Circular Flow of Economic Activity
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Questions and Answers

Assuming a closed economy, which of the following scenarios would most likely lead to an increase in the equilibrium level of aggregate output?

  • An increase in consumer confidence leading to a higher marginal propensity to save, coupled with decreased investment due to pessimistic business expectations.
  • A technological advancement that significantly increases productivity across all sectors, coupled with a reduction in the money supply by the central bank. (correct)
  • A simultaneous decrease in government spending and an increase in taxes, with the marginal propensity to consume remaining constant.
  • A decrease in autonomous consumption, offset by an equal increase in government investment, assuming a balanced budget multiplier.

How does the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) primarily manage inflation targeting, considering the interplay between monetary policy, exchange rates, and economic growth?

  • By adjusting the repurchase rate (repo rate) to influence commercial banks' lending rates, thereby managing aggregate demand and inflationary expectations, while also considering exchange rate impacts. (correct)
  • By directly controlling fiscal policy through mandated government spending adjustments to counteract inflationary pressures.
  • By intervening in the foreign exchange market to directly manipulate the value of the Rand, irrespective of domestic monetary policy.
  • By solely focusing on interest rate adjustments, disregarding the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on import prices and overall inflation.

In the context of South Africa's economic landscape, what impact would a significant, sustained decrease in global commodity prices likely have on the nation's trade balance and exchange rate?

  • Improvement in the trade balance due to decreased import costs, leading to Rand appreciation.
  • No significant impact, as South Africa's economy is largely insulated from global commodity market fluctuations.
  • A shift towards a service-based economy, offsetting any negative impacts on the trade balance and stabilizing the Rand.
  • Deterioration of the trade balance due to decreased export revenues, potentially leading to Rand depreciation. (correct)

Considering the complexities of fiscal policy implementation in South Africa, which of the following factors would MOST significantly hinder the government's ability to effectively stimulate economic growth during a recession?

<p>Significant time lags in implementing infrastructure projects, coupled with a high debt-to-GDP ratio limiting borrowing capacity. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might expansionary monetary policy impact South Africa's trade balance, considering its open economy and flexible exchange rate regime?

<p>Deterioration of the trade balance as increased domestic demand spurred by lower interest rates leads to higher imports and potential currency depreciation. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the MOST likely consequence of a supply-side shock, such as a sudden increase in crude oil prices, on South Africa's economy, assuming the SARB maintains a strict inflation-targeting regime?

<p>Decreased economic growth and increased inflation, potentially leading to stagflation, as higher oil prices raise production costs and reduce consumer spending. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given South Africa's historical context and socio-economic disparities, which policy approach would MOST effectively address persistent income inequality while promoting sustainable economic growth?

<p>A combination of targeted social programs, investment in education and skills development, and policies promoting inclusive growth and entrepreneurship. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Considering the Phillips Curve relationship, what are the likely trade-offs for policymakers in South Africa when attempting to simultaneously lower unemployment and control inflation, particularly in the short run?

<p>Lowering unemployment will likely lead to higher inflation, as increased demand for labor drives up wages and prices. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the presence of a significant informal sector impact the accuracy and reliability of South Africa's GDP estimates and other macroeconomic indicators?

<p>It reduces accuracy, as economic activity in the informal sector is often unrecorded or underreported, leading to an incomplete picture of the economy. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What would MOST likely be the impact on the South African economy if the government significantly increased investment in education and skills development, particularly in STEM fields (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics)?

<p>Both B and C. (E)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what way would increased automation and technological advancement in key sectors of the South African economy MOST likely affect the nation's labor market and income distribution?

<p>A polarization of the labor market, with increased demand for highly skilled workers and potential displacement of those with routine or manual skills, potentially exacerbating income inequality. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the MOST significant challenge associated with relying heavily on commodity exports as a primary driver of economic growth in South Africa, in terms of long-term economic stability and diversification?

<p>Limited diversification of the economy, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in global commodity prices and potentially hindering the development of other sectors. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the MOST likely impact of increased global trade protectionism on South Africa's economic prospects, considering its open economy and reliance on international trade?

<p>Reduced economic growth, job losses, and decreased foreign investment, as protectionist measures limit access to international markets and disrupt global supply chains. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the PRIMARY objective of the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) in South Africa's budgetary process?

<p>To outline the government's broad economic and fiscal policy framework over a three-year period, guiding budget allocations and policy decisions. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If South Africa's government is committed to reducing its budget deficit, what policy mix would likely be MOST effective in achieving this goal while minimizing negative impacts on economic growth?

<p>A combination of targeted spending cuts in non-essential areas, increased efficiency in public service delivery, and revenue mobilization through improved tax collection and broadening the tax base, while protecting social safety nets. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Open Economy

Includes the foreign sector's economic activities: imports, exports, and the foreign exchange market.

Purchase of Capital Goods

Household deposits borrowed from banks to invest in capital goods.

Investment Expenditure

Total expenditure on capital goods.

Factor Market

Where factors of production (FOP) are exchanged for remuneration.

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Income Flow

The flow of income to owners of factors of production.

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Capital Market

When consumers and producers make long-term deposits and borrow money.

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Nominal Flow

Flow of money providing foreign currency, used to cover import costs.

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Economic Leakages

Consumer saving, taxes, and import spending.

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Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a year.

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Business Cycle

A time series showing the value of domestic output (GDP) over time.

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Inflation

A sustained increase in the general price level and a decline in the buying power of money.

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Period of Recovery

Phase where production increases, more job opportunities arise, and households receive more income.

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Trend Line

Shows the general direction of economic growth over time.

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Managed Floating Exchange Rate

Where the central bank interferes in the foreign exchange market to stabilize the exchange rate.

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Smoothing of Business Cycles

Actions taken to prevent dramatic peaks and deep troughs in the business cycle.

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Study Notes

  • Open circular flow includes the foreign sector.
  • Households use factors of production (FOP) to make joint economic decisions.
  • Firms use FOP to produce goods and services.
  • Government also participates in the circular flow.
  • Open Circular flow includes the Foreign Sector.
  • The Foreign Sector employs domestic FOP.
  • Households, firms, and government buy goods and services from the foreign sector, resulting in imports.
  • Domestic firms sell goods and services to the foreign sector, resulting in exports.
  • The Foreign Exchange Market determines exchange rates.
  • Gross Domestic Expenditure (GDE) equals consumption plus investment plus government spending plus net exports (exports minus imports).
  • Factor markets exchange factors of production for remuneration.
  • Goods markets involve the buying and selling of goods and services.
  • Financial markets facilitate short-term (money) and long-term (capital) loans.

Different Flows

  • Production flow represents the flow of goods and services produced in the economy.
  • GDP (Production) is categorized into primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors.
  • Income flow represents the flow of income to owners of FOP for their use.
  • GDP (Income) includes compensation of employees, net operating surplus, and consumption of fixed capital.
  • Expenditure flow represents the flow of spending on goods and services by different participants.
  • GDP (Expenditure) equals consumption plus government spending plus investment plus net exports.
  • Real flow involves the flow of physical items like goods, services, and factors of production.
  • Money flow is the nominal flow.

Participants

  • Households refer to individuals living in one house making financial decisions.
  • Owners of FOP sell them in the factor market.
  • FOP receive remuneration when sold.
  • Firms buy FOP to produce goods and services.
  • Spending by households is consumption expenditure.
  • Households pay tax (PAYE/VAT).

The Foreign Sector

  • Imports are goods and services bought from other countries.
  • X: Sell goods and services to other countries.
  • Exports provide foreign currency to the country, which is used to cover import costs.

Firms

  • Firms are responsible for producing goods and services bought by participants.
  • Firms receive income in exchange for goods and services used to increase production.
  • Deposits of households are borrowed from banks to invest in capital goods.
  • Firms purchase capital goods, leading to investment expenditure.

The State (Government)

  • Provides public goods and services.
  • Buys FOP to use in providing public goods and services.
  • Fiscal Policy.
  • The state pays subsidies to reduce the cost of production.
  • Makes transfer payments (disability or old-age grants).
  • Individuals and households pay taxes to the government.
  • Direct tax is levied on specific individuals (income tax).
  • Indirect tax is levied on specific goods and services (VAT or fuel levies).
  • Government expenditure is used to improve infrastructure.

Financial Sector

  • Money market is used for short-term savings and loans.
  • Securities exchanged include bankers' acceptances and treasury bills.
  • Capital markets facilitate long-term deposits and borrowing.

Foreign Exchange Market

  • Exists when a person buys foreign currency to travel abroad.
  • The South African Rand is exchanged or traded freely in the market.
  • Economic injections occur when money enters the economic cycle.

Economic Injections

  • Increase the quantity of money in circulation.
  • Government spending, investment, and export expenditure are examples of economic injections.
  • Economic leakages decrease saving income, resulting in : savings, taxes, and import expenditure.

Definition

  • Any contact or communication between actual or potential buyers of goods and services.
    1. Product/Output Market.
  • Goods and Services are exchanged for a price.
  • Goods are tangible, while services are intangible.

Types of Goods

  • Consumer goods and capital goods exist.
  • Durable goods can be used over and over again.
  • Semi-durable goods can be used more than once.
  • Non-durable goods cannot be reused.
    1. Factor Market/Input Market.
  • Factors of Production are purchased and sold.
  • Resource market
  • Divided into:
  • labor money and financial market
  • Land market
    1. Money + Capital Market
  • Transactions occur in banks and consist of electronic money transfer from one account to another.

National Account Aggregates

  • Information obtained by Stats SA, is published by SARB.
    1. Production
  • Total market value of all final goods and services production in a country within a year.
  • Primary sector plus secondary sector plus the tertiary sector.
  • Basic prices plus tax minus subsidies equals GDP at Market Price.
  • Income
  • Total incomes remuneration earned by residents of a country in the production process of goods and services.

Calculation

  • Compensation of employees plus net operating surplus plus consumption on fixed capital equals GVA at factor cost plus tax minus subsidies equals GVA at market price
  • Expenditure
  • Includes residual items.
  • Total expenditure on final goods and services produced in the domestic economy.

Calculation

  • Conversion Formula 1.
  • GDP equals Gross National Product (GNP).
  • The equation is GDP + Primary income to the world – Primary income from the world = GNP.

Expenditure

  • C+G+I+ (X-M)
  • GVA @ factor cost + tax on production - subsidies on production = GVA @ basic price.
  • Also, tax on product - subsidies on product = GDP @ market price.
  • Plus Primary income to the world - Primary income from the world = GNP.
  • A business cycle is a time series showing domestic output GDP over time.
  • Can be repeated every three to five years or longer.

Definition

  • Economic indicators. GDP shows an upward trend, meaning that most countries produce more goods and services. Sustained increase in the general price level. Economic indicator illustrating the economy's overall direction.

Recession

  • Low demand for credit and low interest rates exist.
  • Firms invest and produce less due to decreased business confidence.

Depression

  • Numerous firms cease operations.
  • a high degree of pessimism exists before the economy reaches a trough
  • Shortage of money supply.

Recovery

  • economic activity starts to increase
  • Production increases with more job opportunities that help more income and buying more.

Prosperity

  • Characterized by high levels of optimism.
  • Leads to inflation and is at its height

Length

  • The number of years it takes to move from one peak to the next

Amplitude

  • The intensity of underlying forces and the size of any change

National Figures Info

  • National figures is determining or measuring economic growth by use in a country. Examples a) Tax on product, business Licenses Trend Line
  • Displays time vs. GDP Monetary Policy & Instruments Decreasing rate increase money supply Instrument 2. SARB increase cash reserve requirements of banks. Selling Securities to Banks.
  1. Moral Persuasion Governor tries commercial banks to lend. Managed Floating is controlled by the CB.

Fiscal Policies

  1. Demand becomes to low.
  • Demand: Increase unemployment
  • Raise:Raise Gov Spending, Decrease Taxes
  1. Demand becomes to high
  • Increase:inflation could Increase
  • Reduce gov increase taxes. Expansionary fiscal policy is stimulate ecconomy through levels. Restrictive Is to decrease econo.
  • Redcuing,increasing

Smoothing of Business Cycles

  • Paradigm is possibly high rates extended , Without inflation.
  • cycle are that taken to prevent from

Demand Side Policies

  • fiscal,monetary
  • An an changes agg demand will on employment. Increase with pressure of supply and Inflation The rate would again
  • A.w Philips curve NRU not Increase in inflation)

Suppy Side Policys

Efficiency and efficient use of Factors Reducing Cost- service and energy are Cost

  • Administing
  • Subsidies

Efficiency of inputs

Measures low income/ high corporate discourge

  • Free business activity
  • Features Underpinning
  • Proccess to forecast
  • Give us Warning

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Description

Explore the open circular flow model including the foreign sector. Learn how households, firms, and the government interact within factor, goods, and financial markets. Understand the components of Gross Domestic Expenditure (GDE) and the role of the Foreign Exchange Market.

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