An Extraordinary Comeback! Probability example

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Questions and Answers

What type of probability distribution does the random variable X follow?

  • Uniform distribution
  • Normal distribution (correct)
  • Binomial distribution
  • Poisson distribution

What are the parameters of the normal distribution for the random variable X?

  • Mean = 1, Standard deviation = 1
  • Mean = 0, Standard deviation = 0
  • Mean = 1, Standard deviation = 0
  • Mean = 0, Standard deviation = 1 (correct)

In $P(X \geq S) = 0.05$, what does S represent?

  • The mean of X
  • The standard deviation of X
  • A threshold value (correct)
  • The probability that X is less than S

What does $P(X \geq S)$ represent in the context of the problem?

<p>The probability of an equalization after 89 minutes and 17 seconds. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If $P(X \geq S) = 0.05$, what is the value of $P(X < S)$?

<p>0.95 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the significance of determining the value of S?

<p>To understand the probability of interest in the match context (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is assessed to be 0.05?

<p>The probability of equalization after 89 min 17s. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does X represent in the context?

<p>A random variable modeling the probability of a turnaround (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which country was losing before winning at the end of the match?

<p>Ivory Coast (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What event is considered improbable?

<p>An equalization after 89 minutes and 17 seconds (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

X in the context of the match?

A random variable following a standard normal distribution, modeling the probability of a comeback at the end of a match.

What is the value of S?

The threshold value S such that the probability of the random variable X being greater than or equal to S is 0.05, representing a highly improbable equalization.

Victory unexpectedly?

Given the equalization occurs, the probability of winning the match in extra time follows a standard normal distribution with a probability of P(X≥T) = 0.6.

What is determine the threshold T

The threshold T corresponding to the probability P(X≥T) = 0.6, helping to determine the chances of winning in extra time after equalization.

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Study Notes

  • The exercise involves "An Extraordinary Comeback!".
  • During the quarter-final of the CAN 2023 between Côte d'Ivoire and Mali, Côte d'Ivoire was behind until the 89th minute and 17 seconds but eventually won the match.
  • A random variable X follows a standard normal distribution, denoted as X ~ N(0, 1).
  • X models the probability of a turnaround in the situation at the end of the match.
  • The probability of equalizing after 89 minutes and 17 seconds is considered improbable.
  • It's estimated that the probability of X being greater than or equal to a threshold value S is 0.05, or P(X ≥ S) = 0.05.
  • Determine the value of S and interpret this probability in the context of the match.

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