Cost Estimation in Project Management
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Questions and Answers

What is the expected cost range if the effort and definition are at the low end?

  • $3.00 to $4.00 million
  • $1.04 to $3.44 million (correct)
  • $1.76 to $2.36 million
  • $2.00 to $3.00 million

Which method provides the least accuracy in cost estimation?

  • Vendor quotes
  • Using previous cost on similar equipment
  • Cost estimating charts and scale for time (correct)
  • Using detailed engineering data

What typical value of 'n' is used when applying the six-tenths rule for estimating cost increases?

  • 0.4
  • 0.6 (correct)
  • 0.2
  • 0.8

How much is the estimated percentage increase in cost when the capacity of a piece of equipment is doubled using the six-tenths rule?

<p>52% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a significant caution when using previous costs on similar equipment for estimation?

<p>Large extrapolation may misrepresent costs (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the symbol CFIT represent in project expenses?

<p>Freight, Insurance, and Taxes (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What percentage does Construction Overhead typically represent of the FCI?

<p>8 to 10 % (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What symbolizes the fee associated with contractors on a project?

<p>CFee (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is included in Auxiliary Facilities?

<p>Administration Offices (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much can the contingency factor cover in unforeseen expenses?

<p>5 to 15 % (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the symbol COff represent?

<p>Off-sites and Utilities (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What percentage of the FCI do contractor engineering expenses typically represent?

<p>8 % (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the symbol CAux refer to in project expenses?

<p>Auxiliary Buildings (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula used to calculate the cost of manufacturing (COM) with depreciation?

<p>COM = 0.280FCI + 2.73COL + 1.23(CUT + CWT + CRM) (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the number of operators per shift (NOL) calculated for different processing steps?

<p>NOL = (6.29 + 31.7P2 + 0.23Nnp)0.5 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What adjustment should be made in the NOL calculation if there are more than 2 solids processing steps?

<p>Ignore the middle term and add 1 operator per solids step. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the calculated total salary cost of operating labor (COL) for the acetone facility?

<p>$770K (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the number of operating labor operators per shift is calculated as 4.5, what would be the total number of operators required?

<p>14 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the estimated cost of the heat exchanger in 2001 using the Marshal and Swift Index?

<p>$29,891 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Using the Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index, what was the estimated cost of the heat exchanger in 2001?

<p>$27,723 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the value of K when using the formula $C = KA^n$ with the values provided?

<p>3.74 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Using the six-tenths factor rule, how is the cost of a heat exchanger estimated for a larger area?

<p>By applying the six-tenths rule to the area (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula used to estimate the capital cost of a plant with respect to capacity and inflation corrections?

<p>Cost = (Original Cost)(Capacity Correction)(Inflation Correction) (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the projected cost index for the year 2013?

<p>512.6 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Calculate the average percentage difference between the two cost estimates for the heat exchanger in 2001.

<p>7.5% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following represents direct project expenses?

<p>Purchased cost of equipment (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For the isopropanol plant, which year provided the original cost for calculating the cost in 2001?

<p>1986 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the example provided for heat exchangers, which area corresponds to the higher cost?

<p>130 m² (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the term 'n' represent in the equation $C = KA^n$?

<p>The exponent of the area dimension (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the cost index in 2006 was 430.2 and in 2013 was 512.6, what does this indicate about the cost trends?

<p>Costs have increased over time (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the cost correction factor used for adjusting costs from 30,000 metric tons/year to 50,000 metric tons/year?

<p>1.359 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What inflation correction factor is used to estimate costs from 1986 to 2001 in the isopropanol plant example?

<p>1.248 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the estimated cost of a 50 m² heat exchanger in 2013, based on the details provided?

<p>Rs. 1,200,000 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT considered a direct project expense?

<p>Contingency and fee (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the capital cost for a major expansion to a fluid processing plant with a total purchased equipment cost of $6,800,000?

<p>$32,232,000 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a solid processing plant, what is the Lang factor (FLang)?

<p>3.10 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the Bare Module Factor (FBM) calculated?

<p>FBM = B1 + B2 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factor represents the pressure adjustment for bare module cost calculations at 1 bar pressure?

<p>Fp = 1 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which multiplier represents the materials of construction factor for bare module costs?

<p>1.0 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the Bare Module Cost Factor formula, what does $α L$ represent?

<p>Labor costs (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the total purchased equipment cost is $10,000, what is the equipment's percentage of cost?

<p>100.0% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the Bare Module Cost ($CBM$) represented as?

<p>$C_p F_{BM}$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Cost Exponent (n)

A mathematical exponent used to describe the relationship between the cost of equipment and its size or capacity. Typically ranges from 0.4 to 0.8, with 0.6 being a common value.

Economy of Scale

A principle describing how the cost of equipment increases as its capacity (size) increases. This increase is not proportional, but follows a power law where the exponent 'n' is typically between 0.4 and 0.8.

Six-Tenths Rule

A rule of thumb stating that the cost of equipment increases by approximately 52% when its capacity is doubled, assuming a cost exponent of 0.6.

Effect of Capacity on Equipment Cost

The capacity of a piece of equipment influences the cost of purchasing it. The cost increases as the capacity (size) increases.

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Scaling Up Equipment Cost

A method used to estimate the cost of equipment based on its size and capacity. Uses the equation: 'C = KAn' where 'C' is the cost, 'K' is a constant, 'A' is the capacity, and 'n' is the cost exponent.

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What is a Cost Index?

A numerical index that tracks changes in the cost of equipment and materials in a particular industry over time.

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What is the Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index (CEPCI)?

A specific cost index widely used in chemical engineering to estimate the cost of equipment and projects.

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What is the Cost Exponent (n)?

The relationship between the cost of equipment and its size or capacity. It's represented by a mathematical exponent (n), with values typically ranging from 0.4 to 0.8.

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What is the Economy of Scale?

A principle that describes how the cost of equipment increases as its capacity (size) increases, though not proportionally. The cost increases follow a power law, where the exponent is typically between 0.4 and 0.8.

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What is the Six-Tenths Rule?

A commonly used rule of thumb that states the cost of equipment increases by approximately 52% when its capacity is doubled, assuming a cost exponent of 0.6.

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How do you Scale Up Equipment Cost?

A method used to estimate the cost of equipment based on its size and capacity. It uses the equation: 'C = KAn' where 'C' is the cost, 'K' is a constant, 'A' is the capacity, and 'n' is the cost exponent.

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How does Capacity Affect Equipment Cost?

The cost of equipment is affected by its capacity (size). As capacity increases, the cost typically increases, though not linearly.

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What is Inflation Correction?

A way to estimate the cost of equipment in a different year compared to a reference year, accounting for inflation. This is done by using cost indexes that track changes in prices over time.

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Cost index

A measure of the relative cost of goods and services at a specific point in time, compared to a base year.

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Six-tenths factor rule

A rule of thumb used to estimate the cost of equipment based on its size or capacity. It assumes that cost increases at a rate of 0.6 when the desired capacity is doubled.

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Equipment purchase cost

The initial cost of equipment at the manufacturer's site.

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Direct project expenses

All costs directly associated with the equipment, such as materials, labor, and installation. It includes everything needed to put the equipment in place and operational.

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Indirect project expenses

Expenses that aren't directly related to materials or labor, but are necessary for the project. Examples include project management, permits, and insurance.

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Contingency and fee

A buffer added to the project budget to account for unexpected costs or changes in the project scope. It ensures the project has enough funds to cover unexpected issues.

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Auxiliary facilities

Additional facilities and infrastructure needed to support the main equipment. These could include power supplies, cooling systems, or maintenance facilities.

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Total project cost

Includes all costs associated with the project, including direct and indirect expenses, contingencies and fees, and auxiliary facilities.

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Cost of Raw Materials (CRM)

The cost of raw materials used in a manufacturing process, contributing to the overall manufacturing cost.

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Manufacturing Cost Equation

A mathematical formula for calculating the manufacturing cost (COM) of a chemical plant, taking into account the fixed capital investment (FCI), cost of operating labor (COL), and other factor costs (CUT, CWT, CRM).

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Number of Operators (NOL)

The number of operators required per shift to run a plant, estimated based on the type and number of processing steps involved.

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Cost of Operating Labor (COL)

The total cost of labor for a chemical facility, calculated by multiplying the number of operators by their annual salary.

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Operating Labor - Acetone Facility

A specific manufacturing cost model used to estimate the minimum number of operating personnel needed for a chemical facility, and then to calculate the total cost of operating labor.

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Bare Module Factor (FBM)

A multiplier used to calculate the total capital cost of a chemical plant module based on the purchased equipment cost, considering factors like materials, labor, freight, and overhead.

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Module Factor Approach

A method used to estimate the total capital cost of a chemical plant module by multiplying the purchased equipment cost by a factor (FBM) that considers all relevant costs.

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Bare Module Cost Factor (FBM)

The sum of all cost multipliers in the Module Factor Approach, including factors for equipment, materials, labor, freight, overhead, and engineering.

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Purchased Equipment Cost (C)

The cost of purchasing equipment at base conditions (1 bar pressure and carbon steel material).

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Pressure Factor (Fp)

A factor that accounts for the effect of pressure on the cost of equipment.

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Material of Construction Factor (FM)

A factor that accounts for the effect of material of construction on the cost of equipment.

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Total Module Cost (CTM)

The total capital cost of a chemical plant module, which includes all direct and indirect costs.

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Bare Module Cost (CBM)

The cost of the module excluding the purchased equipment cost. It includes expenses like materials, labor, freight, overhead, and engineering.

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Freight, Insurance, and Taxes (CFIT)

Costs incurred for transporting equipment and materials to the plant site, including insurance, taxes, and any applicable purchase taxes.

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Construction Overhead (CO)

Covers fringe benefits, labor burden, and supervisory salaries related to construction activities.

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Contractor Engineering Expenses (CE)

Includes salaries and overhead for engineers, drafters, and project managers involved in the project.

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Contingency (CCont)

Covers unexpected events like storms, strikes, design changes, and price increases.

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Contractor Fee (CFee)

A fee charged by the contractor, which varies depending on the project type and other factors.

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Site Development (CSite)

Costs associated with preparing the site for construction, including land, grading, utilities, and roads.

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Auxiliary Buildings (CAux)

Costs for buildings and facilities that support the main plant operations, such as offices, maintenance shops, and control rooms.

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Off-sites and Utilities (COff)

Costs for facilities related to raw materials, finished products, and utilities, including storage spaces, loading equipment, and environmental control systems.

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Study Notes

Cost Estimation

  • Cost estimation is a crucial process in various fields, particularly in industrial plant projects.
  • Capital investments are necessary before an industrial plant can operate.
  • Fixed capital investment (FCI) covers the capital needed for manufacturing and plant facilities.
  • Working capital (WC) involves capital required for plant operation.
  • Total capital investment (TCI) combines FCI and WC.

Capital Investments

  • FCI can be categorized into manufacturing and nonmanufacturing fixed-capital investment.
  • Manufacturing FCI comprises capital for installed equipment and auxiliary systems (piping, instruments, etc.).
  • Nonmanufacturing FCI deals with overhead for construction and plant components unrelated to the process (land, buildings, administrative offices, etc).
  • The delivered cost is the total cost of equipment including transportation and installation.

Types of Capital Cost Estimates

  • Order of Magnitude Estimate: Based on similar projects.
  • Study Estimate: Using knowledge of major equipment.
  • Preliminary Estimate: Sufficient data-based estimate.
  • Definitive Estimate: Based on almost complete data.
  • Detailed Estimate: Requires complete engineering drawings, specifications, and surveys.

Cost Estimation Methods

  • Vendor quotations provide highly accurate cost estimates, based on technical specifications.
  • Previous costs of similar equipment and time scale are also valid for reasonable estimations.
  • Cost estimating charts offer an approach for cost estimations along with time scale for certain tasks.

Working Capital Investment

  • Working capital is funds invested in raw materials, finished products, and accounts receivables.
  • Raw materials inventory often represents a one-month supply.
  • Finished products and semifinished goods inventory value approximately equals the total manufacturing cost of one month's production.
  • Working capital ratio varies among companies, but ~10-20% of total capital investment is typical for chemical plants.

Effect of Capacity/Size

  • The cost of equipment often scales with the power of 0.6 of capacity, often termed the 6/10 rule.
  • Different equipment types exhibit different capacity-cost relationships (cost exponents).
  • Typical values of cost exponents for various process equipment are available.

Effect of Time

  • Cost indices account for changes in costs over time.
  • Various cost indices are available for specific industries (e.g., Marshall & Swift, Engineering News-Record, Nelson-Farrar Refinery).
  • The Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index (CEPCI) is a significant index for chemical plant construction costs.

Economy of Scale

  • The six-tenths rule provides a quick estimate of the percentage increase in cost when the capacity of a piece of equipment is doubled.
  • The rule is generally applicable in estimating for process units and scale up.

Capital Cost Modules

  • Total module cost (Lang factor) – A factor to multiply the purchase cost of the major equipment.
  • Bare module cost – the cost of equipment in base conditions.

Cost of Operating Labor (COL)

  • NOL equation helps estimate labor cost based on parameters like number of workers per shift and processing steps.

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Cost Estimation PDF

Description

Test your knowledge on cost estimation methods and principles in project management. This quiz covers concepts like the six-tenths rule, construction overhead, and project expense symbols. Prepare to explore various factors affecting cost estimation accuracy.

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