency, sold in other national markets, and not regulated by U.S. federal agencies
Innovation in the Bond Market
- Inverse floaters are like floating-rate bonds, but their coupon rate drops when interest rates rise
- Asset-backed bonds use specific asset income to service the debt
- Catastrophe bonds' final payment depends on whether a catastrophe occurs
- Indexed bonds make payments tied to a general price index or commodity price (e.g., TIPS, RRBs)
Principal and Interest Payments for an Inflation-Indexed Bond or TIPS
- Table shows example payments for an inflation-indexed bond showing increase due to inflation.
Bond Pricing
- Bond value = Σ (Coupon / (1+r)^t) + (Par Value / (1+r)^T)
- The first term is the present value of an annuity
- The second term is the present value of a single amount (final payment)
- Coupons are generally paid semi-annually in the U.S. and Canada, and annually in Europe
Bond Pricing: Example
- Price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond, market rate of interest is 8%
- Price= $1,000
- Price of a 30-year, 8% coupon bond, market rate of interest is 10%
- Price= $810.71
Bond Prices and Yields
- Inverse relationship between bond price and yield: higher yield leads to lower price
- Interest rate fluctuations are the main risk in fixed-income markets
- Price curve is convex, becoming flatter at higher interest rates. The maturity of a bond affects its sensitivity to changes in interest rates
The Inverse Relationship Between Bond Prices and Yields
- Graph shows the inverse relationship between interest rate and the price of a bond
Table 14.2: Bond Prices at Different Interest Rates
- Shows how bond price changes with different maturity and interest rates.
Bond Yields: Yield to Maturity
- Yield to maturity (YTM) is the interest rate that makes PV of bond = Current Price
- Interpreted as average return if held to maturity
- Calculated by solving the bond price equation for the rate
Yield to Maturity Example
- Suppose an 8% coupon, 30-year bond is selling for $1,276.76. What is the YTM?
- YTM= 3% per half year
- Bond equivalent yield = 6%
- EAR = 6.09%
Bond Yields: YTM vs Current Yield
- Yield to maturity (YTM): Bond's internal rate of return, reflects expected compound return over the bond's life, assuming reinvestment of coupons at the same rate
- Current yield: Bond's annual coupon payment divided by its price; a proxy for the average return
- Premium bonds: Coupon rate > current yield > YTM
- Discount bonds: Coupon rate < current yield < YTM
Bond Yields: Yield to Call
- Lower interest rates: The price of a callable bond stays flat or low as the risk of a call is high.
- Higher interest rates: The price of a callable bond converges to that of a normal bond, as the risk of a call is low
Bond Prices: Callable and Straight Bond
- Graph illustrating how the price of a callable bond is typically lower than a straight bond at any given interest rate.
Bond Yields: Realized Compound Return vs YTM
- YTM equals the realized rate of return if all coupons are reinvested at that rate
- Realized compound return is the compound rate of return if coupons are reinvested at variable rates, or until maturity
- Horizon analysis is forecasting realized compound yield over various holding periods.
Figure 14.5 Growth of Invested Funds
- Simple example of a future value calculation, emphasizing the effect of different reinvestment rates.
Prices Path of Two 30-Year Maturity Bonds
- Graph showing the price path of two 30-year bonds (4%, 12%) over time; the price approaches par value as the maturity date nears.
Bond Prices Over Time: YTM versus HPR
- YTM: average return if the bond is held to maturity, depends on coupon rate, maturity, and par value
- HPR: rate of return over a particular investment period, depends on the bond's price at end of holding period; can only be forecasted
The Price of a 30-Year Zero-Coupon Bond Over Time
- Chart of zero-coupon bond prices over time. Price rises to the par value at time T
Default Risk and Bond Pricing
- Credit risk (default risk): Risk that the bond issuer will not make all promised payments
- Rating companies: Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch
- Rating categories: Highest is AAA (or Aaa), others rated BBB/Baa (investment grade), those rated below are speculative/junk
Default Risk and Bond Pricing (continued)
- Bond safety determinants: Coverage ratios, leverage ratios (debt-to-equity), liquidity, profitability, and cash flow-to-debt ratio
Financial Ratios and Default Risk by Rating Class, Long-Term Debt
- Table of financial ratios for different bond ratings (Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, C)
Discriminant Analysis
- Financial ratios can predict default risk (Altman used discriminant analysis to predict bankruptcy)
- Firms are assigned a score based on financial characteristics; if scores are above an established cut-off, they are considered more creditworthy.
Altman Z-Score
- Formula for calculating the Z-score
- Z-scores below 1.2 indicate bankruptcy vulnerability
- Z scores between 1.23 and 2.90 are in a gray area.
- Z-scores above 2.90 indicate safety
Bond Indentures
- Sinking fund: Issuer periodically repurchases some proportion of outstanding bonds prior to maturity.
- Subordination clauses limit additional borrowing.
- Dividend restrictions limit dividends paid by a firm.
- Collateral is a particular asset that bondholders receive if the firm defaults.
YTM and Default Risk
- The YTM only considers the bond's promise to repay in the future.
- The expected YTM considers the default risk; this is found by adding a default premium
- A default premium compensates the investor for the risk of default.
Yield Spreads
- Graph showing the spread between high yield, Baa-rated, and Aaa-rated bonds over time
Default Risk and CDS
- Credit default swaps (CDS) act like insurance against bond default risk
- Allows lenders to protect against default risk
- Risk structure of rates and prices are closely tied for CDS contracts
Summary
- Fixed-income securities are distinguished by their promise to pay a fixed stream of income.
- Bonds are issued at or near their face value. Callable bonds offer higher promised yield to maturity.
- Extendable and retractable bonds give the bondholder option over the bond duration.
- Convertible bonds can be traded for equity shares.
Summary (part two)
- Floating-rate bonds pay a coupon rate linked to a short-term interest rate.
- Bond prices and yields have inverse relationships. Bond safety is evaluated using financial ratio analysis.
- Credit default swaps provide risk protection against bond defaults.
- Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) allocate credit risk from a pool of loans.
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