When not overbooking at all (X=0), the expected revenue would amount to $

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking to calculate the expected revenue for a family-run inn when not overbooking at all (X=0) based on the provided data on no-shows. We need to analyze the given probabilities and frequencies to determine the expected revenue when zero rooms are overbooked.

Answer

The expected revenue when not overbooking at all (X=0) is $2000.
Answer for screen readers

When not overbooking at all (X=0), the expected revenue would amount to $2000.

Steps to Solve

  1. Identify the relevant data for X=0 We know that when there are no rooms overbooked (X=0), we need to find the expected revenue using the no-show probabilities.

  2. Revenue calculation for X=0 From the table, the expected revenue for X=0 is directly given as 2000. This is because they are not overbooking, and thus the revenue is based on how many guests show up against the available rooms.

  3. Calculate Total Days Revenue The expected revenue can be simplified to just take the revenue from the actual no-shows. Since 50 days had no no-shows, the revenue would be: $$ \text{Revenue} = \text{Number of Rooms} \times \text{Room Rate} = 20 \times 100 = 2000 $$

When not overbooking at all (X=0), the expected revenue would amount to $2000.

More Information

The expected revenue of $2000 is based on the frequency data suggesting that on 50 days there were no no-shows, which maximized the occupancy and hence revenue.

Tips

  • Confusing calculations involving no-shows with overbooking scenarios.
  • Not recognizing that for X=0, the revenue is strictly from rooms available without any booking issues.

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