4.1 Commercialization Strategies in Speech Recognition (Mandatory)
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What was the primary goal of the earliest recorded ASR research effort in 1952?

  • To develop a machine that could recognize all spoken words
  • To design a machine capable of understanding human speech
  • To create a machine that could translate spoken language into written text
  • To build a device that could recognize the spoken digits zero through nine (correct)
  • What was the location of the first successful ASR research?

  • RCA Laboratories
  • AT&T Bell Laboratories (correct)
  • Lincoln Laboratories
  • Kyoto University
  • Which of the following organizations was NOT actively involved in early ASR research?

  • Kyoto University
  • NEC
  • IBM (correct)
  • University College, London
  • Which of the following was NOT a contributing factor to the development of early ASR research?

    <p>The need for accurate speech recognition in medical diagnosis</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main idea of the passage regarding the stages of development of a disruptive technology?

    <p>Disruptive technologies typically start with high competition, shifting towards cooperation for licensing or acquisition.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the significance of the "switch" mentioned in the passage regarding technological development?

    <p>It signifies the shift in focus from technical progress to market strategies.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main argument presented in the passage regarding the development of disruptive technologies?

    <p>Disruptive technologies evolve through successive stages of competition and cooperation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to the passage, what is a common characteristic of disruptive technologies?

    <p>They typically exhibit a large number of competitors initially.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What do entrants have the option to do regarding the innovation's value?

    <p>Enter the market themselves and test the innovation</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What incentive does the incumbent have when negotiating with entrants?

    <p>To encourage the entrant to take on potential risks</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What might incumbents do in the absence of options for cooperation with entrants?

    <p>Acquire technologies to shelve them</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What type of technology might lead to incumbents acquiring it just to place it on the shelf?

    <p>Competence-destroying technologies</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is directly related to how incumbents and entrants choose to interact regarding commercialization?

    <p>The potential for technological disruption</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What technology did Qualcomm develop for cellular communications?

    <p>Code-Division Multiple Access (CDMA)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which approach does CDMA utilize for handling multiple calls?

    <p>Simultaneously managing interference</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does Qualcomm's CDMA compare to TDMA in terms of efficiency?

    <p>CDMA is more efficient</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What strategy did Qualcomm employ after entering the product market?

    <p>Switching to a preferred licensing model</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a significant reaction to the introduction of CDMA technology?

    <p>Skepticism from many industry experts</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What time frame is mentioned for the development of Qualcomm's CDMA technology?

    <p>Three to four years</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a necessary component in the development of Qualcomm's CDMA technology?

    <p>Several successful demonstrations</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which protocol handles multiple calls sequentially, unlike CDMA?

    <p>Time-Division Multiple Access (TDMA)</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What significant development in the field of ASR occurred in the early 1960s?

    <p>The creation of Threshold Technology</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was the first company dedicated exclusively to ASR?

    <p>Threshold Technology</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What factors create uncertainty regarding an innovation's value?

    <p>Uncertainty itself and market testing</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which action can an incumbent take when there is uncertainty over an innovation's value?

    <p>Licensing or integrating the technology</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was a notable investment mentioned in the early development of ASR technology?

    <p>Investments from IBM’s T.J. Watson Research Center</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does ASR stand for in the context of the content?

    <p>Automated Speech Recognition</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following companies was not directly involved in ASR during the early 1960s?

    <p>Microsoft</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What role did Threshold Technology play in the history of ASR?

    <p>It was the first company dedicated solely to ASR</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a key reason that small drives came to dominate the market?

    <p>They are compatible with incumbent products and processes.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What challenge do incumbent companies face when integrating new technologies?

    <p>They may represent high initial costs of integration.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does generic uncertainty refer to in the context of innovation?

    <p>The unknown future value of an innovation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why might an incumbent choose to integrate a new technology in-house?

    <p>If there is assurance of the innovation’s future value.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the implication of having an enlarged choice-set for new entrants in a market?

    <p>They can modify their commercialization strategies.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which company first claimed a speech recognition accuracy of 85%?

    <p>Interstate Electronics Corporation</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a technological driver of the choice between competition and cooperation?

    <p>High costs of integrating expensive technologies.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the significance of the term 'grammar-free recognition' in speech technology?

    <p>It allows users to speak unlimited phrases.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which company claimed the highest accuracy at 99% in the early developments of speech recognition?

    <p>Votan</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What aspect do technologies often struggle with when assessed for market integration?

    <p>Their current alignment with consumer values.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is one potential benefit for an incumbent to incur integration costs?

    <p>To potentially improve the integrated technology.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What technology did Interstate Electronics Corporation utilize for its speech recognition?

    <p>Hidden Markov model</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How did companies validate their speech recognition accuracy claims?

    <p>Through comparison against grammatically allowed word sequences.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which term refers to the ability of a speech recognition system to sometimes disregard expected word-sequence probabilities?

    <p>Acoustic evidence overriding</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In which year did multiple companies begin claiming accuracies above 90% for their speech recognition technology?

    <p>1981</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following companies did NOT claim 99% accuracy in the early speech recognition advancements?

    <p>NEC America</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Dynamic Commercialization Strategies for Disruptive Technologies

    • Study examines commercialization strategies for disruptive technologies, focusing on the speech recognition industry between 1952 and 2010.
    • Startups often employ a two-stage commercialization strategy: initial competition followed by cooperation with incumbents.
    • Disruptive technologies initially underperform on mainstream metrics but exhibit potential for improvement over time.
    • Incumbents may initially be hesitant to cooperate due to perceived low value or high costs of integration.
    • This dynamic strategy allows startups to demonstrate technology value before seeking cooperative relationships.

    Entry and Main Hypothesis

    • Entrant’s choice between competing or cooperating with incumbents is examined.
    • Factors influencing the choice include competition, access to complementary assets, frictions, and intellectual property protection.
    • Study deviates from static perspective by examining dynamic changes in commercialization strategies throughout a firm's life.

    Technology Innovation Type Impact

    • Classifications of technology impacting commercialization choices are discussed, particularly focusing on competence-destroying vs. competence-enhancing innovations.
    • Competence-destroying innovations are more likely to be developed by new entrants.
    • High costs of integrating new technologies correlates with competitive strategies.
    • Uncertainty regarding innovation’s future value can influence choices.

    Data Analysis

    • Study utilizes a hand-collected dataset of firms in the automatic speech recognition (ASR) industry from 1952–2010.
    • Data allows examination of relationships between innovation characteristics (e.g., disruptive technology) and commercialization strategies.
    • Early ASR technologies often exhibited lower performance initially but yielded improvements over time (disruptive innovation).

    Disruptive vs. Sustaining Technologies

    • Disruptive technologies initially underperform on traditional performance metrics, while sustaining technologies improve existing metrics.
    • The initial unattractive nature of disruptive technologies can lead to competition in the beginning, followed by potential cooperation.
    • Factors like uncertainty about new technology’s future value, and decreasing costs of integration will influence incumbent's decisions.

    Initial Vocabulary Size and Financial Performance

    • Disruptive technologies often have smaller initial vocabulary sizes relative to sustaining technologies.
    • The financial performance of disruptive technology firms may lag initial entrants’ but then improve.
    • Backward citation overlap analysis is used to distinguish disruptive technologies.

    Disruptive Technology Adoption and Commercialization Strategy

    • Entrants adopting disruptive technologies are less likely to cooperate with incumbents compared to those adopting sustaining technologies.
    • Firms adopting disruptive technologies demonstrate a higher likelihood of switching from competition to cooperation.
    • Analysis on a firm-level and firm-year basis shows that disruptive technology adoption influenced switching between competing and cooperating with established companies.

    Robustness Analysis

    • Research revisits earlier analyses using alternative methods while examining the robustness of findings on relationships between disruptive technologies and commercialization strategies.
    • Models control for various factors (e.g., entry year, venture capital, CEO replacement) to account for any potential confounding effects.
    • Alternative explanations, such as industry-level evolutionary trends or changes in commercialization strategies themselves, are considered.

    General Conclusions

    • Study finds strong evidence that disruptive technologies frequently follow a pattern of competitive entry initially, followed by cooperative commercialization as the innovative technologies mature.
    • Study suggests that disruptive innovations may not invariably cause a replacement of incumbent market leaders in certain technological markets where appropriability conditions favor cooperation, and integration costs reduce.
    • The study emphasizes that technological commercialization choice should be viewed as dynamic and influenced by market conditions and time rather than a one-time static decision.

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    Description

    This quiz explores dynamic commercialization strategies utilized by startups in the speech recognition industry from 1952 to 2010. It highlights the two-stage approach of initial competition followed by cooperation with incumbents, as well as the factors influencing the decision-making process. Test your knowledge on how disruptive technologies evolve and the strategies used to enhance their value in the market.

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