Podcast
Questions and Answers
What are architects vulnerable to in the economy?
What are architects vulnerable to in the economy?
Economic cycles
When did the national economic expansion peak before the downturn in 2008?
When did the national economic expansion peak before the downturn in 2008?
End of 2007
What percentage decline in gross revenue at architecture firms was observed from 2008 to 2011?
What percentage decline in gross revenue at architecture firms was observed from 2008 to 2011?
How many payroll positions disappeared from the economy between early 2008 and early 2010?
How many payroll positions disappeared from the economy between early 2008 and early 2010?
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The construction sector saw payrolls decline by over ______ million between 2007 and 2011.
The construction sector saw payrolls decline by over ______ million between 2007 and 2011.
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Which type of project saw the largest average share of billings at architecture firms over the past decade?
Which type of project saw the largest average share of billings at architecture firms over the past decade?
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What was the average percentage of billings for residential projects at architecture firms over the past decade?
What was the average percentage of billings for residential projects at architecture firms over the past decade?
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Construction activity began recovering nationally by the end of 2011.
Construction activity began recovering nationally by the end of 2011.
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What sector of the economy do architects serve?
What sector of the economy do architects serve?
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What was the decline in gross revenue at architecture firms from 2008 to 2011?
What was the decline in gross revenue at architecture firms from 2008 to 2011?
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The construction industry saw stronger growth than the housing market during the peak of the cycle in early 2006.
The construction industry saw stronger growth than the housing market during the peak of the cycle in early 2006.
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What was the approximate total construction spending level in 2008?
What was the approximate total construction spending level in 2008?
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By 2011, the share of positions at architecture firms that disappeared between 2007 and 2011 was more than ____ percent.
By 2011, the share of positions at architecture firms that disappeared between 2007 and 2011 was more than ____ percent.
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In which order do residential, commercial/industrial, and institutional projects typically increase?
In which order do residential, commercial/industrial, and institutional projects typically increase?
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Between 2003 and 2007, the construction payrolls increased while they declined dramatically between 2007 and 2011.
Between 2003 and 2007, the construction payrolls increased while they declined dramatically between 2007 and 2011.
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Study Notes
Economic Cycles in Architecture
- Architecture operates in a highly cyclical sector of the economy, significantly influenced by the construction industry's fluctuations.
- Understanding economic cycles is crucial for architects who depend mainly on revenue from construction-related services.
Impact of Economic Expansion and Recession
- The economic expansion from late 2001 peaked at the end of 2007, leading to strong growth in nonresidential construction while the housing market peaked earlier, in early 2006.
- The downturn beginning in early 2008 resulted in steep declines in construction activity, contrasting the overall economic recovery by mid-2009.
Construction Spending Trends
- Total construction spending fell from over 1trillionin2008tobelow1 trillion in 2008 to below 1trillionin2008tobelow800 billion by 2011, affecting demand for architectural services.
- Architecture firm gross revenue dropped from over 44billionin2008to44 billion in 2008 to 44billionin2008to26 billion in 2011, reflecting a 40% decrease in three years.
Employment and Payroll Impacts
- Nationally, almost 8.8 million payroll jobs, or 6.4% of the workforce, were lost from early 2008 to early 2010, marking one of the largest declines since the Great Depression.
- Construction payrolls declined by over 2.1 million, or nearly 28%, between 2007 and 2011, in stark contrast to the quicker recovery posts in other sectors.
Architecture Firm Employment Trends
- Positions at architecture firms mirrored broader construction sector trends, with employment peaking in mid-2008 and then sharply decreasing by early 2011.
- Over 28% of positions at architecture firms were lost between 2007 and 2011, exceeding prior upturn recovery rates in employment.
Changes in Project Mix
- Firm activities have seen notable fluctuations in project types, traditionally shifting focus throughout the economic cycle:
- Residential projects tend to rise early in cycles.
- Commercial/industrial projects peak mid-cycle.
- Institutional projects emerge later in the cycle.
- Over the past decade, residential projects accounted for an average of 14% of firm billings, while commercial/industrial held 27%, and institutional projects dominated at 53%.
Billings Fluctuation
- By 2011, residential billings returned to the decade average, showing variability:
- Peaks were at 18% in 2005 and drops to 11% in 2008 as the housing market declined.
- The relationship between residential and non-residential sectors highlights the precursors of economic cycles.
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Description
Explore the crucial concepts of economic cycles as they pertain to the architecture industry. This quiz will help you understand how architects can navigate the fluctuations in the construction sector effectively. Learn to adapt and thrive amidst these economic changes.
