China's Economic Development: Growth and Challenges

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Questions and Answers

Which economic strategy was NOT a key factor in China's economic transformation over the past three decades?

  • Development of market institutions.
  • Maintaining an exceptionally high rate of capital accumulation in GDP.
  • Strict adherence to the Washington Consensus. (correct)
  • Leveraging opportunities in the global market.

The author mentions the 'middle income trap' as a challenge for China. What is the primary characteristic of this trap?

  • A reliance on foreign direct investment.
  • A dependence on export markets.
  • A slowdown in economic growth after reaching a certain income level. (correct)
  • A sharp increase in economic inequality.

What was a significant institutional innovation that China implemented to steer its economic policy during the reform period?

  • Actively involving scientists and academics in policy development. (correct)
  • Increased military spending to protect trade routes.
  • Isolating the economy from global markets to ensure self-reliance.
  • Privatizing all state-owned enterprises.

According to the authors, what distinguished China's economic reforms from those of Russia in the early 1990s?

<p>China initiated reforms from a position of significantly greater economic development. (D)</p>
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What does the Chinese phrase 'crossing the river by feeling the stones' signify in the context of economic reform?

<p>A cautious and experimental approach. (B)</p>
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What is the 'new normal' ('xin changtai') in the context of China's economic development?

<p>A period of slower, more sustainable growth after a period of rapid expansion. (A)</p>
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What has been China's approach to increasing domestic consumption as a driver of economic growth?

<p>Maintaining a high savings rate while strategically increasing consumption opportunities. (C)</p>
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What factor does the author identify as a potential constraint on China's future economic growth?

<p>High consumer debt and potential financial instability in the real estate sector. (D)</p>
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According to the author, what is the trend in income inequality in China since the early 1980s?

<p>Income inequality initially increased sharply but has shown a modest decline since 2008. (B)</p>
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What is the primary factor contributing to the high rate of capital accumulation in China?

<p>A relatively low share of household wealth in GDP (D)</p>
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What key challenge is facing China as it transitions towards a more advanced economy, particularly regarding energy consumption?

<p>Substantially reducing consumption of hydrocarbons. (C)</p>
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Which aspect of China's development is highlighted as a potential model for other developing nations?

<p>Its unique combination of centralized planning with market-based institutions. (B)</p>
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What economic goal does China aim to achieve by 2035 according to the text?

<p>Reaching a level of development comparable to South and East European countries. (D)</p>
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Which area is identified as needing major investment in China, before it can free resources for the radical reduction of hydrocarbon fuels?

<p>Constructing more high-speed railway system. (B)</p>
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In what area did the reduction of the number of people engaged occur, which freed additional income to be spent on other goods and services?

<p>The birth rate dropping to zero. (B)</p>
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According to data in the text, approximately what percentage of China's population lived below the standard of $6.85 USD per day in 2019?

<p>25% (A)</p>
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Which of these factors does the author suggest could threaten China's potential annual growth in the coming decades despite currently optimistic projections?

<p>Conflicts in trade and technology with countries such as the United States. (B)</p>
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What change, regarding China's approach to its international position, is indicated by the Nobel laureate Robert Coase?

<p>Openness, and reform policies will ensure that the market in China keeps expanding. (C)</p>
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Why do the authors correlate China's rate of urbanization and aging with their data, highlighting that these forces of change impacted them from the 1980's onwards?

<p>They functioned as structural shifts contributing to inequality. (A)</p>
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Which sector of China's economy is the Chinese government hoping will make up for a downturn in their real estate market?

<p>Electric Vehicles. (C)</p>
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How does the author say the government of China can resolve the current debt crisis?

<p>By issuing central government debt and increasing the proportion of provincial government's tax revenues. (A)</p>
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Social transfers in kind (STIK) were:

<p>included in government expenses instead of household income (unlike OECD countries). (A)</p>
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What data from 2013 may indicate what sort of people make up most of China's middle class?

<p>Strata for working class people, entrepreneurs and experts. (C)</p>
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What is the author's assessment of the reliability of China's national accounts?

<p>The social transfers in kind are not counted as income, and this skews the analyses. (A)</p>
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How do the authors describe what the Chinese government has done, regarding debt management, comparing it to the debts of other countries?

<p>That, at the municipal-level in China, the debt is highly localized (C)</p>
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Which of the following statistics about China is correct?

<p>Household debt has increased over time, but has a large variance associated with the different financial conditions of families. (D)</p>
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According to Professor Zhang Yi, the following traits describe the component of people who are described as "experts":

<p>An orientation towards consumption as their source for power. (B)</p>
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With the recent economic measures that China needs to take in the near term with higher GDP, why will their old methods no longer apply, requiring them to take new actions?

<p>Now they will need to emphasize ecological protection and supporting social harmony. (C)</p>
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Why might analysis in the West underestimate China's degree of consumption?

<p>The level of household income is skewed down, owing to state payments being included in general expenses. (B)</p>
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Regarding housing and real estate, what change does the author think that China needs to implement?

<p>That real estate should be managed with new long term plans. (C)</p>
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The data suggest that it is not possible to understand the structure of Chinese society because it does not have a solid social framework. How do the analysts say you CAN understand it?

<p>With the nature of property and the degree of personal autonomy used to access them. (C)</p>
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In what direction is it likely that the nature of innovation in China will head, relative to what it did decades before?

<p>More technological innovation is to be expected now. (B)</p>
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Why did officials see the 14th congress of the Chinese communist party as a positive step?

<p>Goals were now set out for doubling wealth and standards of living for citizens. (D)</p>
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The author suggests that which step be taken as a way to deal with the current debt problem?

<p>Allow the central government to handle the funds. (B)</p>
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To compete with more wealthy countries, what do the authors suggest the Chinese should do more of, compared to their current mix?

<p>Invest in green energy and reduce pollution. (C)</p>
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The authors suggest that current financial pressures are due to which trend?

<p>High speed expansion. (B)</p>
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Which industry in China has had a decrease in recent years?

<p>Real Estate. (A)</p>
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If people are unable to buy accommodation to live in, what needs to happen so that they can

<p>A focus on personal savings and social harmony. (C)</p>
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Though there is still inequality in China, where does this rank compared to world trends?

<p>Unemployment statistics cannot be correlated to these facts, but it's close to those of Europe. (D)</p>
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Although there is more social equality in China in recent times, in what area is inequality set to remain?

<p>Those living in city and those living in the countryside. (A)</p>
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To grow the economy faster, what does the author suggest doing to debt?

<p>A focus toward having more high-revenue families. (D)</p>
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According to 2017 analysis, what is a 'new problem' that will affect China's level of automation for years to come?

<p>That China has an aging population and some loss of population growth. (A)</p>
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Which of the following predictions does the analysis claim to be achievable?

<p>The rate of wealth is still lower than it is for similar countries despite China having increased its GDP rapidly. (A)</p>
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Flashcards

China's Economic Achievements

China eliminated absolute poverty and reached a middle level of development in thirty years.

Foundations of China's Growth

Development was based on market institutions with high capital accumulation.

China's 'New Normal'

China is transitioning to a 'new normal' with lower, yet high, growth rates.

Challenges from China's Development

Social inequality, environmental issues, and household debt are consequences of huge social programs.

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Internal Decisions in China

Internal decisions in developing economic institutions played a crucial part in China's economic growth.

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Increase in Prosperity

China rapidly increased the prosperity of Chinese families from $1.7k to $18k.

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Political Involvement of Scientists

The Chinese government involved scientists in the political sphere to resolve conflict.

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Legal reform

To initiate economic reform, the Chinese government reformed the legal system.

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Creation of special economic zones

The Chinese government encouraged the development of special economic zones.

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Planned economy

The Chinese believe that the planned economy is the most important aspect.

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Economic expansion

From 1992-2022 there has been dramatic economic growth in the Chinese economy.

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China on markets

A more liberalized economy has made china more competitive on global markets.

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The new group

Китайские власти ввели понятие «новая тройка»: электромобили, литий-ионные аккумуляторы, ВИЭ. Данные отрасли, по мнению китайского руководства, могли бы стать заменой жилищному рынку.

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Study Notes

  • The article examines China's economic development over the past 30 years, during which it eliminated absolute poverty and reached a middle level of development.
  • China has surpassed countries like South Africa and Brazil by leveraging market institutions, global market access, and high savings rates.
  • Rapid changes have caused social inequality, environmental issues, and debt.
  • China plans to become a developed country by 2035 and reach the level of South and Eastern Europe.
  • Terms characterizing main points: economic growth, inequality, average development level.

Introduction

  • China's economic development has garnered interest, with a focus on internal decisions regarding economic institutions.
  • External factors, like raw material imports and access to technology for manufacturing were crucial for China's growth.
  • The welfare of Chinese families rose from $1,700 (2017) to $18,000 by 2022.
  • Explanations of China's success include central planning, cheap labor, large investments, and the development of open institutions.
  • A Chinese citizen born in 1980 experienced poverty in childhood, then saw per capita GDP rise from $2,980 in 1998 to $8,840 in 2010 alongside Brazil's economic gains.
  • China moved from the 6th to the 3rd cluster in global economic rankings.

Reform and Opening-up Policy

  • China's reform and opening-up policy started in the late 1970s and faced resistance due to its socialist ideology.
  • Institutions help societies survive by uniting individuals and unintendedly create new activity.
  • Institutions symbolize identity and social status.
  • China's socialist ideology shifted, and leaders embraced institutional change by including scientists in policymaking and reforming the legal system.
  • Deng Xiaoping changed the economic plan.
  • By December 1978, China focused on economic reforms, having dealt with struggles that failed to improve society.
  • Reform period started in 1992 because Russia's shift reduced concerns about straying from Marxism.
  • China adapted to market reforms with success because of luck, determination and vision.

China's Rapid Growth

  • China experienced dramatic economic growth from 1992 to 2022, achieving rapid progress compared to other countries.
  • China rapidly passed numerous phases, as growth was influenced by the Secretary-General's acts and the CPC.

Factors Contributing to China's Success

  • Economic reforms that liberalized agriculture.
  • Integration w/ global markets.
  • Investment strategies.
  • The 1990s liberalization led to the expansion of China's manufacturing sector, starting from a low production base and addressing poverty from strict regulations.
  • Hybrid solutions focused on using available resources, removing institutional barriers, and promoting socialism with Chinese characteristics.
  • China focused on exports and the creation of special economic zones.
  • High competition lead to competition and affordable wares.
  • China's 1992-2007 was marked by an improvement from 6 to 4, a transformation caused by agricultural liberalization, trade possibilities, and investment strategies.
  • By 2007, China aligned with lower-income economies, enhancing energy consumption and wealth, including better infrastructure, between 2007 and 2013.
  • 2012 tasks involved birth management limits and lower rates; economy is becoming more advanced, and new norms are appearing.

Current Economic Status

  • In the period of 2012-2023, China functioned within the 3rd cluster, obtaining $18,000 in PPP dollars in 2017 despite financial crisis, global chaos, the COVID-19 pandemic, and geopolitical tensions.
  • It is capable of knowledge and innovation.
  • "China’s economy includes the market for commodities, the cultural heritage of the nation, increasing awareness, high moral standard and principles."

Chinese Norm

  • It is advised to refrain from anticipating China meeting Western standards and to recognize that a nation resolving major development issues formulates its norms and approaches top nations in its parameters
  • China’s achievement is due to a mixture of a great commercial freedom and centralized influence".
  • China's economic rise has happened due to quantity, level of quality and reasonable cost with post-1978 and 1992-onward reforms.

Economic Parameter Analysis

  • China's economy transitioned from the 6th to the 4th economic cluster in a short period of 15 years.
  • In 2007, China moved into the 4th economic cluster, outperforming India and Vietnam.
  • The currency had a very poor exchange rate, and clean exports reached a quarter of a trillion dollars, and auto output topped nine million.
  • Consistent with the rise in China's accumulation levels, the share of agriculture is now 9% of the country's GDP as of 2003, with consistent further drops year after year.

Socioeconomic Factors

  • Chinese military and R&D have risen and military and innovation spending are now almost equally high.
  • China's power use from 2000 to 2022 rose from 1.4 billion tons to 5.4, with coal consumption growing from 1.09 trillion tons from 1992 to 3.975 trillion tons, then 4.554 in 2022.
  • Aiming for carbon neutrality by 2060 would be difficult so emphasis is on electricity which doubled from 2007 to 2022.
  • Investment in rapid rail still being done and some resources still free.
  • China is undergoing remarkable development at a rapid pace, but complexity remains.

Socioeconomic Disparities

  • Rapid economic expansion always results in regional and global imbalance.
  • The spirit of entrepreneurship is as the building of economics is based on building on personal wealth and property often creating inequality.

Personal Consumption

  • Personal customer statistics often point to growth in personal well-being, with consistent spending habits of nourishment at roughly 36%.
  • The proportion of personal spending on durable goods, cultural entertainment or health are low.
  • Share of family share is not up to 40%, indicating a high interest rate.

Data of Social Statistics

  • Shanghai citizens are richer than in other regions, with high internet users, education levels, military, and other spendings.

Inequality

  • Fast economic growth is associated with an increase in social inequality on early stages
  • China a good case study on Kuznets’s theories.
  • As Chinese society has improved its focus shifted reducing the social inequality from 2017.
  • China elicits a interest in researchers about its social inequality with the IMF publishing on the matter.
  • China’s inequality had increase since the start of 1980s with a modest decline since 2008.

Social Inequalities

  • Caused by a shift in urbanization, birth reduction, and transition from agriculture to industries.
  • Those living poor standards in China is decreasing.
  • Those that live under $6.85 in China is just 25% of the Chinese population.
  • A table can be used highlighting the social society by the MBRR

Poverty, Government, and Statistics

  • China worked to eliminate absolute poverty by 2016.
  • China emphasizes innovation, openness, and start-up liberalization.
  • Chinese statistics and CHIP provide unique comparative financing information of a household nature from 2013, 2018.

The Next Stage

  • China is creating economic goals for 2035 with high numbers with continued global growth and the Shanghai government to be high to support these trends and new high tech investment.
  • The question how to continue growth arises as China moves to continue rising and compete.

Chinese Plans

  • China focuses on creating resources, green measures, and improving innovation.
  • Chairman Xi Jinping is targeting doubling incomes.

Theory

  • Many factors have boosted China, while it's specific factors must be factored for theorists.
  • Theory suggest state role important in stages.
  • Statistic of Chinese consumptions are underestimated.

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