MGMT 1035 Week 2 Globalization PDF
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Weeden Elementary School
2024
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This document is a lecture on globalization, examining its historical context, different types, tools, and the impacts of trade and technology on global integration. It covers topics from the Silk Road to modern global processes, highlighting both historical aspects and future trends of globalization.
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Sept 12, 2024 MGMT 1035- Week 2...
Sept 12, 2024 MGMT 1035- Week 2 Week 2 - Pt.1: Introduction to Globalization 1. Definition of Globalization: Based on the Oxford English Dictionary: The process of making global, particularly the development of international influence by businesses. Involves the operation on an international scale and is often perceived to be at the expense of national identity. 2. Historical Context: First usage of the term “globalization” was found in a 1930 newspaper, during the onset of the Great Depression. The phenomenon dates back further than 1930; some historical studies place the start of globalization around 1850. The Silk Road (130 BCE) is considered an early example, linking China to the Mediterranean and allowing the exchange of goods, culture, language, religion, and disease. 3. Types of Globalization: Economic Globalization: Trade and exchange of goods; the focus of business education. Political Globalization: Influences political decisions through global forces such as trade agreements. Cultural Globalization: Spreads cultural elements like music (e.g., rock ‘n’ roll, K-pop), films (Hollywood), and sports (e.g., English Premier League football). 4. Historical Tools of Globalization: The Telegraph: Introduced in the 19th century, allowed rapid global communication. Telegraph’s Role in Global Economy: Facilitated centralized control over global trade. The Rise of Venice: Post-Roman Empire, Venice became an economic hub through control of trade via military and diplomatic power. I Summary This lecture introduces the concept of globalization, presenting it as a process of increasing global interconnectedness, particularly through economic, political, and cultural exchanges. Globalization is defined by the Oxford English Dictionary as the process by which businesses or organizations develop international influence or start operating on a global scale. However, the lecture emphasizes that this often comes at the expense of national identity. I The historical context of globalization is explored, tracing its origins back not just to the 19th century but much further, with the Silk Road (130 BCE) as an early example. The Silk Road facilitated the exchange of goods like silk and spices, but also ideas, religion, language, and diseases across Eurasia, marking it as an essential foundation for modern globalization. The lecture also discusses the different dimensions of globalization: Economic Globalization: Primarily focused on trade and the exchange of goods across nations. Political Globalization: Global forces, such as international trade agreements, that shape political decisions and influence smaller nations that struggle to resist these pressures. Cultural Globalization: The global spread of cultural products like music, films, and sports. Notable examples include the rise of American rock ‘n’ roll and K-pop, as well as the dominance of Hollywood films and the transformation of the English Premier League into a global sports phenomenon. The lecture also highlights technological advancements like the telegraph, which revolutionized global communication and enabled centralized control over worldwide trade from hubs like London and New York. Lastly, the lecture touches on the post-World War I rise of nationalism and protectionism, where countries, wary of globalization, imposed tariffs to protect their local economies. Week 2 - Pt.1: Introduction to Globalization (ARTICLE 1) ' 1. Silk Roads (1st Century BC - 5th Century AD; 13th-14th Centuries AD): First instance of luxury products, like silk, being traded between China and Rome. Trade flourished under empires (Rome, China) and was disrupted when they collapsed. The Silk Road prospered during the Mongol Empire’s rise in the 13th century. SSAF WSG C 2. Spice Routes (7th-15th Centuries): Islamic merchants expanded trade across the Indian Ocean and Mediterranean. Spices (cloves, nutmeg, mace) became a key focus of international trade. 3. Age of Discovery (15th-18th Centuries): European explorers (Portuguese, Spanish, Dutch) connected East and West, integrating the Americas into global trade. Colonization and the exploitation of resources (slavery, spices) shaped early globalization. Europe’s discoveries altered global diets (introduction of potatoes, tomatoes) and lowered the price of spices. 4. First Wave of Globalization (19th Century - 1914): The Industrial Revolution, led by Britain, increased global trade via steamships, railroads, and industrial manufacturing. Global trade grew at 3% annually; foreign direct investment expanded as countries specialized their economies. 5. World Wars: World War I disrupted globalization, leading to closed borders and economic breakdowns. By the end of World War II, global trade had fallen to 5% of world GDP. 6. Second and Third Waves of Globalization (Post-WWII to 2000s): Post-WWII trade resumed under the leadership of the U.S. and international organizations (WTO, European Union). The fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989 allowed globalization to become truly global, with trade and exports reaching 14% of world GDP by 1989. The Third Industrial Revolution (internet) accelerated global integration, enabling rapid communication and the creation of global supply chains. 7. Globalization 4.0 (Present): Focus on digital globalization through e-commerce, AI, and 3D printing. Global challenges like climate change and cyberattacks are also part of the negative aspects of this new wave. Rising protectionism, economic inequality, and backlash in the West mark the current phase. 8. China’s Role and the Belt and Road Initiative: Xi Jinping emphasized the irreversibility of globalization and proposed a more inclusive version through China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Alibaba’s “Silk Road Headquarters” in Xi’an symbolizes the return of globalization to its historical roots, now driven by digital innovation and big data. Conclusion: Globalization has evolved through various technological and political phases, and it continues to change. The new wave, Globalization 4.0, will be shaped by digital technology and geopolitical dynamics, but it faces significant challenges, including environmental crises and growing protectionism. Week 2 - Pt.1: Introduction to Globalization (ARTICLE 2) 1. Shift in Global Integration: Trade flows are now driven by knowledge, services, data, and intellectual property rather than just physical goods. Cross-border data flows grew at a 45% annual rate from 2010-2019, and knowledge-intensive services (IT, professional, government) grew twice as fast as goods trade. 2. R&D and Talent Mobility: Global R&D, particularly in automotive and pharmaceuticals, is increasingly offshore. 40% of high-skill semiconductor researchers in the U.S. are foreign-born, contributing to over 80% of patents. 3. Role of Multinational Corporations: Multinational corporations drive two-thirds of global exports, especially in knowledge-intensive sectors like transport, pharmaceuticals, and electronics. Firms investing heavily in intangibles see higher growth, creating scalable assets that concentrate market share in “superstar” firms. 4. Growth Opportunities in Services: Services trade is expected to expand, and further liberalization can unlock more growth as trade barriers in services are much higher than for goods. Digital technologies allow even small firms to participate in global trade, creating cross-border presences. 5. Supply Chain Disruptions and Future Outlook: Events like the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted supply chains, sparking concerns about globalization retreating. However, globalization is evolving rather than declining. Firms need to adapt their value chains to leverage the growth potential in services, intangibles, and talent to stay competitive in the evolving global landscape. This shift to Global Integration 4.0 shows that intangible flows and digital services are central to the future of globalization, with both large and small firms having opportunities to tap into these evolving global networks. MGMT 1035- Week 2 lecture Sept 13, 2024 Week 2 - Pt.2: Tools and Expansion of Globalization 1. Venice and the Silk Road: Venice became a central hub for international trade after the collapse of the Roman Empire. Its strategic position allowed it to dominate trade between Europe and the East, particularly through the Silk Road. Venice leveraged its economic power to build military and diplomatic influence, becoming a model for future global economic hubs. 2. Formation of Companies: Early businesses were family-owned, and operations were based on trust. Failures in fulfilling contracts could result in severe penalties, including criminal charges. The creation of companies (derived from Latin meaning “breaking bread together”) allowed people to pool resources and share risks in ventures, initially through singular projects like ship voyages, which later expanded to multiple ventures. 3. Double-entry Bookkeeping: Developed by Luca Pacioli, a Venetian friar and mathematician, this system allowed companies to track complex trade transactions and the movement of goods across Europe. It became essential for businesses to manage increasing trade and helped in global expansion, as companies could now track the performance of their goods, expenses, and profits in a systematic way. 4. Advancements in Maritime Technology: New Ship Designs (Caravel and Galleon): Larger, faster ships enabled long-distance trade with greater efficiency. These ships were heavily armed, reflecting the military competition between European powers like England, Spain, France, and the Netherlands. The Sextant (mid-1700s): Revolutionized navigation, allowing sailors to determine their precise location at sea by aligning the instrument with the horizon and stars. This led to more confident and expansive sea exploration. 5. The Evolution of Globalization through Shipping: Container Shipping: Modern container ships, the largest drivers of current globalization, enable the efficient movement of goods across the world. The growth of container shipping is considered more influential than all trade agreements combined in the past 50 years. First container ship in 1956 vs. largest container ship in 2015: Shows the significant growth in scale and capacity. 6. Communication Technologies and Global Trade: The Telegraph (1840s): Samuel Morse’s invention allowed instantaneous communication over long distances, enabling rapid decision-making and coordination in global business. The Telephone (1876): Alexander Graham Bell’s invention allowed voice communication over long distances, further speeding up global business interactions. The Internet: By 2017, half the world’s population had internet access, but there are significant disparities in internet access between developed nations (90-95%) and the global South, particularly sub-Saharan Africa. The internet is now the most important tool driving globalization, connecting businesses and individuals across the world. - Summary 1. Rise of Venice and Early Global Trade: Venice, after the fall of the Roman Empire, became a key hub for international trade. Its position at the crossroads of Europe and the East allowed it to dominate trade routes like the Silk Road. Venice built significant economic power by controlling this trade and using its wealth to exert military and diplomatic influence across Europe and the Mediterranean. 2. Formation of Companies: Early trade was often family-based, with businesses relying on trust and strong personal ties to avoid criminal penalties if trade deals failed. The concept of a company emerged, allowing multiple individuals to pool resources and share risks in ventures such as sea voyages. The word “company” comes from the Latin for “breaking bread together,” reflecting the trust needed among business partners. Initially, these ventures were limited to single projects, but as companies grew, they began engaging in multiple voyages simultaneously, diversifying risks and profits. 3. Double-entry Bookkeeping: Introduced by Luca Pacioli, a Venetian mathematician and friar, double-entry bookkeeping revolutionized business accounting. This system allowed companies to track complex trade transactions and the movement of goods across Europe with greater accuracy. As global trade expanded, this system became indispensable for managing large-scale operations, enabling companies to monitor their goods and financial records across distant markets. 4. Technological Advancements in Maritime Trade: New Ship Designs (Caravel, Galleon): These ships were designed to be larger, faster, and capable of carrying more goods over longer distances. They were also heavily armed, reflecting the military rivalries between European powers like Spain, England, France, and the Netherlands. Navigation Tools: Instruments like the sextant and astrolabe were crucial in improving maritime navigation, allowing sailors to determine their precise location at sea, which reduced the risk of getting lost during long voyages. These innovations enabled safer and more expansive sea exploration. 5. Container Shipping: Modern globalization owes much of its success to container shipping, which allows for the efficient and massive movement of goods around the world. The rise of container shipping is considered more important to global trade than all trade agreements combined over the past 50 years. In 1956, the first container ship made its voyage, and by 2015, the largest container ships were exponentially bigger, moving thousands of containers at once. These developments have dramatically lowered the cost of international shipping, fueling the global economy. 6. Communication Technologies: The Telegraph (1840s): Samuel Morse’s telegraph allowed near-instant communication over long distances, revolutionizing global business operations by enabling immediate decision-making and coordination between distant trade partners. The Telephone (1876): Alexander Graham Bell’s invention allowed for voice communication, further speeding up global trade by enabling real-time conversations between businesses across continents. The Internet: By 2017, half the world’s population had access to the internet. The internet is now the most important tool for modern globalization, connecting businesses and individuals across the globe. However, internet access remains uneven, with significant disparities between developed and developing nations, particularly in regions like sub-Saharan Africa. In conclusion, this lecture demonstrates how the development of business structures, accounting systems, and technologies—particularly maritime and communication advancements—played a crucial role in the expansion of globalization. These tools allowed businesses to manage increasingly complex trade networks, enabled long-distance sea exploration, and facilitated faster and more efficient communication. MGMT 1035- Week 2 lecture Sept 13, 2024 Week 2 - Pt.3: Critique of Globalization 1. Globalization’s Mixed Impact: Globalization creates both winners and losers. While it can benefit countries, corporations, and even the general population (rising tide lifts all boats), some people and companies are economically disadvantaged due to inefficiencies or lack of access to resources. To ensure long-term success, governments and institutions must protect those negatively affected by globalization, or else these groups will reject the global economic processes. 2. 1999 Seattle WTO Protests (Battle of Seattle): The 1999 World Trade Organization meeting in Seattle became the site of major anti-globalization protests. Labor unions, social groups, and environmentalists criticized the negative impact of globalization, particularly: Undermining national sovereignty as global agreements force governments to lower corporate taxes, labor standards, and environmental protections. Smaller countries being forced to comply with these lowered standards to remain competitive in the global market. Concerns about cultural imperialism, with local cultures being overwhelmed by dominant Western (American and European) media and entertainment industries. 3. Historical Resistance to Globalization: Post-World War I: Nationalism surged, and protectionist measures were introduced, particularly during the Great Depression, when governments imposed tariffs to protect local economies from global competition. British colonial trade networks were an early form of globalization, with London controlling vast international trade, often to the detriment of smaller economies. 4. Modern Concerns: Modern critics of globalization argue that it can erode cultural identities and lead to exploitation of poorer countries by richer multinational corporations. The ongoing challenge is finding ways to regulate globalization to protect local economies, cultures, and labor standards while allowing for the benefits of global trade and economic cooperation. - - Summary This lecture examines the criticism and controversies surrounding globalization. While globalization offers significant economic benefits, it also creates winners and losers, leading to tensions between the global and local. 1. Winners and Losers of Globalization: Globalization often benefits corporations and certain countries, but others—whether companies, industries, or populations—may lose out due to inefficiencies or limited access to resources. These groups become economic losers in the global market. - The long-term success of globalization hinges on governments and institutions recognizing and protecting those negatively impacted by the process. Without protection, these groups may reject globalization altogether, leading to political and economic instability. 2. 1999 Seattle WTO Protests (Battle of Seattle): The World Trade Organization (WTO) meeting in Seattle in 1999 was meant to celebrate the successes of global trade, but instead, it became the site of major protests. Protesters, including labor unions, social groups, and environmental activists, argued that globalization was harmful to national sovereignty, labor standards, and environmental protections. They claimed that: National Sovereignty: Global agreements forced governments to lower corporate taxes, reduce environmental protections, and relax labor standards to stay competitive. This pressure particularly affected smaller countries that had less economic power to resist. Labor Standards: Global competition often led to a “race to the bottom,” where companies moved production to countries with the lowest wages and weakest labor laws. Environmental Protections: Multinational companies often pushed governments to lower environmental standards, particularly in smaller, less powerful countries. Cultural Imperialism: Local cultures were at risk of being overwhelmed by dominant Western (primarily American) cultural exports, particularly in the media and entertainment industries. 3. Historical Resistance to Globalization: The backlash against globalization in Seattle was not a new phenomenon. Similar sentiments emerged after World War I, when nationalism surged, and countries imposed tariffs to protect their economies during the Great Depression. The early global economy was shaped by colonial trade networks, with London and other Western capitals controlling vast global trade routes. These networks set the stage for modern globalization, but they also sparked resistance from nations seeking to protect their local economies. 4. Modern Criticism of Globalization: The critique of globalization continues today, with many arguing that it disproportionately benefits wealthy nations and corporations at the expense of poorer countries and vulnerable populations. There are concerns about cultural erosion, with local traditions and languages being overshadowed by Western media and consumer culture. The challenge for modern globalization is how to regulate it in a way that balances economic growth with social justice, environmental sustainability, and the preservation of local cultures. 5. Economic and Cultural Regulation: The lecture concludes by stressing the importance of regulating globalization to mitigate its negative impacts. Governments must find ways to protect vulnerable populations, preserve cultural diversity, and enforce labor and environmental standards to ensure that globalization benefits all participants, not just a select few. This lecture underscores that while globalization has brought significant economic and cultural benefits, it is not a universally positive force. The challenge lies in managing its impacts on societies, economies, and cultures, particularly for those who feel left behind or harmed by its processes. Week 2 - Pt.2: Tools and Expansion of Globalization (VIDEO) 1. Container Shipping Revolution: Introduced by Malcolm McLean in 1956, drastically reducing costs and increasing efficiency. Standardization of container sizes in 1966 and innovations like the first container ships in 1968 led to globalization’s rapid expansion. 2. Impact on Global Trade: By 1980, 90% of manufactured goods were shipped in containers. Significant cost reductions: Shipping costs for items like iPads and TVs are minimal. 3. Environmental Concerns: Shipping is responsible for a quarter of nitrogen oxide pollution, pushing for cleaner fuels like natural gas. 4. Technological Advances: Future trends include automated, battery-powered ships and blockchain to streamline global shipping logistics. 5. Refrigerated Shipping: Growth in refrigerated container use for fresh produce like bananas, which can stay fresh for up to 50 days. & Week 2 - Pt.3: Critique of Globalization (ARTICLE) Key Insights: 1. Historical Waves of Globalization: Each industrial revolution, driven by new technologies, has fueled globalization—steam engines, assembly lines, and now, digital advancements. 2. Advantages of Globalization: 7 Increased Output and Productivity: Globalization raises productivity, creates jobs, and lowers product prices, benefiting both advanced and developing economies. Lower Consumer Prices: International trade has made everyday products (e.g., cars, clothing) more affordable. 3. Challenges: Winners and Losers: While globalization improves overall economic output, workers in sectors like manufacturing, pa rticularly in the U.S., have lost jobs due to outsourcing. Developing Economies : Manufacturers of capital-intensive goods in developing countries also face losses from cheaper imports. 4. Net Impact of Globalization: Overall Positive: Despite its drawbacks, globalization has had a net positive effect on countries’ incomes, purchasing power, and product prices. Sector-Specific Impact: Certain sectors, particularly manufacturing in advanced economies, have experienced significant downsides. 5. Future of Globalization: Gopinath stresses the need for sound domestic policies to support those who lose out from global competition. Trade Tensions: The U.S.-China trade war must be resolved sustainably, as continued uncertainty will harm the global economy. Week 2 Pre tutorial article Summary of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) What is it?: The BRI is a massive China-led infrastructure project aimed at creating a global network of railways, highways, ports, and pipelines, linking East Asia to Europe and beyond. Concerns: While the project offers potential trade growth, skeptics worry it may be an expansion of Chinese power and create debt traps for borrowing nations. U.S. Response: The U.S. remains skeptical and has struggled to offer a competing vision. Critics argue the U.S. lacks the financial resources to challenge China’s BRI fully. BRI Overview and Global Impact Origins: The initiative was launched in 2013 by Chinese President Xi Jinping. It was initially meant to link East Asia to Europe but has since expanded to include Africa, Oceania, and Latin America. Global Influence: The BRI has significantly broadened China’s economic and political influence, with 147 countries participating, covering two-thirds of the world’s population and 40% of global GDP. Growing Opposition: Debt crises have emerged in some participating countries, prompting opposition and skepticism regarding the long-term benefits of BRI. Historical Roots: The Silk Road The original Silk Road arose during the Han Dynasty (206 BCE–220 CE), connecting China with Central Asia, Europe, and parts of South Asia. Trade and Cultural Exchange: It facilitated the exchange of valuable goods (e.g., silk, spices, jade), along with the mixing of religious and cultural traditions. Decline of Trade: Trade along these routes declined due to events like the Crusades and the Mongol advances, leading to modern-day economic isolation of Central Asian countries. Key Aspects of the BRI 1. The Overland Silk Road Economic Belt: Xi’s vision involves railways, energy pipelines, highways, and streamlined border crossings extending from China westward to Europe and southward into Pakistan, India, and Southeast Asia. This network could also expand the international use of China’s currency, the renminbi, and improve connectivity in Asia. 2. The 21st Century Maritime Silk Road: Announced in 2013 at the ASEAN summit, this aspect involves developing ports along the Indian Ocean and expanding maritime trade. China’s Objectives with the BRI Geopolitical Ambitions: The BRI is part of Xi Jinping’s broader plan to promote a more assertive China, with the initiative acting as a counter to U.S. influence, particularly the Pivot to Asia strategy. Developing New Trade Links: China aims to redraw global trade maps, focusing on Asia, Africa, and Europe, putting itself at the center of these networks. Boosting Domestic Growth: The BRI helps stimulate economic growth, particularly in western China, such as the Xinjiang region, where separatist violence has been rising. This also helps China secure energy supplies from Central Asia and the Middle East. Avoiding the Middle-Income Trap: China is attempting to avoid stagnation by moving from low-skilled manufacturing to higher-value goods and services, using the BRI to create new markets and boost productivity. Debt Concerns and Economic Leverage Debt Trap Diplomacy: A 2021 study revealed that BRI contracts often include restrictive clauses on debt restructuring, giving China leverage over countries in debt. For instance, China can demand repayment at any time, using debt as a tool to enforce geopolitical goals (e.g., concerning Taiwan or Uyghur issues). Real-World Impacts: Examples of countries facing debt challenges include: Pakistan: Budget deficits have risen due to imports for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), leading to an IMF bailout. Ghana and Zambia: High debt loads, partly due to BRI loans, led to sovereign defaults. Nonrenewable Energy Investments: Though China committed to stop financing coal-fired power plants abroad in 2021, nearly half of BRI spending is still tied to nonrenewable energy projects (e.g., coal, gas). Challenges and Criticisms Opaque Bidding Processes: Many BRI contracts have been criticized for lack of transparency, with Chinese firms winning inflated contracts, leading to canceled projects (e.g., Malaysia canceled $22 billion in BRI projects but later resumed support). U.S. Response: The U.S. has introduced its Build Back Better World (B3W) initiative, but its funding ($60 billion) is significantly smaller compared to BRI’s estimated $1 trillion investments. Critics argue the U.S. should focus on aid-based lending through multilateral institutions like the World Bank. Global Reactions and Strategic Responses 1. India: India views the BRI as part of a Chinese strategy to dominate Asia and has warned about China’s attempts to burden neighboring countries with unsustainable debt (“String of Pearls”). India has developed its own infrastructure projects and forged alliances with the U.S. and Japan to counterbalance China’s influence. 2. Japan: Japan, like India, has committed significant resources to regional infrastructure development while remaining suspicious of China’s long-term intentions. The Asia-Africa Growth Corridor (AAGC) is one such initiative, though progress has been slow. 3. Europe: Over two-thirds of EU countries have signed onto BRI, but some leaders (e.g., France’s Emmanuel Macron) have expressed concerns, likening the BRI to creating “vassal states.” The EU’s Global Gateway is a $300 billion initiative intended to rival BRI but is seen as insufficient. 4. Russia: Initially, Russia was cautious about BRI, but since its relationship with the West has deteriorated, Russia has embraced the initiative. However, experts suggest this partnership may be economically asymmetrical, with China benefitting more. Potential Environmental Impacts While China has pledged to reduce coal plant financing, many BRI countries still rely heavily on nonrenewable energy. This has raised concerns about the long-term environmental sustainability of BRI projects, despite China’s commitments to renewable energy. Conclusion Global Influence and Debt Concerns: The BRI has been highly successful in expanding China’s influence across multiple continents, but concerns remain regarding the debt burdens it creates for partner countries and its long-term geopolitical objectives. U.S. Struggles: The U.S. and other countries have tried to counter China’s influence but face challenges in terms of financing and strategic cohesion. Week 2 Tutorial Slideshow One Belt One Road (OBOR) Initiative Launched by Xi Jinping in 2013: The initiative is an ambitious and large-scale project to build connectivity and cooperation between China, Central Asia, Africa, and Europe. It represents a modern reimagining of the ancient Silk Road. This is one of the largest infrastructure projects ever undertaken, with China pledging close to $1 trillion in investments for building infrastructure in participating countries. The goal is to establish a comprehensive global trade network, facilitated by both land and sea routes. The “Belt” and “Road” Definitions The “Belt” (Land Routes): These routes mirror the historical Silk Road trade pathways that once connected China to Europe. The land routes aim to connect regions across Central Asia and into Europe while extending the reach to Africa as well. By reinforcing these overland connections, China seeks to establish dominance over critical land-based trade routes. The “Road” (Sea Routes): The sea-based routes refer to the maritime paths that link China with Asian ports, continue through Africa, and connect to Europe via the Middle East. The sea routes will establish vital maritime trade connections that complement the overland routes, further bolstering China’s influence in international trade. Strategic Vision and Geopolitical Goals Two-Way Trade: The project is designed to facilitate two-way trade between China and the countries involved. This reflects China’s strategy of fostering mutual economic interdependence, while simultaneously maintaining control over the infrastructure and trade processes. China’s Control: Despite promoting OBOR as a mutually beneficial initiative, it’s evident that China seeks to maintain control over the process. China’s strategy is to ensure that the economic gains flow primarily toward its own economy, while simultaneously extending its geopolitical influence in these regions. Building Consensus Among Partner Countries Xi Jinping’s Diplomatic Approach: Xi has directly engaged with leaders of the countries along the Belt and Road. His approach is to build diplomatic consensus through promises of much-needed infrastructure development. For many developing countries, the offer of infrastructure investment is highly appealing. The infrastructure investments are seen as both a direct economic benefit and a pathway to building long-term diplomatic relationships. Costs Beyond Economic Investment Broader Impact: According to the Globe and Mail (May 2017), the Belt and Road initiative goes beyond mere economic cooperation. China’s intentions include exporting its surveillance-based security models and spreading content from its state-controlled media. This initiative can be viewed as a means for China to increase its soft power and extend its cultural, political, and security influence over the countries it partners with. For instance, many countries may adopt China’s surveillance and media systems, further embedding China’s political values within their own governance frameworks. Additionally, China is aiming to gain privileged access to the agricultural lands and mineral resources of participating countries, which would give Chinese companies a competitive edge in these critical industries. This access would help China secure its resource supply chains in the long term. Historical Roots and Symbolism The Silk Road Parallel: The Belt and Road project draws inspiration from the historical Silk Road that connected China and Europe, a network of trade routes that was active from BCE periods until the 1400s. This ancient network facilitated not only economic exchange but also cultural interactions between Asia, the Middle East, and Europe. By invoking the symbolism of the Silk Road, China seeks to position itself as a central figure in global trade and diplomacy, much like it was during the height of the Silk Road’s influence. The Opium War and Western Exploitation Historical Context of Foreign Domination: The slides mention that China’s control over its trade routes and resources weakened significantly during the Opium Wars, starting in 1839. Britain was able to impose numerous concessions on China, including the leasing of Hong Kong. For over a century, China endured foreign economic exploitation, which has left lasting scars on its national consciousness. The OBOR initiative can be seen as an effort by China to regain control over its global economic standing, reversing the exploitative dynamics of the past. Deng Xiaoping’s Economic Reforms to Xi Jinping’s Ambitions From Deng to Xi: The transition from Deng Xiaoping’s leadership to Xi Jinping’s leadership marks a significant shift in China’s global strategy. Deng, following the Cultural Revolution, adopted a cautious approach, emphasizing economic reforms while keeping a low international profile. His policy was summarized as “hide our capabilities and bide our time”—a strategy meant to avoid provoking international competition while strengthening China internally. Xi Jinping, in contrast, has adopted a more assertive approach. The Belt and Road initiative reflects this shift, as Xi seeks to position China as a global leader, expanding its influence through infrastructure investments and trade routes. This represents a bold departure from Deng’s strategy of cautious international engagement. Controversy and Criticism of OBOR Unequal Relationships: Some countries, like Pakistan, have voiced concerns over the nature of their involvement in the OBOR project. According to a Pakistani politician, the China-Pakistan economic corridor is heavily skewed in favor of China. The project is often criticized as being one-sided, with Chinese companies, banks, and money dominating the operations, while the profits primarily benefit China. This raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of the partnerships and the potential for participating countries to become overly dependent on China. China’s Long-Term Strategy Maintaining Control Over Infrastructure: The OBOR initiative is not just about building infrastructure, but about maintaining control over that infrastructure. China aims to ensure that it retains influence over the trade routes and the economic activities that flow through them, thereby securing long-term strategic benefits. Week 3 - Pt. 1 Transcript (Multinational Enterprises Overview) Introduction to MNEs: MNEs, or Multinational Enterprises, are corporations that produce goods or deliver services in more than one country. They often have their headquarters in one country but operate in multiple host countries. MNEs are a product of globalization, evolving as businesses expanded across borders to tap into new markets and resources. Examples: Apple and Microsoft are major MNEs with headquarters in the U.S. They operate globally, serving various markets across North America, Asia, and Europe. The rise of MNEs isn’t limited to the U.S. anymore; countries like China, Japan, and India also host significant MNEs. Historical Context: In the 1950s, MNEs were often associated with American companies expanding into global markets. However, this perception has shifted, and MNEs now come from many regions around the world. McDonald’s as an MNE: McDonald’s started in 1948 and grew into a global powerhouse with 34,000 restaurants in 118 countries. Their business model involved franchising and marketing strategies focused on families (e.g., Ronald McDonald) and standardization (e.g., same Big Mac worldwide). The Big Mac Index was created by The Economist in 1986 to compare the relative value of currencies in different countries using the price of a Big Mac as a benchmark. Challenges Faced by MNEs: MNEs often face challenges when operating in various regulatory environments. For example: Apple faced antitrust battles in Europe regarding the standardization of device chargers. Google was challenged in the U.S. for antitrust violations regarding their search engine algorithms. China’s Market: MNEs like cosmetics companies faced regulatory challenges in China, where products were required to undergo animal testing—a practice that conflicted with their cruelty-free certifications in other countries. & Week 3 - Pt. 1 Transcript Summary: This section provides an overview of multinational enterprises (MNEs), defining them as corporations that produce goods or deliver services in multiple countries while being headquartered in a “home” country. Examples like Apple and Microsoft highlight the global scope of modern MNEs. The history of MNEs, which originated as American companies in the 1950s, has since expanded to include companies from China, Japan, and India. McDonald’s is used as an example of an MNE that grew from a small operation to a global entity with 34,000 restaurants in 118 countries, driven by standardized products and aggressive franchising. Challenges faced by MNEs include adapting to local regulations, such as Apple’s antitrust battles in Europe and Google’s legal issues in the U.S. China’s strict regulations on product testing present additional hurdles for companies, especially in industries like cosmetics, where Western firms must adapt to local standards to operate in the market. Week 3 part 1 (ARTICLE) Definition of a Multinational Corporation (MNC): An MNC is a company that operates in its home country and other countries worldwide. It has a central office in its home country that manages all its other offices, such as branches or factories, in foreign countries. Simply exporting products to other countries does not qualify a company as an MNC. It must have actual business operations and make a foreign direct investment in other countries. Reasons for Becoming a Multinational Corporation: 1. Access to Lower Production Costs: MNCs can reduce production costs by setting up manufacturing plants in developing economies, which can be more cost-efficient than outsourcing. They benefit from economies of scale and can leverage global supply chains, undervalued services, and advanced technologies. 2. Proximity to Target International Markets: Operating in countries with target consumer markets reduces transport costs and allows for better consumer feedback and market intelligence. International brand recognition makes it easier to transition between different countries and reduces marketing costs. 3. Access to a Larger Talent Pool: MNCs can hire top talent from around the world, bringing in technical expertise and innovation to their products or services. 4. Avoidance of Tariffs: By manufacturing and selling products in foreign countries, MNCs can avoid tariffs and quotas that would otherwise apply to imported goods. Models of Multinational Corporations: 1. Centralized Model: The company has its headquarters in the home country, while managing various manufacturing plants and production facilities in other countries directly from the central office. 2. Regional Model: The company has a central headquarters in the home country but supervises a collection of offices in other countries through regional headquarters. These regional offices report to the central headquarters. 3. Multinational Model: The parent company operates in the home country and sets up subsidiaries in foreign countries. The subsidiaries usually have more independence compared to the centralized and regional models. Advantages of Being a Multinational Corporation: 1. Efficiency: MNCs can reach target markets more easily by manufacturing in the countries where their target consumers are located. This allows easier access to raw materials and reduces labor costs. 2. Development: MNCs often pay better wages than local companies, making them more attractive to the local workforce. They also contribute significantly to local tax revenue, which helps boost the host country’s economy. 3. Employment: By hiring local workers, MNCs gain valuable insights into the local culture, enabling them to tailor products and services to local preferences. 4. Innovation: MNCs bring together diverse teams of local and foreign workers, leading to more creative and innovative products. Disadvantages of Being a Multinational Corporation: 1. Increased Legal Burden: Operating in multiple countries increases legal complexity due to differing laws on corporate structure, contracts, the environment, and employment. MNCs require local legal expertise to navigate these challenges. 2. Increased Tax Compliance: MNCs face different taxation regimes in each country, including varying sales taxes, deductions, and depreciation rules. Complying with these different tax systems can be burdensome. 3. Public Relations: MNCs may face criticism for moving jobs out of their home country, leading to negative public perception. Conversely, they may also be accused of exploiting workers and resources in host countries. 4. Political Instability: MNCs often operate in politically unstable or less developed countries, where corruption or political turmoil can impact their operations. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): FDI occurs when a company or investor makes an investment in a foreign country, either by establishing a new business or buying an existing one. It differs from simply purchasing international stocks, as FDI involves a more direct control over the foreign entity. Examples of Well-Known Multinational Corporations: Apple ExxonMobil Microsoft Procter & Gamble Tesla Week 3 Tutorial Intro (PPT) (East India Company Overview) Historical Development of MNEs: Early multinational enterprises originated from European exploration, seeking direct access to Asian and African markets for spices and other valuable resources. European countries like England, Holland, and France competed fiercely for access to these markets, leading to the creation of powerful trading companies. The Creation of Joint-Stock Companies: Early trading ventures were risky, often resulting in shipwrecks, piracy, or naval battles. To mitigate risk, investors pooled resources to fund multiple ships and expeditions. This eventually led to the formation of joint-stock companies, where investors could buy and sell shares, spreading out the risk across multiple ventures. Key Examples of Early MNEs: British East India Company (1600): Granted a royal charter by Queen Elizabeth I, the British East India Company monopolized trade with the East Indies, significantly shaping global commerce. Dutch East India Company (VOC) (1602): The VOC dominated spice trade in Asia, leveraging military power to secure its monopoly. For instance, the Dutch exerted brutal control over the Banda Islands to dominate the nutmeg trade. MNEs and Colonialism: MNEs like the East India Company operated within the framework of colonialism, using military power to enforce monopolies in foreign territories. These companies often functioned as private extensions of state power, contributing to the expansion of European empires. Nestlé: A Later Example of an MNE: Founded in 1866, Nestlé started by producing condensed milk and expanded into baby formula, chocolate, and eventually pharmaceuticals and bottled water. Nestlé grew into the largest food company globally by the 21st century, but it also faced controversies, such as its aggressive marketing of baby formula in Africa and the use of child labor in the chocolate industry. - Week 3 - Pt. 2 Transcript Summary: This section traces the historical development of multinational enterprises, starting with the early European explorers seeking direct access to Asian and African markets for valuable goods like spices. The creation of joint-stock companies, such as the British East India Company (1600) and the Dutch East India Company (1602), allowed investors to pool their resources and mitigate risks. These companies monopolized trade in their respective regions, often using military force to secure their interests. MNEs like the East India Company operated as extensions of state power during colonialism, exerting control over foreign territories and populations. A later example of an MNE is Nestlé, founded in 1866, which expanded from condensed milk production into baby formula, chocolate, and pharmaceuticals, eventually becoming the largest food company globally. However, Nestlé also faced significant controversies, such as its marketing of baby formula in Africa and the use of child labor in its chocolate supply chain. Week 3 Part 2 (Article) Overview: This article from The Economist discusses how multinational corporations (MNCs) are increasingly facing significant challenges and are in a state of retreat from their global operations. The main reasons for this retreat include changing political climates, increasing regulation, and rising protectionist sentiments in many countries. Key Points Discussed in the Article: 1. Political Climate and Protectionism: There has been a growing trend of nationalism and protectionism across several major economies, including the United States and the United Kingdom. Policies aimed at promoting domestic production and jobs, such as tariffs and restrictions on outsourcing, are making it harder for MNCs to operate freely in foreign markets. For example, the Brexit referendum and the election of Donald Trump in 2016 have marked shifts toward protectionist policies, complicating the global operations of MNCs. 2. Regulation: Increased regulatory scrutiny is another factor pushing MNCs into retreat. As governments enact stricter regulations in areas such as labor, environmental standards, and data privacy, the cost of doing business in multiple countries has risen significantly. In particular, MNCs are being challenged by local regulations that differ from those in their home countries, forcing them to adapt or reduce their presence in certain markets. 3. Economic and Technological Changes: Economic uncertainty and technological advancements have also contributed to this trend. Many MNCs have found that the cost savings they once achieved through global supply chains are now being diminished by trade barriers and fluctuating exchange rates. Automation and other technological changes mean that many jobs that were once outsourced to foreign countries are now being performed by machines, further reducing the need for global labor markets. 4. Impact on Globalization: The retreat of MNCs could signal a slowdown in the trend of globalization. While MNCs were once the driving force behind global economic integration, they are now scaling back their operations, potentially leading to a more fragmented global economy. 5. Corporate Strategies: In response to these challenges, some MNCs are focusing on localization, where they tailor their products and strategies to individual markets rather than pursuing a one-size-fits-all global strategy. Others are shifting their focus to regions with more stable political and economic environments, such as parts of Asia and the European Union, while avoiding riskier markets. 6. Public Perception and Corporate Responsibility: MNCs are also facing increased scrutiny from the public and are expected to take on more corporate responsibility. This includes ensuring fair labor practices, reducing environmental impact, and contributing to the social good in the countries where they operate. Companies that fail to meet these expectations risk damaging their reputations and losing consumer trust. Conclusion: The article suggests that the retreat of MNCs reflects broader shifts in the global economy, where businesses must navigate complex political and economic landscapes. While some MNCs may succeed by adapting to local markets or focusing on new regions, the era of unrestrained global expansion appears to be drawing to a close. Week 3 Tutorial Intro (PPT) (East India Company Overview) Origins of the East India Company (EIC): In the late 1500s, English privateers like Francis Drake gained wealth by stealing from French and Spanish ships, setting the stage for England’s involvement in global trade. English businessmen began funding voyages to the Pacific to trade, particularly in spices. Founding of the EIC: On December 31, 1600, Queen Elizabeth I granted a royal charter to a group of London merchants, creating the East India Company with exclusive trading rights over a vast area, including parts of Africa and Asia. Trading Challenges: The EIC had to compete with established trading powers like Spain, Portugal, and the Dutch East India Company. Early military conflicts, such as the Red Dragon’s battles with Portuguese ships, were part of the company’s efforts to secure its trading routes. Shift to India: After military setbacks in the Spice Islands, the EIC shifted focus to India, forming a strong trade relationship with the Mughal Empire. Bengal became a major trading hub for the company. Expansion of Power: The collapse of the Mughal Empire allowed the EIC to expand militarily. Under Robert Clive, the company gained administrative control over large territories, including the right to collect taxes in Bengal. Reigning in the EIC’s Power: As the company’s influence grew, it wielded significant political power in Britain. The India Act (1774) was passed to limit the company’s autonomy, and further acts in 1813 and 1833 gradually eroded its control. The Opium War (1839) further damaged the company’s reputation, particularly regarding its role in smuggling opium into China. The End of the EIC: The Indian Mutiny (1857-58) led to the downfall of the company’s rule in India. By 1858, the British government took over control, and in 1874, the EIC was formally dissolved. & SUMMARY The East India Company (EIC) was established in 1600 when Queen Elizabeth I granted a royal charter to London merchants, giving them exclusive trading rights over vast territories, including parts of Africa and Asia. The company initially faced competition from Spanish, Portuguese, and Dutch traders. After military setbacks in the Spice Islands, the EIC shifted its focus to India, forming a strong trading relationship with the Mughal Empire. As the Mughal Empire declined, the company expanded its military power and took administrative control over territories like Bengal. The EIC’s political influence in Britain led to government intervention, starting with the India Act of 1774, which sought to limit the company’s power. The company’s involvement in the Opium Wars and the Indian Mutiny of 1857 further eroded its control, and by 1858, the British government took over its operations in India, formally dissolving the company in 1874. Week 3 PPT (ARTICLE) Overview of the East India Company: The East India Company (EIC), founded in 1600, was one of the most powerful multinational corporations in history, granted a monopoly by Queen Elizabeth I to trade with Asia. The company’s influence stretched across the globe, shaping the development of cities like Mumbai, Kolkata, and Chennai, and controlling territories such as Singapore and Penang. It employed thousands, including 260,000 local recruits in India, and had the power to levy taxes, maintain a military, and influence trade policies—comparable to the modern influence of companies like Google or Amazon. Parallels to Modern Multinationals: State-Sanctioned Monopoly: The EIC was unique because it had a state-granted monopoly over trade and could use military force to maintain control, akin to modern corporations influencing politics through lobbying. Corporate Governance: The EIC was highly structured, with governance and financial strategies resembling modern corporations. Its overexpansion and financial mismanagement after stock price booms mirror the pitfalls seen in some modern firms. Working for the East India Company: Job Competition: Like modern multinationals, working for the EIC was highly coveted. Positions were reserved for white males, and getting hired required personal connections and nominations from company directors. Manual labor jobs also required nominations, with vacancies far fewer than applicants, similar to today’s competitive job market. Unpaid Internships and Bonds: New employees started with an unpaid “probationary” period, lasting five years (reduced to three in 1778), and had to post bonds to ensure good behavior. These bonds were substantial, with new hires posting £500 (equivalent to £36,050 today). This is comparable to modern unpaid internships and the financial barriers to entering certain industries today. Corporate Perks and Work Environment: Training Programs: By 1806, the EIC introduced employee training with the creation of East India College in Haileybury, offering instruction in history, law, and languages like Sanskrit and Persian, similar to today’s corporate boot camps. Headquarters and Workspaces: The EIC headquarters in London was designed to be impressive, with neoclassical architecture and opulent interiors, reflecting the company’s wealth and influence, similar to today’s lavish tech company campuses. Overseas, clerks and employees often lived in company compounds, which were heavily regulated but sometimes luxurious, offering amenities such as gardens, chapels, and hot baths. Perks and Employee Benefits: Employees received free meals and, in some cases, were allowed to trade privately for their own profit. This private trading perk was highly valued and incentivized employees to stay with the company, much like stock options or bonuses today. Lavish company dinners and generous entertainment allowances were common, akin to the extravagant corporate events hosted by modern firms. Challenges and Disadvantages: Strict Discipline: Discipline in the EIC was strict, especially for those working abroad. Misconduct, such as drunkenness or disrespect towards locals, could result in severe punishment. Dangerous Work Conditions: Overseas assignments were risky, with long sea voyages, disease, and high mortality rates. In some years, up to a third of employees stationed in Asia died from illness, shipwrecks, or violence. Job Dissatisfaction: Many clerks found their work monotonous, often spending their days copying documents by hand. Despite high salaries, job dissatisfaction was common, with employees like Charles Lamb expressing frustration over the repetitive nature of the work. Ethics and Corporate Responsibility: Insider Trading: Employees often engaged in insider trading, using their knowledge of market conditions in India to send orders back to Britain ahead of public information, drawing parallels to modern-day corporate scandals. Corporate Codes of Ethics: By 1764, the EIC introduced one of the first corporate codes of ethics, banning the receipt of gifts above a certain value, in response to widespread corruption and public backlash. Salaries and Benefits: High Salaries and Pensions: EIC clerks were among the highest-paid workers in Britain, with salaries increasing significantly over time. After 40 years of service, employees could retire with pensions equal to three-quarters of their salary, similar to modern retirement plans. Directors, while receiving modest salaries, often benefited from gifts and patronage, further enriching their positions. Conclusion: The East India Company’s methods of operating and its structure closely resemble modern multinational corporations in many ways, from its vast reach to its internal operations, corporate culture, and employee perks. While some aspects of the company, such as its use of military force, make it a product of its time, the competitive job market, high salaries, corporate perks, and challenges faced by employees resonate with those working in modern multinational firms today. Week 3 (Library Stuff) Scholarly Article Characteristics Lengthy bibliographies providing extensive references. Focus on original research and academic findings. Written by professors/researchers in the field. Peer-reviewed to ensure quality, leading to longer publication times. Industry/Trade Article Characteristics Often published by a professional association or organization. Focus on current industry trends, issues, and products. Typically published monthly or weekly. Newspaper Article Characteristics No bibliographies and some articles may be anonymous. Meant to inform, entertain, or influence the public. Written by journalists with possible editorials by non-journalists. Publicly-Traded Companies Traded on stock exchanges or over-the-counter markets. Regulated by security exchanges (e.g., Ontario Securities Commission). Produce filings like annual reports, making them easier to research. Privately-Held Companies Not traded on stock exchanges or over-the-counter markets. Public cannot invest in them. Don’t submit filings to securities regulators, making them difficult to research. Company Filings Download filings (e.g., annual reports) to understand a company’s operations, product lines, and directions. Access filings via: SEDAR (Canada). EDGAR (US SEC). Company’s Investor Relations section on their website. Marketline Advantage Provides in-depth reports on public companies. Reports include SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats). Week 4, Part One: Mercantilism Mercantilism, an economic system of trade, emerged in the mid-16th century and became prominent by the 1600s. It lasted until the early 1800s when it began to be replaced by newer economic ideas. The central idea of mercantilism is that the world has a fixed supply of wealth, particularly in gold and silver. Nations should therefore regulate trade to accumulate as much of this wealth as possible while depriving other nations of it. Mercantilism is characterized by promoting exports and minimizing imports to maintain a trade surplus. Nations used tariffs and military force to achieve this, which frequently led to colonial expansion to secure resources and protect markets. European nations like England, France, Spain, and the Dutch embraced mercantilism to maximize wealth. A key strategy was the development of colonies to extract resources and funnel trade through the mother country, ensuring that rivals could not benefit from these colonies. England’s Navigation Acts in the 1600s exemplify mercantilist policies, forcing American colonies to trade exclusively with England. Other European powers, like France, were prohibited from directly trading with English colonies. All goods had to pass through England first, ensuring that the empire retained control of both resources and profits. Colonies were restricted from developing their own economies. This dependency on the mother country was a significant factor leading to the American Revolution and other colonial rebellions. Mercantilist policies also led to significant tensions within European countries themselves. In England, attempts to protect local farmers by restricting food imports led to food shortages and hunger in the early 1800s. The Corn Laws, which imposed tariffs on grain imports, became particularly controversial. By the 1840s, it was clear that these protectionist policies were unsustainable, as British farmers could not produce enough food to feed the population at reasonable prices. The repeal of the Corn Laws and later the Navigation Acts allowed for free trade, which opened up the British economy to cheaper food imports. This move away from mercantilism was celebrated by publications like The Economist as a triumph of free trade. The decline of mercantilism was driven by thinkers like Adam Smith, whose work The Wealth of Nations argued that free trade, where both trading partners benefit, was a more efficient way to generate wealth than hoarding resources. This marked the beginning of modern economic thought that emphasized mutual benefit in trade rather than the zero-sum approach of mercantilism. - Summary Mercantilism, an economic theory dominant from the 16th to 18th centuries, emphasized the accumulation of wealth, primarily in the form of gold and treasure. According to mercantilism, a nation’s wealth and power were defined by its trade surplus, and countries were encouraged to export more than they imported to build up this surplus. This surplus allowed nations to fund armies and institutions, strengthening their national power. The system of mercantilism was closely tied to colonialism, with European countries exploiting their colonies for cheap raw materials, which they then transformed into higher-value goods for export. Colonies were restricted in their economic growth, as they were primarily sources of resources for the mother countries. However, mercantilism faced criticism from economists like Adam Smith. In The Wealth of Nations (1776), Smith argued that real wealth was not found in hoarded gold but in the availability of goods and services that raised the standard of living for the population. He advocated for free trade, suggesting that countries benefit more from unrestricted trade and that a focus on mutual gains would lead to better outcomes. Smith also introduced the idea of specialization, where countries focus on producing goods in which they are most efficient, thereby increasing productivity and overall wealth. / Week 4 Part 1 (ARTICLE) The Importance of International Trade to the Canadian Economy Trade and GDP: In 2015, exports accounted for 31.5% of Canada’s GDP, up from 25% before Canada began signing free trade agreements in 1988. The peak for exports was 36% of GDP before the 2008 recession. Imports in 2015 represented 33.8% of GDP, with 26% of these imports being inputs used in production (especially in export-heavy sectors like autos and high- tech). Job Creation from Exports: In 2011, exports were responsible for 2.94 million jobs, representing 16.7% of total Canadian employment. Tariffs: The effective tariff rate on imports in 2015 was 1%, a decrease from 3.5% before the push for free trade in the 1980s. Tariffs on imports have been reduced significantly since the implementation of free trade agreements, facilitating more open trade. Trade Partners: Trade is heavily oriented toward the United States, which accounts for three-quarters of Canada’s exports and two-thirds of imports. While trade with Europe and Japan has stagnated, exports to Asia (particularly of natural resources) have increased, resulting in a smaller trade deficit with Asia compared to the US. Trade Benefits to the Economy: Both exports and imports contribute to productivity growth. Firms that export have significantly higher productivity than non-exporting firms. Imports of intermediate inputs (goods used in the production of other goods) contributed over half of Canada’s productivity growth. Shift in Trade Patterns: Canada’s reliance on trade with the US has decreased slightly with the rise of Asian markets. Trade with Mexico remains minimal despite both countries being part of NAFTA. Canada exports less to Mexico than to China, and imports from Mexico are less than half of imports from China. Commodity Composition: In 2015, Canada’s exports were dominated by autos ($87.3 billion), machinery and equipment ($84.9 billion), energy ($83.8 billion), metals and minerals ($77 billion), and consumer goods ($70.1 billion). Energy exports surged with the implementation of the US-Canada Free Trade Agreement (FTA), making Canada a significant supplier of natural gas and crude oil to the US. Canada’s trade balance with Asia is relatively stable due to the export of natural resources, unlike the US, which has a significant trade deficit with Asian countries. Impact of Free Trade Agreements: The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the FTA between Canada and the US have greatly increased Canada’s exports and imports. The Free Trade Agreement with the US was particularly beneficial for the energy sector, allowing for a fully integrated North American energy market. Protectionism and Trade Threats: Growing protectionist sentiment worldwide (e.g., Brexit, US trade renegotiations) could harm Canada’s economy by disrupting trade agreements that have been key to economic growth. Despite this, trade experts suggest that existing trade rules under the World Trade Organization (WTO) are sufficiently developed to support continued global trade. Concluding Thoughts: Free trade has been instrumental in raising productivity and lowering prices in Canada, benefitting consumers and businesses alike. As protectionism rises, Canada should resist the urge to follow suit and should continue to promote free trade, both with its existing partners and emerging markets in Asia. Week 4, Part Two: Modern Theories of International Trade Modern international trade theory began to evolve in response to the limitations of mercantilism. Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations (1776) laid the foundation for free trade by promoting the idea of absolute advantage—that if a country can produce a good more efficiently than another, both countries benefit from trade. David Ricardo built upon Smith’s ideas in 1817 by introducing the concept of comparative advantage. Even if one country can produce all goods more efficiently than another, it can still benefit from trade if it specializes in the goods it can produce at a lower opportunity cost. Ricardo’s famous example involved England and Portugal trading wine and cloth, even though Portugal was more efficient at producing both. The key point is that trade benefits both countries if each focuses on its strengths. Factor Proportions Theory, also known as the Heckscher-Ohlin model, explains trade based on a country’s endowments of factors of production, such as labor, capital, and resources. Countries tend to specialize in producing goods for which they have an abundance of relevant factors. For example, labor-abundant countries like Bangladesh export textiles, while capital-rich countries like Japan focus on industries like robotics. Trade patterns often reflect these endowments, as seen in the rise of China in the 1980s and 1990s when it opened up to international trade. China’s abundant labor allowed it to become a major exporter of goods to capital-rich countries in the Global North. New Trade Theory, developed in the 1980s by economists like Paul Krugman, emphasizes the importance of economies of scale—the idea that as industries grow, they become more efficient. This explains why similar countries with comparable resources often trade with each other. For instance, the US and Canada are major trading partners because both have large, efficient industries that benefit from scale. New Trade Theory also highlights the importance of first-mover advantage—the idea that the first country or firm to scale in a particular industry gains a significant competitive edge. Examples include the US in the automotive industry in the 20th century or Silicon Valley in the tech sector. Strategic Trade Theory emerged in the 1980s and 1990s, suggesting that governments should intervene in industries with a few dominant global firms to help domestic companies compete. This can be done through targeted subsidies or tax breaks. A prominent example is Airbus, which was supported by European governments to compete with Boeing in the aerospace industry. Strategic Trade Theory argues that governments should play an active role in fostering industries that can dominate global markets, contrasting with Ricardo’s laissez-faire approach. The US Chips Act, which supports the semiconductor industry, is another example of this targeted government intervention. · Summary Adam Smith’s ideas laid the foundation for modern international trade theories, particularly the concept of absolute advantage. He argued that countries should engage in trade when they can produce goods more efficiently than others, benefiting both trading partners. David Ricardo expanded upon Smith’s ideas with his theory of comparative advantage, which explains that even if one country is more efficient at producing all goods, both countries can still benefit from trade if they focus on producing goods in which they have a lower opportunity cost. Ricardo’s comparative advantage remains a cornerstone of modern trade theory. Further developments in trade theory include the Heckscher-Ohlin model, which emphasizes a country’s factor endowments, such as labor and capital, in determining what goods they should produce and export. This theory explains why labor-abundant countries export goods that require more labor, while capital-rich countries focus on capital-intensive goods. More recent trade theories, such as New Trade Theory and Strategic Trade Theory, highlight the importance of economies of scale and government intervention to foster industries with significant global market potential. These theories explain trade between similar countries and the role of governments in shaping global competitiveness, particularly in industries like technology and aerospace. Week 4 part 2 (Video) International Trade Theory Overview Two Types of Trade Theories: 1. Descriptive Theories: Aim to explain the patterns of trade (e.g., why trade occurs and which products are traded between countries). 2. Prescriptive Theories: Offer advice on how trade should be controlled or influenced, including questions about government involvement, trade restrictions on goods and services, and limitations on which countries are traded with. Mercantilism (1500-1800s) Core Concept: Wealth is defined by a country’s holdings of gold and treasures. Wealth accumulation was seen as a measure of national power and strength, providing resources for armies and institutions. The prescription under mercantilism was that countries should aim to export more than they import to build a surplus of wealth. This surplus, in turn, strengthens the country economically, politically, and militarily. Favorable Balance of Trade: A trade surplus, where exports exceed imports, was seen as essential. Even today, many countries emphasize the importance of promoting exports and limiting imports to achieve a favorable trade balance. Colonialism and Mercantilism: European countries during this era established colonies to source cheap raw materials and labor, then processed those into higher-value products in the home country, exporting them for profit. This system ensured a favorable trade balance. Adam Smith and the Critique of Mercantilism Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations (1776): Smith criticized mercantilism, arguing that wealth should not be defined by the accumulation of gold or a trade surplus. Instead, wealth is measured by the availability of goods and services that improve the standard of living for a country’s population. According to Smith, trade benefits both parties involved because it allows for the consumption of goods that may not be domestically available, improving people’s lives. Specialization: Smith introduced the idea that countries should specialize in the production of goods they are most efficient at producing (i.e., absolute advantage). By doing so, they can trade these goods with other countries, benefiting from increased efficiency and productivity. Free Trade: Smith argued that trade should be unrestricted. Rather than limiting imports and promoting exports, all trade should be encouraged as it ultimately makes all participants better off. Absolute Advantage Definition: Countries have absolute advantage in the production of goods or services when they can produce them more efficiently than other countries. Trade between countries should be based on these absolute advantages, allowing each country to specialize in what they produce best and trade for other goods they need. Sources of Advantages: 1. Natural Advantages: Factors such as climate (e.g., growing bananas in Costa Rica) and natural resources (e.g., coal in Pennsylvania) give certain countries a natural edge in producing specific goods. Geography also plays a role, as some countries have lower transportation costs due to proximity to other nations or favorable sea routes. 2. Acquired Advantages: These include factors like design skills, process technology, and infrastructure investment. An example is Switzerland’s reputation for high-quality watchmaking, which is based on developed skills rather than natural resources. Other factors influencing trade include the regulatory environment, business climate, and social environment that make certain locations attractive for specific industries. David Ricardo and Comparative Advantage Comparative Advantage: David Ricardo expanded upon Adam Smith’s theory with the idea of comparative advantage. Ricardo argued that even if one country has an absolute advantage in producing all goods, both countries can still benefit from trade. Comparative advantage occurs when a country specializes in the production of goods for which it has the lowest opportunity cost compared to others, even if it doesn’t have an absolute advantage. Key Insight: Gains from trade can occur even when one country has no absolute advantages. Both countries can still share benefits from trade based on their relative efficiencies in producing different goods. Week 4, Part Three: Liberalizing Trade with the Global South In the post-WWII era, global trade barriers were lowered as part of a broader movement towards trade liberalization, which benefited the already industrialized economies of the Global North, including Western Europe, North America, Japan, and Australia. These countries prospered as cheaper raw materials flowed in from the Global South. The Global South—comprising Latin America, Africa, and parts of Asia—historically suffered from colonial trade patterns that extracted resources for the benefit of Northern economies. These regions struggled to develop industrial economies due to their subordinate role in the global trade system. As trade barriers came down, Northern economies thrived while the South remained largely marginalized. The North’s focus on free trade was primarily self-serving, as it allowed them to access cheap labor and raw materials while maintaining control over high-value production. Over time, manufacturing and production began shifting to the Global South, which led to tensions in Northern countries. As industries in the South became more sophisticated and began competing with Northern industries, the enthusiasm for free trade in the Global North diminished. One solution proposed for the Global South’s struggles is the promotion of South-to-South trade—trade between countries within the Global South itself. This could create a more circular economy, where these countries benefit from each other’s production and trade rather than relying on the Global North. In recent years, Northern economies have begun to question the benefits of globalization as competition from the Global South intensifies. For example, as more sophisticated products are now manufactured in the South, the Global North has become more hesitant to fully embrace trade liberalization. This shift marks a significant change from earlier periods when the North was the main beneficiary of free trade policies. - Summary Post-World War II, the reduction of trade barriers allowed developed countries in the Global North to benefit significantly from cheaper resources imported from the Global South. However, this liberalization also led to tensions as manufacturing and production began to shift toward the South. While the Global North had initially reaped the rewards of free trade, countries in the Global South, including parts of Latin America, Africa, and Asia, began to compete more effectively, leading to concerns about economic competitiveness in the North. To address these challenges, the Global System of Trade Preferences (GSTP) was established to promote South-to-South trade, which aims to create trade networks between countries in the Global South. This initiative helps foster sustainable development by promoting cooperation in areas like food security, healthcare, and clean energy. Trade agreements under the GSTP enable these countries to diversify their economies and reduce their dependency on the Global North, while also addressing challenges like food security and advancing environmental sustainability through the development of renewable energy technologies. Week 4 Part 3 (Article) Overview of the Commercial Landscape Post-Cold War: Since the end of the Cold War, Western multinational corporations from America, Europe, and Japan have been dominant in global commerce. These corporate giants are now under threat from rapidly expanding Chinese firms, particularly in the fast-growing economies of the global south. The battleground for global competition is shifting to these developing markets rather than focusing on China or the rich world. Forms of Chinese Business Expansion: 1. Globalized Supply Chains: Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) has increased, tripling to $160bn in 2023, focusing on building factories in countries like Malaysia and Morocco. Chinese firms are integrating into global supply chains and building infrastructure in developing countries. 2. Targeting Consumers in Developing Markets: Chinese firms are aggressively expanding their sales in the global south. Since 2016, sales by listed Chinese firms in the global south have quadrupled to $800bn, surpassing their sales in rich countries. Examples of dominance: Transsion: Produces half of the smartphones bought in Africa. Mindray: Leading supplier of patient-monitoring systems in Latin America. Chinese companies lead in industries such as electric vehicles (EVs), wind turbines, and social media platforms (e.g., TikTok). Factors Driving Chinese Expansion: Slowing Growth in China: Chinese companies are looking abroad due to slowing domestic growth and intense competition. Government Policies: Western countries are erecting trade barriers (e.g., solar panels, EVs), pushing Chinese firms to shift production to the global south. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has facilitated $1 trillion in infrastructure investments, helping Chinese firms enter these markets. Lessons for Policymakers: 1. Benefits of Trade and Globalization: Chinese expansion is increasing access to affordable goods (e.g., $100 smartphones by Transsion). Low-cost, innovative, and environmentally friendly technologies (e.g., medical devices, climate-friendly solutions) enhance quality of life in developing markets. 2. Cost of Protecting Western Firms: Protecting Western multinationals from competition is costly and limits innovation. Chinese firms are excelling in producing affordable goods for low-income consumers, an area where Western firms have struggled. Chinese firms like Shein have shattered the myth that Chinese brands lack global appeal. On current trends, Chinese firms could surpass European firms in the global south by 2030 and be on par with American firms. Lessons for Governments in the Global South: Balancing Protectionism and Openness: Policymakers should avoid excessive protectionism, which could deprive consumers of innovation and competition. However, they should also avoid passivity and ensure that Chinese firms hire local workers, share technology, and follow environmental and labor standards. Steering Business Partnerships: Governments should push for deeper engagement from Chinese firms, similar to how American and Japanese firms localized in the past to reduce costs and avoid local backlash. Impact on Globalization: The West’s shift inward and efforts to shield its multinationals from Chinese competition have long-term consequences. Chinese firms are now reaping the benefits in the fastest-growing global markets. Western multinationals, once dominant in cross-border trade and investment, are ceding ground to Chinese firms in the global south. Key Takeaways: Chinese firms are rapidly expanding in developing markets due to domestic challenges, supportive government policies, and shifting global dynamics. This expansion is transforming global trade, challenging Western dominance, and reshaping the economic landscape of the global south. Policymakers need to strike a balance between protecting local industries and encouraging competition and innovation from Chinese firms. Week 4 Part 3 (VIDEO) Overview of the Chips Act and Industrial Policy: Industrial Policy: Refers to government policies aimed at influencing the development and success of specific industries. This can be done through various means such as tariffs, tax incentives, or direct investments. The Chips Act is seen as a return to industrial policy by offering direct government investments in specific sectors (in this case, semiconductor manufacturing). Historical Context: Government Investments in Technology: Many of the technologies we use today (e.g., the internet, GPS, MRI machines) originated from government investments. Government funding has historically played a key role in technology development, including during World War II and the Space Race, when the US invested in radio technology, shipbuilding, and jet engines. The development of the HEPA filter, used in air purifiers today, was a byproduct of efforts during the Manhattan Project to prevent radioactive contamination. 20th Century Industrial Policy: During the Cold War and Space Race, the US government was the largest investor in research and development, often outspending all other governments and private companies combined. Technologies such as semiconductors originated from Department of Defense and space program contracts, as these sectors were the earliest customers for these technologies. The Chips Act: Legislation Details: The Chips Act includes $53 billion in government funding to boost semiconductor manufacturing in the US. Of this, $40 billion is allocated to attract semiconductor fabrication plants (Fabs) to the US, encouraging companies to build chip factories domestically. The legislation also includes tax incentives for companies investing in the chip sector within the US. Motivation Behind the Chips Act: Over the past 20 years, semiconductor fabrication has shifted to countries like China, South Korea, and Taiwan due to lower costs and government subsidies. The US share of global chip production has dropped from 37% in 1990 to 12% in 2020, while China has increased its share from 0% to 15% in the same period. The US now relies heavily on Taiwan for advanced semiconductor chips (over 90% of advanced chips are purchased from Taiwan). This is seen as a national security risk due to potential disruptions in the event of geopolitical conflicts. Geopolitical and Economic Concerns: National Security Concerns: Senator Mark Warner emphasized that national security is no longer solely about military power but also about control over key technologies. The heavy reliance on chips produced overseas, especially in Taiwan, presents a vulnerability. Any conflict in Taiwan could lead to severe disruptions in the global chip supply, as witnessed during the COVID-19 pandemic, when chip factories overseas shut down, causing widespread shortages. China’s Investments in Semiconductors: China has aggressively invested in its semiconductor sector, spending two to four times as much as the US to build up its chip manufacturing capacity. Bipartisan Support and Criticism: Bipartisan Agreement: The Chips Act passed with rare bipartisan support in the US Congress. The final vote was 64-33 in favor, reflecting a shared understanding that the US must remain competitive in semiconductor manufacturing to keep pace with China. Criticism of Industrial Policy: Critics argue that industrial policy picks winners by supporting specific industries or companies instead of allowing the free market to determine which businesses succeed. Examples of failed industrial policies include Foxconn’s promised flat panel display factory in Wisconsin, which never materialized, and Solyndra, a solar panel manufacturer that went bankrupt despite receiving $535 million in federal loans. Current and Future Implications: Big Investments in the US: Major semiconductor companies like Intel and TSMC are responding to the Chips Act by investing billions to build new fabrication plants in the US. Challenges of Industrial Policy: Industrial policy is expensive, and with large government deficits, persuading Congress to approve further industrial investments could be challenging. Many Republican senators who supported the Chips Act see it as a narrow exception to their general opposition to government spending over free-market solutions, indicating that future industries may not meet the same level of support. Week 4 Article The Global System of Trade Preferences (GSTP) GSTP Overview: A trade deal among developing countries established in 1989 by the G77 bloc of nations. It aims to promote South-South trade by offering preferential tariff reductions among its 42 member countries across Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Represents a combined market worth $16 trillion, generating $4.4 trillion in import demand, which accounts for almost 20% of global merchandise imports. GSTP’s Role in Sustainable Development Potential for Sustainable Development: GSTP can help achieve goals such as food security, clean energy, and a circular economy. It can also enhance health outcomes by improving trade in med