Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is the main cause of coral bleaching?
What is the main cause of coral bleaching?
How many global mass bleaching events have occurred since 1998?
How many global mass bleaching events have occurred since 1998?
What proportion of marine species are hosted by coral reefs?
What proportion of marine species are hosted by coral reefs?
What is the projected outcome for the Great Barrier Reef's maximum annual heat stress by 2050 if emissions do not slow?
What is the projected outcome for the Great Barrier Reef's maximum annual heat stress by 2050 if emissions do not slow?
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What is the main factor contributing to the increased accuracy of predicting coral bleaching risk?
What is the main factor contributing to the increased accuracy of predicting coral bleaching risk?
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What percentage of the world's oceans do coral reefs cover?
What percentage of the world's oceans do coral reefs cover?
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What is the projected outcome for coral bleaching by 2080 if greenhouse gas emissions are not cut?
What is the projected outcome for coral bleaching by 2080 if greenhouse gas emissions are not cut?
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What organization monitors marine heatwaves globally?
What organization monitors marine heatwaves globally?
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What is expected to happen to coral bleaching by mid-century?
What is expected to happen to coral bleaching by mid-century?
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When do corals spawn in many regions?
When do corals spawn in many regions?
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What is expected to happen to coral spawning by 2040?
What is expected to happen to coral spawning by 2040?
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Where are coral reefs most at risk of severe bleaching?
Where are coral reefs most at risk of severe bleaching?
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What is the problem with equatorial species?
What is the problem with equatorial species?
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What is expected to happen to coral reefs in regions with seasonal upwellings?
What is expected to happen to coral reefs in regions with seasonal upwellings?
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What is the main solution to reduce future climate impacts on corals?
What is the main solution to reduce future climate impacts on corals?
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What is the purpose of the user-friendly web-based tool for mapping future coral bleaching?
What is the purpose of the user-friendly web-based tool for mapping future coral bleaching?
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Study Notes
Coral Bleaching and Climate Change
- Coral bleaching is becoming more common due to increasingly severe and frequent marine heatwaves.
- Four global mass bleaching events have occurred since 1998, with two happening in the past decade.
- Unless greenhouse gas emissions are reduced, coral bleaching will start in spring rather than late summer by 2080.
Impact of Marine Heatwaves
- Marine heatwaves stress corals, causing them to expel symbiotic algae and turn white and weakened.
- Prolonged heat stress harms coral health and reproduction.
- Coral reefs cover only 1% of the oceans but host at least 25% of all marine species.
Importance of Coral Reefs
- More than half a billion people worldwide depend on coral reefs for food.
- Coral reefs are vital for the health of the ocean and people.
- They are also among the ecosystems most at risk from climate change.
Predicting Coral Bleaching Risk
- Recent improvements in climate modeling allow for predicting coral bleaching risks with high accuracy.
- Daily projections of heat stress from global climate models show the severity and duration of coral bleaching will soon reach uncharted territory.
Region-Specific Risks
- The greatest risk of coral bleaching is along the equator, where the most biodiverse coral reefs are found.
- Equatorial regions are home to conservation hotspots such as the Coral Triangle.
- Many equatorial species are already living at temperatures near their upper tolerance and have low abilities to move to track shifting climates.
Impact on Coral Spawning
- By 2040, coral spawning events could coincide with severe bleaching risk, reducing reproductive success and causing large-scale coral loss.
Identifying Lower-Risk Regions
- Regions such as the northern coasts of Venezuela and Colombia, Socotra Island, and Alor Kecil in Indonesia are predicted to have lower risks of coral bleaching due to seasonal upwellings.
- Identifying these regions can help conservation managers and policymakers prioritize efforts to limit loss of coral reef biodiversity.
Conservation Strategies
- Curbing greenhouse gas emissions is the main solution to reduce future climate impacts on corals.
- Other strategies such as assisted evolution, coral restoration, or transplantation can help maintain healthy coral populations at local scales.
- A user-friendly web-based tool for mapping future coral bleaching can help pinpoint locations for effective management interventions.
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Description
Coral bleaching is becoming more common due to marine heatwaves caused by climate change. Unless emissions are cut, coral bleaching will start in spring and last into autumn by 2080. The Great Barrier Reef's maximum annual heat stress will double by 2050 if emissions do not slow.