5 Questions
What was the main focus of the task force convened by AAPOR in spring 2016?
Evaluating the accuracy of state-level polling in the 2016 election
What was a major contributing factor to the widespread discounting of Trump's Electoral College chances according to the text?
Overstatement of Clinton's lead in key states
In what year did the Executive Council of AAPOR convene a task force to examine the performance of pre-election polls in the elections?
2019
What did the Task Force on 2020 Pre-Election Polling aim to evaluate?
2020 polling error and overstatement of Democratic-Republican margin
What led to many people being shocked by Trump's victory in the election?
Polls overestimated Clinton's lead in key states
Explore the stability of polling errors throughout the 2020 presidential campaign and how they compared to the certified vote shares. Understand how polls underestimated Trump and overestimated Biden's support.
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