Balance of Payments (BOP)

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to Lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson

Questions and Answers

Given a scenario where a country's central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market to maintain a fixed exchange rate, what offsetting transaction must occur in the official reserves account to balance the balance of payments?

  • A decrease in domestic currency holdings matched by an equivalent increase in foreign currency assets, indicating sterilized intervention.
  • An increase in foreign currency reserves to offset a current account deficit, signaling a contractionary monetary policy.
  • A purchase or sale of domestic currency, impacting the monetary base, directly offsetting any imbalances in the current and financial accounts. (correct)
  • An offsetting entry that reflects the valuation changes in the central bank's existing portfolio of reserve assets, irrespective of transaction flows.

In a floating exchange rate regime, if a country experiences a significant current account deficit, how is the equilibrium in the balance of payments typically restored, assuming no central bank intervention?

  • Through a depreciation of the domestic currency, making exports more competitive and imports more expensive, thereby correcting the imbalance. (correct)
  • Through automatic adjustments in fiscal policy, leading to increased government savings and reduced aggregate demand.
  • Via an increase in foreign direct investment, financing the deficit and ensuring external balance at the prevailing exchange rate.
  • By an appreciation of the domestic currency, increasing the relative price of exports and reducing the price of imports.

Under what condition might a country intentionally devalue its currency to improve its trade balance, and what potential challenges could this strategy encounter?

  • If foreign exchange reserves are critically low, devaluation restores external balance with minimal impact on domestic purchasing power or international debt obligations.
  • During periods of high global demand, this strategy ensures increased export volumes and stable terms of trade, facing challenges only from protectionist measures.
  • Following a surge in domestic productivity, promoting export-led growth while avoiding significant impacts on import prices or domestic wages.
  • When domestic inflation is lower than its trading partners, to enhance export competitiveness, though it risks importing inflation and retaliatory devaluations. (correct)

Consider a scenario where a multinational corporation repatriates profits earned in a foreign subsidiary back to its home country. How is this transaction recorded in both the host and home countries' balance of payments accounts?

<p>In the the host country as a debit in the financial account reflecting decreased foreign liabilities, and in the home country as a credit in the current account representing investment income. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Suppose a country experiences a surge in capital inflows due to increased attractiveness for foreign investment. What are the potential short-term and long-term implications for its exchange rate and current account balance, assuming the central bank does not intervene?

<p>An immediate appreciation, deteriorating the current account balance, which may lead to long-term currency depreciation and eventual trade balance correction. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the balance of payments identity (BCA + BKA + BFA + BRA = 0), if a country runs a current account surplus and a capital account deficit, what implications does this have for the financial and reserves accounts, and how might this influence the country's role in the global economy?

<p>The financial account will be in deficit and the reserve account will be in surplus, suggesting the country is a net lender, accumulating foreign exchange reserves and potentially contributing to global imbalances. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the J-curve effect complicate the immediate impact of currency devaluation on a country's trade balance, and what factors determine the duration and magnitude of the initial deterioration?

<p>The initial trade balance worsens due to the delayed response of export volumes and inflexible import contracts, with duration dependent on contractual terms and the price elasticity of demand. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a world of increasing global financial integration, how do statistical discrepancies in the balance of payments accounts reflect underlying asymmetries in cross-border transaction reporting, and what implications do these discrepancies have for macroeconomic policy coordination?

<p>They signal significant unrecorded capital flight, exacerbated by regulatory arbitrage and tax evasion, challenging the effectiveness of international policy coordination and national economic sovereignty. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do changes in a country's net foreign asset position—driven by persistent current account imbalances—affect its vulnerability to external shocks and its long-term economic sovereignty?

<p>Large net foreign liabilities increase vulnerability to sudden stops in capital inflows, potentially triggering currency crises and requiring fiscal austerity, thus undermining economic sovereignty. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Considering the complexities of global supply chains, how does the conventional accounting of gross trade flows in the balance of payments distort the measurement of actual value added and competitiveness in international trade?

<p>Gross values inflate trade imbalances by double-counting intermediate goods, obscuring the true sources of value creation and affecting the design of effective trade policies. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the complexities of international financial transactions, how would you classify a transaction where a U.S. hedge fund purchases bonds issued by a European corporation in euros, using a London-based brokerage account?

<p>Portfolio investment in the U.S. financial account. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assuming a Canadian resident purchases a newly issued bond from a U.S. corporation and pays for it with funds held in a Canadian bank account, how is this recorded in the respective balance of payments accounts?

<p>Canada: Debit in the financial account; U.S.: Credit in the financial account. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the sale of Apple iPhones produced in China but sold in Europe affect the US, China, and Eurozone balance of payments accounts, considering the value chain?

<p>Increases US investment income, increases Chinese exports, and increases Eurozone imports. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What theoretical implications arise if official statistics consistently underestimate the magnitude of global capital flight due to sophisticated tax evasion schemes?

<p>Underestimated illicit outflows lead to overestimated domestic investment returns, impairing the formulation of effective monetary policies. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If Country A's Central Bank sells foreign currency reserves and purchases its domestic currency to prevent depreciation, which accounts are affected in the Balance of Payments, and what are the broader macroeconomic effects?

<p>Decrease in the official reserve account, with a contraction of the domestic money supply. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Taking into account exchange rate pass-through, how does a 20% currency devaluation affect the import prices and export volumes for an economy with 60% pass-through?

<p>Import prices increase by 12%, export volumes increase significantly. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What financial instrument would a risk-averse sovereign wealth fund employ to hedge against potential losses from currency fluctuations when investing in a foreign government bond market?

<p>Vanilla currency swap, exchanging principal and interest payments in different currencies. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can persistent undervaluation of a currency by a country impact global economic stability, according to international trade and finance theories?

<p>It triggers competitive devaluations and distorts global trade patterns leading to suboptimal resource distribution. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How would a sudden increase in remittances sent by migrant workers back to their home country affect both the sending and recipient countries' current account balances, with everything else held equal?

<p>Sending country's deteriorates, recipient country's improves. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given limited policy options, how should a small, open economy respond to a sudden stop in capital inflows and a simultaneous terms of trade shock?

<p>Allow the currency to float, tighten monetary policy, and pursue fiscal consolidation. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a world where capital flows are highly sensitive to interest rate differentials, under what conditions can sterilized intervention by a central bank effectively influence exchange rates without altering domestic monetary conditions?

<p>When there are imperfect substitutes between domestic and foreign assets due to risk premiums and market segmentation. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If Country A exports goods to Country B but invoices the transaction in Country C's currency, how does this affect the balance of payments for each country, especially if Country C is running a current account surplus?

<p>Country C's trade dynamics might seem unaffected statistically, yet its currency usage for trade might imply greater influence, affecting its currency valuation globally. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the transfer pricing strategy of multinational firms affect the measurement and interpretation of current account balances, particularly between countries with differing tax regimes?

<p>Distorts trade balances, leading to misallocation of resources and ineffective trade policy. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What impact does increased automation in export sectors in developed economies have on the global distribution of current account balances, considering the implications for emerging markets?

<p>Exacerbates trade imbalances, intensifying pressures on emerging markets to devalue their currencies. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the increased prevalence of digital services and e-commerce affect the composition and measurement of current account transactions, and what new challenges does this pose for statistical agencies?

<p>Valuation and jurisdiction challenges in digital services complicate accurate current accounts, requiring refined statistical methods. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the potential long-term economic consequences if a government consistently prioritizes current account surpluses through export-oriented policies and accumulation of foreign exchange reserves?

<p>Results in undervalued currency, potential inflationary pressures and suboptimal domestic investment. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the growing importance of global value chains (GVCs), how should traditional balance of payments analysis be adjusted to better reflect the true sources of value creation and international competitiveness?

<p>Integrating value-added trade data to disaggregate gross flows into their component parts, identifying the actual contributions of various countries within GVCs. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might geopolitical risks, such as trade wars or sanctions, impact the reliability and interpretation of balance of payments data, particularly concerning capital flows and reserve accumulation?

<p>Heightened uncertainty encourages portfolio shifts towards safer economies, skewing capital flow data and necessitating careful decomposition of BoP statistics to discern underlying economic trends. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of 'dark money' flows, how do opaque legal structures (e.g., shell corporations) affect the accuracy of the balance of payments statistics, and what measures could enhance transparency?

<p>Opaque structures obscure both current and financial account transactions, necessitating international collaboration and enhanced scrutiny of beneficial ownership to increase transparency. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does valuation of imports fob (free on board) at $200,000 and California Inc sells exports fob for $265,000 on transaction affect Private unrequited transfers at +-5000, and Net errors and omissions at +-0 without other details?

<p>Current Account Balance +182000 without affecting Net errors. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the rise of digital currencies, like Bitcoin, how should transactions be recorded on Balance of Payments?

<p>Classified within financial, current, or capital depending on activity. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assuming U.S imposes tariffs on Chinese imports with no impact, how are short-term and long-term impacted?

<p>Short term reduced Trade deficit; long term altered Trade Relation without reduced deficit. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Considering a country with fixed exchange rates, what is the effect of a fiscal stimulus on the country's trade balance and reserves?

<p>Trade deficit increase and Reserves fall due to imports increase over exports. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a nation exports more than it imports, what happens to Foreign wealth and Forex.

<p>Foreign wealth increases Forex. increases significantly. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Considering a Chinese currency devaluation with other factors equal, what does that mean for Exports, Investment, Inflation and domestic debt?

<p>Exports increases, Investment Decreases, Inflation Increases and domestic debt increases (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An increase in FX reserves is a consequence of

<p>Current increase or Financial and Capital increase. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which account includes transactions undertaken by the central bank to finance the balance and intervene in the foreign exchange market?

<p>The official reserves accounts. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does secondary income involve?

<p>Unrequited payments called current transfers. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for balance of payments identity?

<p>BCA + BKA + BFA + BRA = 0 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under a theoretical construct where a nation's current account consistently exhibits a surplus, and its central bank sterilizes the associated foreign exchange interventions, what countervailing effect is most likely to be observed in the long-term equilibrium of its financial markets?

<p>An artificial depression of the risk-adjusted required rate of return on domestic sovereign debt, fostering unsustainable asset bubbles. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an intricate model of international trade where a significant portion of global commerce is invoiced in a 'vehicle currency' controlled by a single nation, how would a sudden, unilateral monetary policy tightening by that nation impact trade imbalances across the rest of the world?

<p>It would exacerbate global trade imbalances by incentivizing speculative capital flows into the vehicle currency, further distorting relative prices. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assuming a scenario in which Country X, characterized by a history of stringent capital controls and a fixed exchange rate, initiates a gradual liberalization of its capital account, what concurrent adjustment in its balance of payments structure is theoretically necessary to prevent destabilizing speculative attacks on its currency peg?

<p>A parallel deepening of domestic financial markets to absorb increased capital flow volatility. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a technologically advanced nation begins to dominate global markets for digital services while simultaneously experiencing a decline in traditional manufacturing exports, how would this structural shift likely influence the long-term dynamics of its current account balance, considering the inherent challenges in accurately measuring digital trade flows?

<p>The current account balance could become increasingly volatile and subject to larger statistical discrepancies due to measurement challenges. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an integrated global financial system, if Country A’s central bank undertakes a policy of quantitative easing (QE) while simultaneously intervening in the foreign exchange market to prevent currency appreciation, what latent risk is most likely to emerge concerning the composition and stability of its balance of payments?

<p>A sudden reversal of capital flows when QE ends, leading to a balance of payments crisis and disorderly currency depreciation. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Suppose a nation with a longstanding tradition of valuing independence chooses to systematically undervalue its currency to foster export growth. Taking into account retaliatory measures of other nations and resource allocation, what represents the most valid criticism of its long-term macroeconomic strategy?

<p>It engenders misallocation of domestic capital towards export-oriented sectors and suboptimal portfolio allocation of global capital. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Consider an avant-garde economy where a significant portion of international transactions are conducted via decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) utilizing stablecoins. What novel challenges arise in accurately capturing these activities within conventional balance of payments accounting frameworks?

<p>The absence of traditional banking intermediaries obscures the tracking of cross-border financial flows, leading to significant underestimation of capital account transactions. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given a scenario where a country predominantly finances its persistent current account deficits through short-term portfolio inflows, and its sovereign wealth fund simultaneously engages in large-scale foreign direct investment, what specific vulnerability is most heightened concerning its external economic stability?

<p>A liquidity mismatch where short-term liabilities cannot be met due to the illiquidity of long-term assets, triggering a balance of payments crisis. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a neoclassical growth framework, if Country A consistently maintains a substantial current account surplus while simultaneously demonstrating stagnant real wage growth and increasing income inequality, which theoretical interpretation offers the most compelling explanation for this seemingly paradoxical outcome?

<p>The surplus reflects repressed domestic demand combined with technological advancements that primarily benefit capital owners, exacerbating inequality. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a nation introduces a novel tax regime that incentivizes multinational corporations to strategically shift profits generated domestically to offshore tax havens, how would this tax-induced capital flight most likely distort the conventional interpretation of its balance of payments statistics?

<p>It would deflate the reported current account surplus, as real economic activity is understated due to the artificial reduction of domestic profits. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the BLS reported exports FOB (free on board) at $200,000 and California Inc sells exports FOB for $265,000 on transaction affect Private unrequited transfers at +-5000, and Net errors and omissions at +-0 without other details is

<p>Trade Balance (Exports-Imports) +65,000 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the emergence of a multi-polar reserve currency system influence the traditional interpretation of balance of payments imbalances, particularly for nations that previously relied on a single dominant reserve currency?

<p>It creates a need to allocate reserves across multiple currencies. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a world of pervasive algorithmic trading and high-frequency capital flows, what novel theoretical challenges arise in defining and measuring 'autonomous' capital flows within the balance of payments framework?

<p>Distinction between speculative and hedging deteriorates. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assuming Country A adopts a 'digital nomad' visa program, incentivizing remote workers to reside and spend locally while earning income from foreign sources, what adjustments to traditional balance of payments accounting are necessary to accurately capture the economic impact of this demographic shift?

<p>Include consumption as imports and income to current. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can the transfer pricing strategy of multinational firms manipulate the measurement and interpretation of current account balances, focusing on domestic effects?

<p>Both overstates and understates. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a nation's financial account consistently exhibits a substantial surplus, but the real exchange rate remains persistently overvalued relative to purchasing power parity (PPP), what latent macroeconomic vulnerability is most exacerbated?

<p>It heightens exposure to sudden stops. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an environment of increasing geopolitical tensions, how might heightened uncertainty regarding the enforcement of international contracts distort the reliability and interpretation of capital flow data within the balance of payments framework?

<p>Distortion of FDI and FDI reversal. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Consider that a nation has a current account deficit. What policy most effectively balances everything else?

<p>Improve productivity. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If Country A mandates transactions be performed through Country C to benefit from its lower taxes. Does it

<p>Distorts accounts for A,B, and C. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under what circumstances can a country effectively use sterilized intervention to influence its exchange rate without altering domestic monetary conditions, and what are the limitations?

<p>Capital controls. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Accounting accurately for imports and exports of digital services presents challenges. What adjustment should be made to make up the difference?

<p>Statistical discrepancies increase. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a theoretical model where all countries simultaneously pursue export-oriented policies, what paradoxical outcome is most likely to emerge regarding global trade balances and overall economic welfare?

<p>Trade wars. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

With increasing automation affecting the global distribution of current account balances, what affect does that have on developed versus emerging markets???

<p>Emerging markets face reduction. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary challenge in applying balance of payments accounting to Bitcoin transactions?

<p>The challenge is tracing transactions (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A country is exporting resources and generating a current account surplus. How do they balance with high domestic spending?

<p>A nation may export resources and create a current account surplus that is balanced by domestic spending. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Balance of Payments

A summary statement of all economic transactions between residents of a nation and residents of the outside world over a period of time.

Importance of Balance of Payments

Indicates demand and supply of a country's currency, signals a country's potential as a business partner and evaluates a country's performance in international economic competition.

Credit Transaction (BOP)

Results in a receipt from foreigners, recorded with a positive sign in the balance of payments.

Debit Transaction (BOP)

Gives rise to a payment to foreigners, recorded with a negative sign on the balance of payments.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Current Account (CA)

Real transactions involving import/export of goods and services plus transfer payments.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Financial Account (FA)

Financial transactions involving purchase and sale of foreign assets or liabilities.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Reserves Account (RA)

Foreign assets held by the country's central bank.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Capital Account (KA)

Capital transfers and the cross-border acquisition and disposal of nonproduced, nonfinancial assets.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Goods Trade

Exports and imports of tangible items like oil, wheat, and automobiles.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Services (Current Account)

Payments and receipts for legal, consulting, financial, engineering, and other services.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Primary Income

Payments and receipts of interest, dividends, and other income on foreign investments.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Secondary Income

Unrequited payments called current transfers, like foreign aid or remittances.

Signup and view all the flashcards

J-Curve Effect

Initial deterioration followed by eventual improvement of trade balance after currency depreciation.

Signup and view all the flashcards

The Financial Account

Measures the difference between a country's sales of assets to foreigners and its purchases of foreign assets.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Occurs when an investor acquires control of a foreign business.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Portfolio Investment

Sales and purchases of foreign financial assets (stocks & bonds) without transferring control.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Other Investment

Transactions in currency, bank deposits, trade credits, etc.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Overall Balance

The cumulative balance of payments including all accounts and statistical discrepancies.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Official Reserves Account

Includes transactions by the central bank to finance the overall balance and intervene in the foreign exchange market.

Signup and view all the flashcards

International Reserve Assets

Gold, foreign exchange, special drawing rights (SDRs), and reserve positions in the IMF.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Balance of Payments Identity (BOPI)

BCA + BKA + BFA + BRA = 0

Signup and view all the flashcards

Real Transactions

Exports/Imports of goods & services and transfers fall into the current account.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Financial Transactions

Transactions purchasing/selling of foreign assets/liabilities.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Inflow and Credit

Cash inflows or the source of currency are recorded as credit.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Outflow and Debit

Cash outflows or the use of currency are recorded as debit.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Current Account (and Net Income)

Reflects a nation's net income; a surplus means money is flowing into the country.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Financial and Capital Account

Reflects net change in international investment inflows and outflows.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Debit

Increase in a country's reserve assets.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Credit.

Decrease in a country's reserve assets.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Global Imbalance

A situation in which overall, some countries use up more outputs than they produce.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Study Notes

Balance of Payments Overview

  • Balance of Payments (BOP) accounting is covered
  • Various BOP accounts like Current, Capital, and Financial are explored
  • Statistical Discrepancy and Official Reserves Account are examined
  • The Balance of Payments Identity is explained
  • Discussion includes BOP accounting, net foreign wealth, and trends in major countries

Balance of Payments

  • BOP is a summary of all economic transactions between a nation's residents and the rest of the world over a period
  • Serves as a statistical record of international transactions using double-entry bookkeeping

Importance of Balance of Payments Study

  • Provides insights into the demand and supply dynamics of a country's currency
  • Indicates a country's potential as a global business partner
  • Aids in evaluating a country's performance in international economic competition
  • Encompasses import/export of goods/services and cross-border investments like businesses and real estate

Recording Transactions

  • Receipts from foreigners get recorded as credits with a positive sign
    • Increases demand for domestic currency and the supply of foreign exchange
  • Payments to foreigners are recorded as debits with a negative sign
    • Increases supply of domestic currency and the demand for foreign exchange

Balance of Payments Components

  • Current Account (CA) includes real transactions like import/export of goods/services
    • Services include non-financial (rent, freight, insurance) and financial aspects (dividends, interest)
  • Capital Account (KA) and Financial Account (FA) encompass financial transactions
    • Involves the purchase and sale of foreign assets or liabilities
  • Reserves Account (RA) holds foreign assets by the country's central bank

Grouping Transactions

  • Transactions are grouped as current, capital, financial, and official reserve accounts
  • Current account covers export and import of goods and services
  • Capital account includes capital transfers plus cross-border acquisition/disposal of non-produced things
  • Financial account(excluding official reserves) involves financial assets' sale or purchase
  • Official reserve account handles international reserve assets' sale or purchase

US Balance of Payments in 2020 (in billions of dollars)

  • Exports: $2,134.4 (Goods: $1,428.8; Services: $705.6)
  • Imports: -$2,811.1 (Goods: -$2,350.8; Services: -$460.3)
  • Primary Income: $957.9 (Debit: -$769.4)
  • Secondary Income: $166.3 (Debit: -$294.2)
  • Current Account Balance is -$616.1
  • Capital Account: $0.4 (Debit: -$5.9); Balance is -$5.5
  • Direct Investment: Credits ($211.3) and Debits (-$311.7)
  • Portfolio Investment: Credits $715.9, Debits -$220.0
    • Equity securities: Credits $648.4, Debits -$241.8
    • Debt Securities: Credits $61.7, Debits $21.8
    • Derivatives, net: $5.8
  • Other Investment: Credits $535.1, Debits -$268.6
  • Balance on financial account: $662.0
  • Statistical discrepancies: $-31.4
  • Overall balance: $9.0
  • Official Reserve Account: $-9.0
  • Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Four Finer Points of the Current Account

  • Goods trade includes exports and imports of tangible items like oil and vehicles
  • Services involve legal, consulting, financial, and engineering payments
    • Royalties for intellectual properties, shipping fees, and tourist expenditures
  • Primary income consists of payments and receipts of interest/dividends
    • Other investment income from foreign investments
  • Secondary income is unrequited payments like foreign aid, remittances, or current transfers

More about Current Account

  • Current account balance and trade balance sensitivity to exchange rate changes
  • Currency depreciation increases exports while decreasing imports
  • Currency depreciation impacts trade balance depending on responsiveness of imports and exports
  • J-curve effect is the initial deterioration and eventual improvement of trade balance after depreciation of a country's currency

Capital Account Details

  • Includes capital transfers and acquisitions/disposals of non-financial assets between domestic residents and foreigners
  • Examples: land rights, airspace, brand names, contracts, leases, and licenses
  • Unlike current transfers, capital transfers have change asset ownership
  • Capital account amount is often negligible

Understanding The Financial Account

  • Measures difference between a country's asset sales to foreigners and its purchases of foreign assets
  • Affects future payments and receipts of primary income
  • Sales of assets yield capital inflow/credits but create future liabilities
  • Purchases of assets cause capital outflow/debits, and will result in future payments

Three Categories of Financial Account

  • Foreign direct investment occurs with investor's control of a foreign business
  • Portfolio investment is sales/purchases of foreign financial assets without control
  • Other investment incorporates forex transactions, bank deposits, and trade credits

Reason for Statistical Discrepancy

  • Payments and receipts from international transactions get recorded with different methods
  • Time/place can cause recording imperfections
  • Financial transactions have a big role in the discrepancy
  • Overall cumulative balance is combination of current, capital, and financial accounts

Official Reserves Account Defined

  • Includes central bank transactions to maintain the overall balance
  • Central bank can also intervene in foreign exchange markets
  • International reserve assets include gold, foreign exchange, special drawing rights, and reserve positions in the IMF
  • Foreign exchange accounts make up about 96% of total reserves of IMF member countries

Balance of Payments in terms of Identity (BOPI)

  • The formula is BCA + BKA + BFA + BRA = 0
    • BCA is the current account balance
    • BKA is the capital account balance
    • BFA is financial account balance
    • BRA is the reserves account balance
  • Fixed Exchange Rate, countries use reserves when there is disequilibrium
  • Flexible exchange rates balance overall and central banks don't need reserves

Splitting Transactions

  • Real transactions (exports/imports of goods/services and transfers) are put in Current Account
  • Financial transactions (foreign assets/liabilities purchasing/selling) are put in Capital/Financial Account

Double-Entry Bookkeeping

  • Each international transaction automatically enters balance of payments twice
    • Once as credit (+), once as debit (-)
  • Double entry bookkeeping uses T- accounts
  • Current Account + Financial and Capital Account = 0
  • Reserve Account and Discrepancies are not included

Transaction Recording Methodology for BOP

  • Cash inflows/source of funds is credit
  • Cash outflows/use of funds is debit
  • Credit uses the T-account’s right-hand side
  • Debit uses the T-account’s left-hand side

Recording a Transaction - 3 Questions

  • Which account is it?: Current Account (CA), Financial Account (FA) and Capital Account (KA) or transaction?
  • Is it a use of funds and an outflow? - Yes (Debit)
  • it a source of funds or an inflow? - Yes (Credit)
  • Note: The following examples are from the perspective of the USA

Buying Maple Syrup (Example 1)

  • A US citizen buys $100 of maple syrup from a Canadian
  • The syrup producer puts the $100 in bank in New York
  • The US is trading financial assets for real goods
  • There are 2 entries in the US balance of payments
  • Enters US current account with negative $100 (imports of goods on debit side)
  • Enters US financial accounts as $100 credit, short term capital

Paying for Dinner (Example 2)

  • A US citizen pays $200 for dinner in a Mexican
  • They pay by means of credit card. $US go into the restaurants bank
  • The US is trading assets for services
  • There are 2 entries into the balance of payments: -Negative $200 in US, current account, on the side of debit -A $200 credit for the short term capital on the side of financial account, in US

Buying Shares (Example 3)

  • A US citizen buys $50 for stock using check from his money account
  • The company puts $50 in account Wells Fargo in Charlotte
  • The US is trading assets for assets
  • There are 2 entries in the balance of payments entries:
  • A negative $50 is put on the financial account (portfolio investments)
  • A $50 is put as credit on financial account (short term capital)

Reserves Account impact to Analysis

  • A reserve increase comes from exporting more
  • A reserve increase comes from making the country more attractive to capital (financial and capital account)

Reserves continued

  • Reserves changes has the greatest impact
  • Reserves equals CA, or a Financial and Capital account
  • If a balance of payments transaction leads associated reserve change, it will impact the (BRA) balance
  • BCA + BFA + BKA +BRA=0

Example 1 with Canadian Dollars

  • A US person imports $100 in maple syrup: CA: -$100
  • The Canadian gets $100 deposits into a US bank -US KA: +$100
  • In the above example, the forex of USA is not impacted
  • The Canadian asks to exchange the $100 USD for Canadian dollars
  • The Fed will exchange CAD100 for $100 (at exchange 1:1)
  • Foreign exchange reserves are decreased by $100 CAD, but is replaced by $100 USD
  • -A short-term capital of nonresidents decline
  • KA = -100 and CA + KA =- reserve changes
  • changes in reserves =+100

Dollar Notes Explained

  • Dollar notes are a claim on a US central bank for real goods from the US
  • Note is a short-term investment that can be exchanged

Warning about Examples

  • Increase in a country’s reserve assets is a debit More US dollar in circulation for reserves Outflow of US dollars from country

  • Decrease in in a country’s reserve assets is a credit Less US dollar in circulation for reserves Inflow of US dollars into country

Extra Examples

  • Includes a series of Examples

California Wine Example

  • California Inc sells USD 250,000 of wine
  • Sale to a Japanese retailer is done by means of 60 days of credit
  • Cost of shipping to Los Angeles = USD 15,000
  • Total cost f.o.b. = USD 265,000

Galeries Lafayette Example

  • Galeries Laffitte buys for $200000 of textiles from Korea
  • Textiles are billed in dollars
  • The US based store pays for the merchandise with a check drawn on Citicorp’s NYC branch

French Resident Example

  • Frenth citizen buys $7000 round trip US ticket with
  • They are paying with US Dollars
  • They spend $100 for headphones
  • Also cost of their hotels, food and transportation = is 14,900
  • Total $22,000

Nigerian Dividends

  • Wholly owned subsidiary with US based office has $100,000 in profits
  • The compnay declares $50,000 in dividends
  • Phili then buys Nigerian long-term bonds

Algerian National Bank Transfer

  • A US resident from Algeria is transferring $5k to Algerian National Bank via Citicorp

National Westminster

  • National Westminster of London to buys £62,500 ( Sterling) from Fed for $100,000

Citicorp sells Swiss francs to the fed

  • NYC, Citicorp sells 75k Swiss francs from US$50,000.00 at the Fed

Current Account and Nation’s Net Income

  • Current account shows the net income of a country
  • A country with surplus has inflows

Capital Account and Nation’s Net Income

  • Financial and Capital account reflects international investment inflow and outflow
  • Financial and Capital account with surplus, money flows into country

Foreign Exchange Reserves

  • When exports a country is more than its imports, its income is bigger

  • Net wealth will increase in the nation

  • Foreign currency/assets will increase

  • If a country exports less than it imports, money from exports will decrease to the point its below imports

  • Net wealth is decrease

  • Foreign currency will be sold for domestic assets

Competitiveness and Imbalance in the US

  • A trade deficit/ surplus might create problem of competitiveness
  • egs, US manufactuers say that the Chinese currency undervalues Chinese currency
  • Lack of competitiveness is due undervalued Chinese currency

Imbalance DOMESTIC Example

  • Account trade has a DOMESTIC imbalance (Deficit or Trade surplus)
  • Expenditure larger compared to product
  • Savings smaller compared to investment Many econominsts say that was the source of the 2009 Financial crisis
  • The US economy will be have a continual deficit
  • The sole exception was 1991
  • US’s deficit account will get smaller than anyone from 82’ to 2020
  • UK has minor deficits with surpluses
  • Traditionally, Germany has big surpluses
  • Japan’s surplus is unbreaking

Globalization Imbalance

  • Overall, outputs increase than compared Japan and Germany
  • The opposide happens at The US, and the UK

Exports and Import Trading Partners of the US

  • Top trading partners for the USA are China, Mexico and Canada
  • “International Financial Management”, by Authors Cheol Eun, Bruce Resnick and Tuugi Chuluun, 10th Edition, (2024)
  • Economics for Investment Decision Makers", by Piros and Pinto.
  • Review Chapter 8, section 4

Studying That Suits You

Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

Quiz Team

Related Documents

More Like This

Use Quizgecko on...
Browser
Browser