2020 Presidential Election Polling Error Analysis
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Questions and Answers

What was the main focus of the task force convened by AAPOR in spring 2016?

  • Studying voter behavior during the 2016 election
  • Evaluating the accuracy of state-level polling in the 2016 election (correct)
  • Assessing the accuracy of international polls in the 2016 election
  • Analyzing the accuracy of national polls in the 2016 election

    • What was a major contributing factor to the widespread discounting of Trump's Electoral College chances according to the text?

  • Lack of voter participation
  • Underestimation of Trump's lead in key states
  • Overstatement of Clinton's lead in key states (correct)
  • Inaccuracy of national polls

    • In what year did the Executive Council of AAPOR convene a task force to examine the performance of pre-election polls in the elections?

  • 2020
  • 2018
  • 2019 (correct)
  • 2016

    • What did the Task Force on 2020 Pre-Election Polling aim to evaluate?

    <p>2020 polling error and overstatement of Democratic-Republican margin</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What led to many people being shocked by Trump's victory in the election?

    <p>Polls overestimated Clinton's lead in key states</p> Signup and view all the answers

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