Agribusiness Risk Management: Unforeseen Risks and Disasters

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40 Questions

What type of risks are associated with politico-social instability within a country or in neighboring countries?

Political Risks

What type of risks are associated with changing and/or uncertain monetary and fiscal policies?

Policy Risks

What is a risk reduction/prevention strategy at the farm/household/community level?

Diversification in production

What is an example of a non-extreme weather event that can affect agricultural supply chains?

Too much or little rainfall

What is a cause of systemic impacts on decision-making and productivity and market options?

Weather Related Risks

Which of the following is a risk mitigation strategy at the market level?

Futures market

What is a risk reduction/prevention strategy at the government level?

Macroeconomic policies

What type of risks are associated with governance related uncertainty and corruption?

Institutional Risks

What is a risk mitigation strategy at the farm/household/community level?

Diversification in production

What is a result of non-extreme weather events on agricultural products?

Reduction in quality

What type of risks are associated with nationalization/confiscation of assets?

Political Risks

Which of the following is a risk mitigation strategy?

Off-farm work

What is a characteristic of non-extreme weather risks?

Usually associated with a specific geographic location

What is a risk reduction/prevention strategy at the market level?

Insurance

Which of the following is a risk mitigation strategy at the government level?

Counter-cyclical programs

What is a risk mitigation strategy at the farm/household/community level?

Partnerships

What is a consequence of enterprise diversification?

Loss of efficiencies and returns

What does flexibility in a business organization enable the manager to do?

Respond more quickly to new information

What represents a firm's credit reserve?

Unused borrowing capacity

What is the purpose of insurance?

To protect an asset or flow of income against specified events

What is insurance designed to do?

Protect the financial well-being of an individual or company

What is agreed upon when an insurance policy is created?

A formal contract

What is a characteristic of some forms of insurance?

Some are required by law

What is the purpose of a credit reserve?

To provide a source of liquidity

What is an example of an unfavourable weather pattern that can be a risk to agribusiness?

Flooding

Which of the following is NOT a natural disaster?

Burglary or armed robbery

What is a risk that can occur during the transportation of goods in agribusiness?

Lorry accidents

What is a credit risk in agribusiness?

Default or non-payment

What is a risk that can occur during storage in agribusiness?

Damage of produce in storage

Which of the following is a risk management strategy that an agribusiness firm may adopt?

Identifying and assessing risks

What is a risk that can occur during the production phase of agribusiness?

Diseases and pest incidence

Which of the following sectors would be most affected by a risk such as a power outage?

Agro-processing Sector

What is an important protective measure against credit officers and borrowers colluding?

Effective credit review department

What is a consequence of banks lacking a sound pricing methodology?

They will attract a disproportionate share of under-priced risks

Who should have responsibility for approving and periodically reviewing the credit risk strategy and significant credit risk policies of the bank?

The board of directors

What should senior management have responsibility for?

Implementing the credit risk strategy approved by the board of directors

What should banks identify and manage?

Credit risk inherent in all products and activities

What happens when income prospects and asset values rise in the ascending portion of the business cycle?

Credit analysis may incorporate overly optimistic assumptions

What is a principle for managing credit risk in a bank?

Establish an appropriate credit risk environment

What should reflect the bank’s tolerance for risk and the level of profitability the bank expects to achieve for incurring various credit risks?

The credit risk strategy

Study Notes

Unforeseen Risks/Natural Disasters

  • Unfavourable weather patterns, including temperature, hail, flooding, and drought
  • Fire outbreaks
  • Earthquakes
  • Terrorist attacks
  • Sinking of consignments on the high seas
  • Lorry accidents
  • Trike actions by workers
  • Civil unrest and communal conflicts

Agribusiness Risks

  • Bad weather
  • Poor or low yield
  • Diseases and pest incidence
  • Fire outbreaks
  • Delay in supply of raw materials
  • Poor quality products
  • Credit risk (default or non-payment)
  • Glut/excess supply over demand
  • Lower produce price
  • High input price
  • Damage of produce in storage
  • Accidents involving goods in transit
  • Power outages

Risks in Agriculture/Agribusiness

  • Policy and institutional risks:
    • Changing and/or uncertain monetary and fiscal policies
    • Changing and/or uncertain financial (credit, savings, insurance) policies
    • Changing and/or uncertain regulatory and legal policies
    • Changing and/or uncertain land policies and tenure systems
    • Governance-related uncertainty (e.g., corruption)
    • Weak institutional capacity to implement regulatory mandates
  • Political risks:
    • Security-related risks and uncertainty associated with politico-social instability
    • Interruption of trade due to disputes with other countries
    • Nationalization/confiscation of assets, especially those belonging to foreign investors
  • Non-extreme weather events (e.g., too much or little rainfall, or too high or low temperatures) can affect agricultural supply chains
  • Weather-related risks can have systemic impacts on decision-making and productivity and market options
  • These risks can lead to yield reductions, affect product quality, and disrupt the flow of goods and services

Risk Management Strategies

  • Risk reduction/prevention strategies:
    • Technological choice (adopting superior technologies)
    • Training on risk management (building capacity to take precautionary measures)
    • Macroeconomic policies (e.g., inflation management, exchange rate management, lending rate management)
    • Disaster prevention (e.g., flood control, enforcing building regulations)
    • Prevention of animal diseases (e.g., immunization, quarantine methods)
  • Risk mitigation strategies:
    • Diversification in production
    • Share cropping
    • Partnerships
    • Flexibility
    • Staggering planting periods
    • Futures market (hedging)
    • Insurance
    • Production/marketing contracts (contract farming)
    • Vertical integration
    • Spread sales (especially to reduce the effect of low prices)

Insurance

  • Insurance provides a specialized form of liquidity to counter losses due to risky events
  • Insurance protects an asset or flow of income against the occurrence of specified events
  • It is a promise of compensation for specific potential future losses in exchange for a periodic payment
  • Insurance can be required by law or be optional

Credit Risk Management

  • Establishing an appropriate credit risk environment
  • Identifying and managing credit risk inherent in all products and activities
  • Senior management should implement credit risk strategy and develop policies and procedures for identifying, measuring, monitoring, and controlling credit risk

This quiz covers unforeseen risks and natural disasters that can affect agribusiness, including unfavorable weather patterns, fire outbreaks, earthquakes, and more. Learn about the different risks that can impact agribusiness and how to manage them.

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