Central Limit Theorem and Hypothesis Testing
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Questions and Answers

Which of these is the MOST accurate description of the Central Limit Theorem (CLT)?

  • The CLT suggests that larger sample sizes always reduce the standard deviation of the population.
  • The CLT implies that the mean of any sample will always equal the true population mean, given a sufficiently large sample.
  • The CLT only applies when the population distribution is normal; it doesn't hold for skewed or non-normal distributions.
  • The CLT states that the distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as sample size increases, regardless of the population's distribution. (correct)

In hypothesis testing, what is the primary role of the null hypothesis ($H_0$)?

  • It serves as a baseline assumption of no effect or no difference, which the researcher attempts to disprove. (correct)
  • It is the hypothesis that the researcher believes to be true and aims to provide evidence for.
  • It represents the researcher's prediction about the effect or relationship being studied.
  • It defines the level of statistical significance ($\alpha$) required to reject the alternative hypothesis ($H_1$).

What does Cohen's d measure in the context of statistical analysis?

  • The degrees of freedom in a t-test.
  • The magnitude of the effect, standardized by the standard deviation. (correct)
  • The sample standard deviation.
  • The probability of making a Type I error.

Which of the following statements accurately differentiates between Type I and Type II errors?

<p>Type I error is rejecting a true null hypothesis, while Type II error is failing to reject a false null hypothesis. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which factor does NOT typically influence the statistical power of a hypothesis test?

<p>The population size. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under what conditions is Student's t-distribution MOST appropriately used instead of the standard normal (z) distribution?

<p>When the population standard deviation is unknown and estimated from the sample. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the 'degrees of freedom' (df) associated with a one-sample t-test, and how does it influence the shape of the t-distribution?

<p>df = n - 1; higher df results in a t-distribution that more closely approximates a normal distribution. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What primary assumption MUST be met to accurately conduct a one-sample t-test?

<p>The data are independent and the population is approximately normally distributed. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of hypothesis testing, what is a 'critical value' and how is it used?

<p>The critical value is a threshold that, if exceeded by the test statistic, leads to rejection of the null hypothesis. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does increasing the confidence level (e.g., from 95% to 99%) influence the width of a confidence interval?

<p>It increases the width of the confidence interval. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is it generally inappropriate to 'accept' the null hypothesis ($H_0$) in statistical hypothesis testing?

<p>Statistical tests can only provide evidence to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis, not to definitively prove it true. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of calculating a 'test statistic' (e.g., z-score, t-statistic) in hypothesis testing?

<p>To standardize the observed sample data and allow comparison to a known distribution to assess the evidence against the null hypothesis. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The heights of a population of women are normally distributed with a known population mean ($\mu$) of 65 inches and a standard deviation ($\sigma$) of 3.5 inches. A researcher collects a sample of 35 female college basketball players and finds that the mean height of the sample is 67 inches. Determine the standard error of the mean ($\sigma_{\bar{x}}$).

<p>0.59 inches (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Using the information of the prior question, what is the calculated z-score ($z_{obs}$) for this sample mean? Recall: $\mu = 65$, $\sigma = 3.5$, $n = 35$, $\bar{x} = 67$ and $\sigma_{\bar{x}} \approx 0.59$.

<p>3.39 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given a one-tailed hypothesis test with $\alpha = 0.05$, what is the critical z-value ($z_{crit}$)?

<p>1.645 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the female basketball player height example, the calculated $z_{obs}$ is 3.39 and the critical z-value ($z_{crit}$) for our one-tailed test when $\alpha = 0.05$ is 1.645. What statistical decision should be made?

<p>Reject the null hypothesis because $z_{obs}$ is greater than $z_{crit}$. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the correct interpretation of the decision to reject the null hypothesis in the context of the basketball player height example?

<p>There is strong statistical evidence to suggest that the sample comes from a population with a mean height greater than the hypothesized 65 inches. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a two-tailed hypothesis test with $\alpha = 0.05$, what are the critical z-values?

<p>$\pm$1.96 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If, for a two-tailed test, your calculated test statistic ($z_{obs}$) is -2.0, and the critical z-values ($z_{crit}$) are $\pm$1.96, what decision should be made regarding the null hypothesis?

<p>Reject the null hypothesis. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the distinction between 'descriptive statistics' and 'inferential statistics'?

<p>Descriptive statistics describe sample data, while inferential statistics use sample data to make generalizations about a population. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statistical test is MOST appropriate when comparing the means of two independent groups when the population standard deviation is unknown, and the sample sizes are small (e.g., n < 30)?

<p>Independent samples t-test. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary goal of establishing an alpha level ($\alpha$) in hypothesis testing?

<p>To specify the maximum acceptable probability of committing a Type I error. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a researcher decreases the alpha level ($\alpha$), what is the MOST likely consequence regarding Type I and Type II errors?

<p>Decreasing alpha will decrease the probability of a Type I error and increase the probability of a Type II error. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why does the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) play a crucial role in hypothesis testing, particularly when dealing with sample means?

<p>The CLT allows us to approximate the sampling distribution of the sample means as normal, regardless of the population's distribution, enabling the use of z or t tests. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher aims to determine if a new teaching method improves student test scores, and sets up a one-tailed hypothesis test. What consideration must be made when choosing between a right-tailed and a left-tailed test?

<p>The researcher must choose the tail direction that aligns with the research question, predicting the direction of change (increase or decrease) if the new method is effective. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the benefit of using a confidence interval compared to only performing a hypothesis test?

<p>A confidence interval provides a range of plausible values for the population parameter and also indicates statistical significance, illustrating the potential size and direction of an effect. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what step of hypothesis testing do you calculate the standard error of the mean and mark rejection regions?

<p>Characterize the sampling distribution (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the next step of hypothesis testing after, "Choose a test statistic?"

<p>Characterize the sampling distribution (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher fails to reject the null hypothesis. What is a possible real-world explanation for this statistical conclusion?

<p>There is not enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, in reality the alternative hypothesis may be correct, but there is not enough evidence to suggest so. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Sampling distribution construction

Plot all possible random sample means of a given size from a population.

Hypothesis testing definition

To figure out how likely or unlikely it would be to get a sample mean of a particular size, given a hypothesized population mean (μ).

Steps In Hypothesis Testing

State H0 and H1, collect data, establish alpha, choose a test statistic, compute test statistic, make a decision about H0, describe decision in words.

Null hypothesis (H0)

The hypothesis that there is no significant difference between specified populations, any observed difference being due to sampling or experimental error.

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Alternative hypothesis (H1)

A statement that contradicts the null hypothesis. It is what the researcher tries to prove.

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Establish alpha (α)

The probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.

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Critical value

The point at which you would reject the null hypothesis.

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Test statistic

A statistic used to determine the probability of obtaining a result.

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Accepting the null hypothesis

We fail to reject the null hypothesis

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Study Notes

  • Study notes on central limit theorem and hypothesis testing.

Topics Outline

  • Hypothesis testing: The one-sample z test.
  • Understanding Cohen's d as a measure of effect size.
  • Grasping Type I vs. Type II errors.
  • Understanding power and what affects it.
  • The one-sample t test including:
    • t distribution.
    • degrees of freedom (df).
    • one-sample t test by hand and via SPSS.
    • effect size.
    • assumptions of the test.
  • Confidence intervals

Lecture Outline

  • Refresher on Sample Statistics (SS), Population Parameters (PP), and the Central Limit Theorem (CLT)
  • Hypothesis Testing involving 8 steps

Sample Statistics vs. Population Parameters

  • Plot all possible random sample means of a given size from a population, to construct a sampling distribution of the mean

Hypothesis Testing

  • It is used to determine how likely or unlikely it would be to get a sample mean of a particular size, given a hypothesized population mean (μ).
  • Focus is on how two or more sample means differ from each other (e.g., treatment vs. control group).
  • It is rare to know µ.

Steps in Hypothesis Testing

  • State Ho and H₁
  • Collect data
  • Establish α (usually α = .05)
  • Choose a test statistic (e.g., one-sample z test)
  • Characterize the sampling distribution, compute mean & SEM of the samp. dist., define Zcrit, and mark rejection regions (Ho, H₁)
  • Compute test statistic (e.g., Zobs, tobs, Fobs)
  • Make a decision about Ho (reject or fail to reject Ho)
  • Describe the decision in words.

Step 1: State the Hypotheses

  • Set up the alternative hypothesis (H₁) to "knock down" the null hypothesis.
  • The Null hypothesis (H。) is that the sample comes from a population with a mean height of 65".
  • Alternative Hypotheses (H₁)
    • Two-tailed, non-directional hypothesis: The sample does not come from a population with a mean height of 65"
    • One-tailed, directional hypothesis: The sample comes from a population with a mean height greater than 65" (less commonly used)

Step 2: Collect the Data

  • Data needs to be collected

Step 3: Establish Alpha (α)

  • It is necessary to decide on a cut off for what is "unusual"
  • Need to define an unlikely event.
  • It is an outcome that would happen less than 5% of the time by chance.
  • "Significance level of .05" means:
    • Willing to take a 5% risk of making an error in the decision about statistical significance.
    • Alpha (the significance level) is a type of error.
  • A sample mean height of 67 would be unusual if it occurred less than 5% of the time, given that the null hypothesis is true.
  • The Z table is where we can determine if a mean of 67" occurred less than 5% of the time

Refresher: Z Score!

  • After looking up p = .0500 on the Z table, the corresponding Z score is called Zcrit
  • To conduct the hypothesis test:
    • Look up the critical value (Zcrit) using the Z table.
    • Calculate a test statistic (Zobs).
    • Compare Zobs to Zcrit to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Step 4: Choose a Test Statistic

  • This step depends on what information is available
  • Example of available information when finding out data:
    • population mean (65")
    • population standard deviation (3.5")
    • sample size (N = 35)
    • sample mean (67")
    • Conduct a one-sample z test in this case
  • Choose whether to conduct a one-directional or a non-directional test.

Step 5: Characterize the sampling distribution

  • Take all possible random samples of size 35, compute means, plot them
  • To compute the mean and SEM of the sampling distribution:
    • σx = σ/√N = 3.5/√35 = 3.5/5.916 = 0.592
  • After this mark Zcrit on to the sampling distribution, where Zcrit=1.645

Step 6: Compute the Test Statistic

  • Zobs is MORE EXTREME compared to Zcrit therefore we reject the null hypothesis.
  • Zobs falls in the REJECTION REGION of the sampling distribution
  • Formula for the test statistic (Zobs) as well as critical value of Z:
    • Zobs = (X - μ) / σx = (67-65) /0.592 = 3.38

Step 7: Make a Decision about H0

  • Conclude that it is unlikely that the sample mean of 67" came from a population with a mean of 65".

Why can't we "accept" the Null Hypothesis

  • It is possible that a sample mean of 67" could have come from this population.
  • It is not possible to prove the null
  • It is highly unlikely since we can conclude we "fail to reject the null" NOT we "accept the null" considering we can never prove a null hypothesis true; we can only disprove it.

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Understand hypothesis testing with z-tests and t-tests. Learn about effect size (Cohen's d), Type I and II errors, and statistical power. Review sample statistics, population parameters, and the central limit theorem.

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